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Nifty View February
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Author Nifty View February
apka
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Joined: 13 Dec 2011
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Post: #706   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 1:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

VIX 16.78 high

bank nifty low 12150... support @ 12080-90 then 11980.
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apka
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Post: #707   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 1:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

VIX 16.80.... 7 million nifty fut volumes before europe begins... new trend is going to start i think Very Happy
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apka
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Post: #708   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 1:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

17.07 VIX high..... 7.5 million fut volumes ... this is fun
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psalm
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Post: #709   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 1:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The risk/reward is not in your favour, if you're selling it here.....yes, there could be a breakdown if we go below 5830 or so...but around around 5860-70, the risk/reward is not at all favourable.....Having said that, the market condition is not that looking good...As part of my buying strategy, was still buying stocks which were coming to some supports. Looking at the overall picture, I have a feeling that almost 80% of the frontline index stocks are around some supports now. That means we could find some support around here. At the same time, if there is further selling to the tune of 40 or 50 points, then there is gonna be some break down of levels....In that case, the selling may not stop...could continue in the next few days....but as of now, the risk/reward is favourable for a BUY. But if not comfortable, buying then wait for the break-down or wait for the next resistance to sell....Will be an interesting second half...if we don't make any new closing low, I'll be pretty comfortable holding my LONGs for the next day with some hedges (which I already have to a certain extent)...anyway, let's wait and see where we're gonna close today.... Smile
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apka
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Post: #710   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 2:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

last few days nifty closing making LL and HH... today LL coming near 5876.

Even RSI is doing the same.

nifty fut volumes now 8.6 million by 2pm.
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vinay28
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Post: #711   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 2:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka, that's like a diverging wedge and can imply BO/BD on either side. 5839 is 100sma
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apka
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Post: #712   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 2:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ya vinay, 6000ce OI has crossed 1cr... considering that i dont think BO is likely.

5900ce OI has crossed 5900pe OI. 5900pe OI is now 61 lakhs.

5800pe is however adding OI. Will have to see whether or not it gets reduced by close today. If not then couple of days more we should hold.
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iakash
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Post: #713   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 2:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nifty might have changed the slope of its uptrend... check image below... will it take support at this new channel and move upwards from tomorrow or next week?
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apka
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Post: #714   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 2:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

iakash wrote:
Nifty might have changed the slope of its uptrend... check image below... will it take support at this new channel and move upwards from tomorrow or next week?


blink twist n lime

possible.... but the bottom red line has only 1 previous bounce .. so support is less compared to resistence upside.
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iakash
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Post: #715   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 2:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
iakash wrote:
Nifty might have changed the slope of its uptrend... check image below... will it take support at this new channel and move upwards from tomorrow or next week?


blink twist n lime

possible.... but the bottom red line has only 1 previous bounce .. so support is less compared to resistence upside.


True, Apka... But if it bounces back from here, then lower line becomes a good support for future.... Also, upper channel line can then be considered as possible target ... of 6200+ in march...
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vinay28
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Post: #716   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 3:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

DI at 81.40
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skd2012
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Post: #717   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 3:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bank NIFTY 11900-12000 is weekly support range. We are pretty close to it.
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Vikas91
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Post: #718   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 3:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

is Nifty at double bottom ?

5838.05 is Dec 18th Low
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vinay28
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Post: #719   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 3:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It is possible that strong buying will emerge here.
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apka
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Post: #720   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 3:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

sam are u sqring off longs or carrying? what level are you looking.

seems close will be 5850 or so.
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