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Nifty View - December '14 Series
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Author Nifty View - December '14 Series
vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #31   PostPosted: Sat Nov 29, 2014 1:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nifty for Monday (01/12/14)

Supports are at about 8573, 8527, 8507, 8473 and 8438 while resistances are at about 8613, 8632, 8675 and 8733. An unfilled gap on lower side is at about 8494. A +WW can give about 8642 (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Three -WWs can give about 8563, 8544 (if below 8605) and 8502 (if below 8618) (-WWs with much lower targets are not mentioned as of now).

Nifty rose sharply again in spite of a gap up open and closed just below 8600 indicating strong bullishness. The bearish div has vanished but the -ve div persists and nifty looks overbought though some upside is still possible. A close below 8533 will be bad but a close below 8488 will invite bears. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term.
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apka
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Post: #32   PostPosted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 9:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Are you going to long nifty for trgt towards 8700?
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vinay28
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Post: #33   PostPosted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 9:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
Are you going to long nifty for trgt towards 8700?


hahaha. apka, I am short now and will watch 8632NS first and then 8675. on down side I am expecting 8527/8500.

I expect very volatile day today.
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vinay28
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Post: #34   PostPosted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 12:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

bond yields at 16 month low
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apka
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Post: #35   PostPosted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 12:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

So sentiment is positive for rate cut expectation tomorrow
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vinay28
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Post: #36   PostPosted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 12:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
So sentiment is positive for rate cut expectation tomorrow


I feel no rate cut but otherwise no idea. 24 24
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apka
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Post: #37   PostPosted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 12:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yaar inflation is down, crude is down.. Manufacturing industries are down.... Ab nahi toh kab
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vinay28
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Post: #38   PostPosted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 12:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
Yaar inflation is down, crude is down.. Manufacturing industries are down.... Ab nahi toh kab


I have already told Raghu not to cut rates. Twisted Evil
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vinay28
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Post: #39   PostPosted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 1:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vix up 5%
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apka
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Post: #40   PostPosted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 2:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

nifty fut has fallen from 8625 to 8605 but 8300pe has lost premium.
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vinay28
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Post: #41   PostPosted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 3:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
nifty fut has fallen from 8625 to 8605 but 8300pe has lost premium.


8587NF may not break strongly
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vinay28
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Post: #42   PostPosted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 3:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

covered my short and went long in nifty.
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apka
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Post: #43   PostPosted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 3:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks for the tip...... Err, I mean information Razz
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AjitS
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Post: #44   PostPosted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 3:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:

... on down side I am expecting 8527/8500.


Vinay,

Were you expecting this level today itself?
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vinay28
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Post: #45   PostPosted: Mon Dec 01, 2014 6:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

AjitS wrote:
vinay28 wrote:

... on down side I am expecting 8527/8500.


Vinay,

Were you expecting this level today itself?


as a possibility, yes but near eod it seemed to me that bottom was over or very near e.g. may be 8541/35 at the most tmrw. Based on this feeling I covered my short and went long.

In any case tmrw being rbi policy, volatility can be high and it's better to decide short term trade after noon.
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