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Nifty View February |
psalm Black Belt
Joined: 12 Nov 2011 Posts: 5368
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Post: #106 Posted: Tue Feb 05, 2013 3:36 pm Post subject: |
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saumya12 wrote: | Today an NR7 day (on daily basis). |
What does that mean, Saumya??..what's the effect of being NR7 day??.. I have seen that in some other thread here...but not aware of what NR7 means... |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #107 Posted: Tue Feb 05, 2013 3:56 pm Post subject: |
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saumya12 wrote: | Today an NR7 day (on daily basis). |
no recovery 7th day ? |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #108 Posted: Tue Feb 05, 2013 4:02 pm Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | saumya12 wrote: | Today an NR7 day (on daily basis). |
no recovery 7th day ? |
????? today was 6th day after 5 days' fall |
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manojkc71 White Belt
Joined: 22 Jan 2010 Posts: 10
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Post: #109 Posted: Tue Feb 05, 2013 4:06 pm Post subject: NR7 PATTERN |
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apka wrote: | saumya12 wrote: | Today an NR7 day (on daily basis). |
no recovery 7th day ? |
I got below information from net for NR 7:
NR7: Narrow Range 7
NR7 chart pattern (narrow range 7). Notice how there are fewer patterns than in the previous chart, as one would expect. The chart covers the same stock, the same period, on the same scale. Again, the NR7 is supposed to highlight days of low price volatility, ones that often predict a larger price move within a day or two after the pattern completes. The NR7-2 is supposed to be a more potent version of the narrow range 7. It occurs when the next day is also shorter than any of the prior 7.
Chart Pattern Indicator Use of NR7
The chart pattern indicator uses the narrow range 7 chart pattern to signal market turns. It does this not by trading in the direction of price after the pattern completes, but instead it looks for the breakout. Patternz defines the breakout as a close above the top of the pattern or a close below the bottom of the pattern. The top and bottom use the 7 days, from start to end, of the NR7. Since the breakout method works so well for the chart pattern indicator, it might be used to effectively trade the NR7 pattern.
Trading the NR7
As mentioned above, you might try trading the NR7 by waiting for price to close above the top of the highest high during the prior 7 days or close below the lowest low in the NR7. The chart pattern indicator uses that technique in hundreds of stocks to reliably signal market turns.
Another method is to use the last day of the NR7 as a trading signal. Place an order to buy a penny above the top of the last day, or go short a penny or two below the low of the last day, respectively. Whichever order triggers, cancel the other order and replace it with a stop loss order. Ride price following the new trend until the swing ends. |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #110 Posted: Tue Feb 05, 2013 7:42 pm Post subject: |
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ok.
many of the nifty 50 counters are oversold and since few days... but nifty is only 150 points down from high... not sure how it is so |
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saumya12 Brown Belt
Joined: 21 Dec 2011 Posts: 1509
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Post: #111 Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2013 1:44 am Post subject: |
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psalm wrote: | saumya12 wrote: | Today an NR7 day (on daily basis). |
What does that mean, Saumya??..what's the effect of being NR7 day??.. I have seen that in some other thread here...but not aware of what NR7 means... |
Sorry, I couldnt reply any earlier.
My computer was not working well.
Though Manoj gave an explanation.
NR7 is the narrowest range of the last 7 days high-low range. And on next day of NR7 normally there is good volatility in the market, may be upwards or may be downwards, not necessary a reversal. NR7 works well not only in daily charts but many times in intraday as well in 1 hr TF
There is a very good thread in an other forum on NR7.
Yes in our forum there is a thread by sivgates on NR7 stocks.
5.2.13 was also a Gann Pressure Day and a + 1-2 days was/are the days of volatility |
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skd2012 Yellow Belt
Joined: 03 Oct 2012 Posts: 948
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Post: #112 Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2013 7:15 am Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | ok.
many of the nifty 50 counters are oversold and since few days... but nifty is only 150 points down from high... not sure how it is so |
NIFTY is managed...time will prove it is distribution or accumulation...weekly close with a green candle will open up possibilities of new high possibly within this series...other theory is we can correct at-least upto 5800.
