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Nifty View February
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Author Nifty View February
psalm
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Joined: 12 Nov 2011
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Post: #721   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 3:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I've decided to hold my LONGs for one more day.....have bought a few new stocks and averaged a few other ones....Bought a few PUTs too...as the risk is pretty high.....The market is not looking rosy at this point...but I was not comfortable initiating any short trade....thats why decided to carry the LONGs with some hedges....Will see how it goes tomorrow....Wont be surprised if there is another gap down tomorrow....but let's wait and see..... Smile
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skd2012
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Post: #722   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 3:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Big OI build up, God knows how it will blow off. I guess all are expecting support around in 5800-5820 range.
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psalm
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Post: #723   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 3:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
DI at 81.40


Vinay, DI has the next resistance around 81.4-82 (especially, 81.4-81.7)....but sustaining above 81.3 itself is risky for the global equity markets....but let's wait and see if this move really sustains.... Smile
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apka
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Post: #724   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 3:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

does anyone remember when was nifty -95 from previous close and bank nifty -325 last time?
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vinay28
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Post: #725   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 3:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

psalm wrote:
I've decided to hold my LONGs for one more day.....have bought a few new stocks and averaged a few other ones....Bought a few PUTs too...as the risk is pretty high.....The market is not looking rosy at this point...but I was not comfortable initiating any short trade....thats why decided to carry the LONGs with some hedges....Will see how it goes tomorrow....Wont be surprised if there is another gap down tomorrow....but let's wait and see..... Smile


One never knows sam. You could be lucky with a gap up open also. But going above 5915 looks dificult as of now. Recovery can be very sharp though. By the way, yesterday's candle was like that on 13/2 and not 26/11.

Let's take a side bet. Tmrw's low 5814 and next week's high 5930? Smile
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apka
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Post: #726   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 9:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sgx Nifty Future
5818.50 -29.50 -0.51 %

As per CNBC, this is worst fall since July 2012.
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vinay28
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Post: #727   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 9:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

As a wild guess, tmrw will open around 5825, go down to 5814 and then close +ve. By Tuesday we should see 5930 but I would hope for > 5970 on Tuesday.
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rk_a2003
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Post: #728   PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 9:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
As a wild guess, tmrw will open around 5825, go down to 5814 and then close +ve. By Tuesday we should see 5930 but I would hope for > 5970 on Tuesday.


You are too much a dictator for the Nifty Vinay Laughing
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vinay28
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Post: #729   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 8:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

rk_a2003 wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
As a wild guess, tmrw will open around 5825, go down to 5814 and then close +ve. By Tuesday we should see 5930 but I would hope for > 5970 on Tuesday.


You are too much a dictator for the Nifty Vinay Laughing


oh, how I wish you were right, rk! Laughing
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stevenmat
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Post: #730   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 8:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

@vinay : PCR 0.88 and premium of 1 ???? Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Shocked Shocked

I think thats extreme bearishness... if we close red today...i think on the weekly charts we are quite bearish in the near term..
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skd2012
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Post: #731   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 8:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

yo yo situation. Smile if it tries to move it further down, one needs to respect it and do not try to find bottom. But everything supports a support around 5800, if not 5650 around on card. But contradiction is banknifty should get support around in 11900-12000 range.
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vinay28
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Post: #732   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 8:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

stevenmat wrote:
@vinay : PCR 0.88 and premium of 1 ???? Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Shocked Shocked

I think thats extreme bearishness... if we close red today...i think on the weekly charts we are quite bearish in the near term..


enjoy the ride steve! Smile

5820 is a -ww target. Also, unless it falls a great deal today, weekly candle will be an inverted hammer. It is safe as long as it doesn't close below 5820.
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masa
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Post: #733   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 9:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nifty Update
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masa
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Post: #734   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 9:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nifty intraday high should be around 5863-5865. Yesterdeay's VAL is 5863.
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masa
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Post: #735   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 10:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nifty intraday high might be around 5865. But bar set up does not allow me to go short here at this point of time. If bar set up allow me to do so, I will short keeping stop loss @ 5865 tgt 5827-5817 and 5795
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