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Nifty View February
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Author Nifty View February
psalm
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Post: #751   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 2:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
Ive entered march 5800pe @ 75 for trgt 170 or 5650 whichever is earlier. lets see.


March one is pretty safe, Apka...but its better to avoid Feb PUTs...By going below last week's low, it has generated a fresh Sell signal in weekly itself, Apka....but that doesn't mean Nifty can't go up from here....it can...but unless it gives a buy signal (will take at least another 3 more weeks), this sell signal will be active....so, I'll be looking to sell on rallies at higher levels...but as of now holding my LONGs....if there is any rally from here prior to Budget or any other event, I'll definitely be looking to initiate some shorts....in between, i'm looking still to buy to make some quick money next week or till 1st week of March(provided 5834 is held).. Smile
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vinay28
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Post: #752   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 2:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka, I think you should also hedge with 6100ce for march
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apka
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Post: #753   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 2:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
apka, I think you should also hedge with 6100ce for march


Ya, im buying equity of lt sbin instead as an alternative hedge.
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vinay28
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Post: #754   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 2:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

that would be focussing on a particularl sector and scrip. what if some other sector takes nifty up? I would prefer 5700pe/6100ce combo. Best case target 100-200
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psalm
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Post: #755   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 2:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
apka, I think you should also hedge with 6100ce for march


Ya, im buying equity of lt sbin instead as an alternative hedge.


Good choices, Apka....especially, LT...looking extremely oversold....even in Weekly.....so, look safe to me....SBI too...could give a reasonable bounce...but BankNifty and some other banks are giving mixed signals...that's why not sure...but LT and other Capital Goods stocks (like BHEL, Crompton, Voltas etc) are all looking good for a bounce...technically, yea....let's see if it will materialize or not... Smile
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apka
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Post: #756   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 2:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ya you're right other sector may go up.. its a risk I am taking because SBI and LT are beaten down a lot amongst heavy weights.

i dont want to take both strike options and let premium lose incase of range bound.
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vinay28
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Post: #757   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 2:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
i dont want to take both strike options and let premium lose incase of range bound.


You don't have to worry about premium loss as this trade is probably at the most till 10th March
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Vikas91
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Post: #758   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 2:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Whether the government will reduce borrowing in the next fiscal year is too close to call, but economists polled say its resolve to cut spending and giveaways in next week's budget will reignite investor confidence.
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skd2012
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Post: #759   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 3:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
Ive entered march 5800pe @ 75 for trgt 170 or 5650 whichever is earlier. lets see.


I feel we will see 5950-80 NF range in march series once after budget.
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pkholla
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Post: #760   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 3:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Vikas91 wrote:
Govt. resolve to cut spending and giveaways in next week's budget will reignite investor confidence.

Vikas: That IS the point. To fool the people to believe that this Govt means business. Until the budget. Until the next election. The Congress party is the worst offender when it comes to free, cheap, discounted. Andhra elections, Punjab elections, you name it. Prakash Holla
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apka
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Post: #761   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 3:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This time they are pre-announcing that fiscal deficit maybe reduced below 5.3%

they have not yet met the disinvestment trgt nor the 2g 3g auction has fetch the amount they were looking for... not sure how they are saying so.

werent they saying something on similar lines last year but fiscal deficit came higher instead?
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apka
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Post: #762   PostPosted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 3:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

white inverted hammer todays candle and
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masa
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Post: #763   PostPosted: Sun Feb 24, 2013 9:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nifty Update
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masa
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Post: #764   PostPosted: Sun Feb 24, 2013 1:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nifty long term update.
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psalm
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Post: #765   PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 9:40 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I still believe that the market will go up as long as yesterday's low (around 5835 is not violated). I still feel that there is good chance for us to test 6050-6060 levels in this week. With that anticipation, I'm still buying wherever, I see opportunity. Anyway, let's wait and see... Smile
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