As I wrote about this earlier if we can take a turn between 5900-5950 range, then we can give a chance for new high soon. fingers crossed. |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #113 Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2013 8:00 am Post subject: |
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new high is the new in
when we were 4800 ppl wanted 4000 ... And now new high.. Nobody wants proper correction. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #114 Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2013 9:21 am Post subject: |
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apka, 30000 cr are required for investment in PSU IPOs and they have to be taken from these markets. |
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skd2012 Yellow Belt
Joined: 03 Oct 2012 Posts: 948
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Post: #115 Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2013 9:25 am Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | new high is the new in
when we were 4800 ppl wanted 4000 ... And now new high.. Nobody wants proper correction. |
All are for correction only ...be it 4800 or 6000 |
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pkholla Black Belt
Joined: 04 Nov 2010 Posts: 2890
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Post: #116 Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2013 9:35 am Post subject: |
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In England, a juvenile home is a "correction facility" where the favorite method of discipline is a thin bamboo cane applied to the behind. Unless we are careful, we will be "corrected" by FIIs and Fin Min.
BTW, Fin Min is rapidly doing the intended disinvestment as scheduled. Heaven help us if we caught long after the target is achieved
Cheers, Prakash Holla
Last edited by pkholla on Wed Feb 06, 2013 10:09 am; edited 1 time in total |
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psalm Black Belt
Joined: 12 Nov 2011 Posts: 5368
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Post: #117 Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2013 9:50 am Post subject: |
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Market is trading around 5977 at this point of time after opening around 5988. The high made as of now is around 5991 and the low made is around 5968. For the day, I expect the market to find resistance in the range 5995-6005, above that we may test range 6026-31. But as of now, I don't expect the market to break above the range 5995-6005. So, any upmoves towards that can be used to exit a few longs or initiate a few shorts. I don't expect this upmove to sustin much longer. But there wont be much panic moments today, as there are no significant events or data scheduled for the day.
It is safe to assume that there wont be much action happening in Europe or U.S today. If there something to happen in our markets, it should happen in the second session tomorrow. Till that time, we may be range-bound or may grind towards slightly higher levels. If you consider the last 2 weeks trading, the situation demands caution, I believe. In this liquidity driven markets, just a day's huge buying can change the equation completely. I'm not ignoring those facts. But, till something like that happens, its better to be cautious. I have been saying for the last 2 weeks or so that a correction can set in anytime as the setup is complete for a correction. On monday we saw glimpses of that in Europe. I expect to see confirmation of that signal in the next day or two. U.S. markets are also ripe for a correction. But something happens there, the impact will be much more than Europe or Asia cos the weakness is there in their long term charts. Since the weakness is in the long term charts (monthly) there, its futile to look for a SELL signal on a day to day basis. It may happen this month, or may be next month. The situation is different in Europe, Europe is weak in Weekly as well as in Daily. So, there is chance of some selling in the next 2 or 3 days.
In the asian markets, most of the markets are about to correct in the short to medium term. One exception here is Japan. Its because of the Yen. Yen could go down further from here, though a correction in the "short term" can be expected. Shanghai could make a top within 2 days, I feel. I expect some kinda correction to set in there by tomorrow or from friday. So, overall the markets are looking extremely stretched. The risk-reward doesn't look favourable at all, unless you're a day trader who may not have to consider all these facts. I am aware of the fact that this could just turn out to be some "blah blahs" after two or three days. But I have a feeling that the correction isn't that far away at this point of time. That's why thought about posting this.
Regards,
SAM |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #118 Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2013 9:59 am Post subject: |
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so above what level of nifty will you change your outlook to bullish, sam? |
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SP50 Brown Belt
Joined: 26 Nov 2010 Posts: 1615
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Post: #119 Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2013 10:12 am Post subject: |
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There is no sign or indication that market will fly up past 6000. If market was positive today would have been a good gap up and market would have flied high. So far its drifting down so market not positive. As much as I learned short at every rise here.
I agree with Sam's view. |
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psalm Black Belt
Joined: 12 Nov 2011 Posts: 5368
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Post: #120 Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2013 10:13 am Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | so above what level of nifty will you change your outlook to bullish, sam? |
I'm much more bullish about the markets for long term than earlier, Vinay........the only thing is that I'm not ready to buy at this point of time. I expect the market to correct 10 or 15% in the short to medium term. I will think about buying it there. Having said that all time highs are not that far away from current levels....If we make a new high, that will give confirmation of the extreme bullishness in our markets. Even then, a correction will happen which will be a good opportunity. The long term picture can change only if we go below the recent lows around 4770.....at this point of time breaking below 4750 doesn't look realistic. At the same time, correction to the range 5200-5000 area look very much possible in the medium term, if not in the short term. That's the view I have for the market at this point of time. This view could change may be after a few weeks or months as per the chart reading..... |
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