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Nifty View - December |
psalm Black Belt
Joined: 12 Nov 2011 Posts: 5368
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Post: #991 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 3:14 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | I feel till NF doesn't close below 5851 or worst case 5835, uptrend is intact. |
Even for Nifty future, if it CLOSES below 5874, it will be like a lower high and lower lows kinda scenario (on a closing basis). The only positive is that it didn't go below 5840, which was its recent intraday low.... |
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psalm Black Belt
Joined: 12 Nov 2011 Posts: 5368
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Post: #992 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 3:26 pm Post subject: |
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Have booked profits partially in a few stocks shorts especially real estate ones...... |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #993 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 3:27 pm Post subject: |
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premium has reduced to 5 points just as when nifty fut hit veerus magic no. 5555.55 and we reversed to make new high. |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #994 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 3:29 pm Post subject: |
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but 5800ce has added 10 lakh shares and 5900pe and 6000pe have shedded in big nos. 15 lakh shares each.
5900ce added 20 lakh shares. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #995 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 3:30 pm Post subject: |
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apka, veerappan's magic no. is 5842 |
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psalm Black Belt
Joined: 12 Nov 2011 Posts: 5368
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Post: #996 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 3:31 pm Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | premium has reduced to 5 points just as when nifty fut hit veerus magic no. 5555.55 and we reversed to make new high. |
Recent NF low and today's NS low are around 5840.... ..anyway, 5840 has held for the time being....will there be a good bounce back on monday??...let's wait and see...looks a weak closing to me though... |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #997 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 3:31 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | apka, veerappan's magic no. is 5842 |
low 5847.40
fno + fiscal cliff doubt vs veeru
hmmmmmmm |
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psalm Black Belt
Joined: 12 Nov 2011 Posts: 5368
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Post: #998 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 3:35 pm Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | vinay28 wrote: | apka, veerappan's magic no. is 5842 |
low 5847.40
fno + fiscal cliff doubt vs veeru
hmmmmmmm |
Veeru VS Fiscal Cliff.....pretty interesting.... |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #999 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 7:43 pm Post subject: |
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apka, just study carryover position. Massive short covering possible next week. Also, to see whether nifty goes below Oct high considering that TL support is at 5825. |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #1000 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 7:51 pm Post subject: |
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I'll check vinay.
for today, dec fut has shedded 40 lakh shares (total OI now 155 lakh shares) so good long exits and in return jan fut added 43 lakh shares (total OI 75 lakh shares) whether its a long build with dec long exits or fresh shorts cannot know for sure. But put options saw short covering.
RSI on trendline basis, from 4800 whenever we have fallen, rsi has also been bouncing from a trendline at which it has reached today.
Tuesday being holiday, monday 2nd half will be interesting incase we lang low during the 1st half then yes short covering should come. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #1001 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 8:20 pm Post subject: |
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apka, all we need is for nifty to close well above 5916 preferably with a gap up opening above 5888 on Monday. Pl remember this if it happens. |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #1002 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 8:47 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | apka, all we need is for nifty to close well above 5916 preferably with a gap up opening above 5888 on Monday. Pl remember this if it happens. |
40 points gap up... high expectation at this point |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #1003 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 9:05 pm Post subject: |
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gap up is not a "necessary condition" but preferably yes. (you mst be aware of the mathematical term) Closing above 5916 is. |
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aahoo White Belt
Joined: 14 Jan 2012 Posts: 20
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Post: #1004 Posted: Sat Dec 22, 2012 12:14 am Post subject: |
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monday range 5800-5950 |
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iakash White Belt
Joined: 07 Mar 2012 Posts: 46
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Post: #1005 Posted: Sat Dec 22, 2012 8:36 pm Post subject: |
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Dear Friends,
I am a regular reader of this thread for past 1 month. Have learnt a few things thru this thread. Contributing here for the 1st time.
Just want to know your opinion on long term view of nifty. Its a retrospective question (& a bit late to ask too) but did Nifty create an Inverted Head & Shoulder Pattern with Dec 2011 low as the Head. (see attached chart).
It satisfies almost all the conditions of IHnS pattern
- Existing prior trend
- left & right shoulder at almost same level
- breakout & pullback to neckline
- follow up of breakout after pullback
The target for Nifty as per this pattern looks to be 6665.
My long term view for Nifty is bearish for 2013, but this IHnS is worrying me a bit.
Would appreciate if you guys share your opinion on this.
Thanks in advance. |
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