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Nifty View - December '14 Series |
vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #31 Posted: Sat Nov 29, 2014 1:16 pm Post subject: |
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Nifty for Monday (01/12/14)
Supports are at about 8573, 8527, 8507, 8473 and 8438 while resistances are at about 8613, 8632, 8675 and 8733. An unfilled gap on lower side is at about 8494. A +WW can give about 8642 (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Three -WWs can give about 8563, 8544 (if below 8605) and 8502 (if below 8618) (-WWs with much lower targets are not mentioned as of now).
Nifty rose sharply again in spite of a gap up open and closed just below 8600 indicating strong bullishness. The bearish div has vanished but the -ve div persists and nifty looks overbought though some upside is still possible. A close below 8533 will be bad but a close below 8488 will invite bears. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term. |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #32 Posted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 9:36 am Post subject: |
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Are you going to long nifty for trgt towards 8700? |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #33 Posted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 9:38 am Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | Are you going to long nifty for trgt towards 8700? |
hahaha. apka, I am short now and will watch 8632NS first and then 8675. on down side I am expecting 8527/8500.
I expect very volatile day today. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #34 Posted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 12:02 pm Post subject: |
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bond yields at 16 month low |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #35 Posted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 12:25 pm Post subject: |
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So sentiment is positive for rate cut expectation tomorrow |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #36 Posted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 12:28 pm Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | So sentiment is positive for rate cut expectation tomorrow |
I feel no rate cut but otherwise no idea. |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #37 Posted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 12:31 pm Post subject: |
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Yaar inflation is down, crude is down.. Manufacturing industries are down.... Ab nahi toh kab |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #38 Posted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 12:40 pm Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | Yaar inflation is down, crude is down.. Manufacturing industries are down.... Ab nahi toh kab |
I have already told Raghu not to cut rates. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #39 Posted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 1:34 pm Post subject: |
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vix up 5% |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #40 Posted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 2:54 pm Post subject: |
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nifty fut has fallen from 8625 to 8605 but 8300pe has lost premium. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #41 Posted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 3:09 pm Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | nifty fut has fallen from 8625 to 8605 but 8300pe has lost premium. |
8587NF may not break strongly |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #42 Posted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 3:22 pm Post subject: |
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covered my short and went long in nifty. |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #43 Posted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 3:25 pm Post subject: |
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Thanks for the tip...... Err, I mean information |
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AjitS White Belt
Joined: 21 Aug 2013 Posts: 138
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Post: #44 Posted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 3:29 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: |
... on down side I am expecting 8527/8500.
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Vinay,
Were you expecting this level today itself? |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #45 Posted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 6:30 pm Post subject: |
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AjitS wrote: | vinay28 wrote: |
... on down side I am expecting 8527/8500.
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Vinay,
Were you expecting this level today itself? |
as a possibility, yes but near eod it seemed to me that bottom was over or very near e.g. may be 8541/35 at the most tmrw. Based on this feeling I covered my short and went long.
In any case tmrw being rbi policy, volatility can be high and it's better to decide short term trade after noon. |
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