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Nifty View February
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Author Nifty View February
SP50
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Post: #841   PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 3:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

psalm wrote:
On friday, it was an inverted hammer....today its a hammer....what next tomorrow????.....horizontal hammer???..... 24


Hammer beating of the traders!!

What is the situation on the moving averages? Laughing
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pkholla
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Post: #842   PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 3:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

taxmann50 wrote:
I dont think the railway budget will have any much impact on nifty.

Quite right, Taxmann. Railway stocks like TWL, Kalindee, are dug up from grave and are active zombies for 3 days, then put back inside for remaining 362 days.
Prakash Holla
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psalm
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Post: #843   PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 3:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

taxmann50 wrote:
psalm wrote:
On friday, it was an inverted hammer....today its a hammer....what next tomorrow????.....horizontal hammer???..... 24


Hammer beating of the traders!!

What is the situation on the moving averages? Laughing


I don't think it will take long before long term averages are attacked...as of now, short term averages have been conquered..... Laughing
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skd2012
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Post: #844   PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 3:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

taxmann50 wrote:
sw_das wrote:
taxmann50 wrote:
Option writers enjoying every bit of movement today, 3 days to go but if you look at the out of the money options value one will be very suprised.
I have squared off my positions for this expiry as I was holding futures and I do not intend to buy any options at this point of time.
This expiry will be tears for many amateur traders specially option traders.


no, they are also afraid, this time option price decay is less now due to budget on expiry day. Smile All price will collapse on the last day.


I dont think the railway budget will have any much impact on nifty.


If I am not wrong, main budget on expiry day, so not talking about rail budget.
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psalm
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Post: #845   PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 3:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

pkholla wrote:
taxmann50 wrote:
I dont think the railway budget will have any much impact on nifty.

Quite right, Taxmann. Railway stocks like TWL, Kalindee, are dug up from grave and are active zombies for 3 days, then put back inside for remaining 362 days.
Prakash Holla


I have a feeling that this time, we could see some good initiatives in the Railway Budget (unlike didi's times)....but the problem is that they wont be increasing the charges as the election is nearing....anyway, let's wait and see how it will be like after the budget....Laughing

#populistbudget
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Vikas91
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Post: #846   PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 3:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yes you are not wrong das


sw_das wrote:
taxmann50 wrote:
sw_das wrote:
taxmann50 wrote:
Option writers enjoying every bit of movement today, 3 days to go but if you look at the out of the money options value one will be very suprised.
I have squared off my positions for this expiry as I was holding futures and I do not intend to buy any options at this point of time.
This expiry will be tears for many amateur traders specially option traders.


no, they are also afraid, this time option price decay is less now due to budget on expiry day. Smile All price will collapse on the last day.


I dont think the railway budget will have any much impact on nifty.


If I am not wrong, main budget on expiry day, so not talking about rail budget.
thumbup 2guns
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SP50
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Post: #847   PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 4:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

sw_das wrote:
taxmann50 wrote:
sw_das wrote:
taxmann50 wrote:
Option writers enjoying every bit of movement today, 3 days to go but if you look at the out of the money options value one will be very suprised.
I have squared off my positions for this expiry as I was holding futures and I do not intend to buy any options at this point of time.
This expiry will be tears for many amateur traders specially option traders.


no, they are also afraid, this time option price decay is less now due to budget on expiry day. Smile All price will collapse on the last day.


I dont think the railway budget will have any much impact on nifty.


If I am not wrong, main budget on expiry day, so not talking about rail budget.


Yes I am mistaken, the rail budget is tomorrow and the main budget is on the 28th of Feb. Apologies Mr.Das and everyone.
This will be interesting then. Let me think what can be done.
Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes
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apka
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Post: #848   PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 5:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

whats up with DAX 7840.80 +178.89 +2.33%
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SP50
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Post: #849   PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 5:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
whats up with DAX 7840.80 +178.89 +2.33%


Celebrating Italian Austerity victory and Japani pro note printing governor appointment at central bank.
I am waiting for the German Election the result of which will start the financial armagedon. 24
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skd2012
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Post: #850   PostPosted: Tue Feb 26, 2013 7:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Once Dow corrects a bit more, markets will be synchronous. Other wise it has always been a risk for longs. Let's see how far western market corrects. Our market will play more for budget in next 2-3 days I feel.

We can see bounce from 5800-5820 around level? Some upmove is possible for budget play 5880 NF is resistance, but if we are close to this on budget day, then it can cross for 100 points upmove Very Happy

expiry at lowest point?
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apka
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Post: #851   PostPosted: Tue Feb 26, 2013 9:09 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

sw_das wrote:
expiry at lowest point?


yes, im expecting so
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satishkadam
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Post: #852   PostPosted: Tue Feb 26, 2013 9:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

[quote="satishkadam"]
psalm wrote:
I still believe that the market will go up as long as yesterday's low (around 5835 is not violated). I still feel that there is good chance for us to test 6050-6060 levels in this week. With that anticipation, I'm still buying wherever, I see opportunity. Anyway, let's wait and see... Smile[/quote

5835.... violated.....BN 12000 Violated.....Looks like... its going down.................



Satish



Market is going down...... very less support left................

Thanks
Satish
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vinay28
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Post: #853   PostPosted: Tue Feb 26, 2013 9:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I would buy now with 5810SL
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psalm
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Post: #854   PostPosted: Tue Feb 26, 2013 10:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Have exited most of my high beta longs this morning, holding only a few defencives ones now. Now the situation is such that my hedging has almost become half of my portfolio when exited most of the longs. By the way, I feel that this is not the time to buy anticipating any budget rally. Yes, I do feel now, that trading against the major trend expecting a budget rally for some quick bucks was a bad ploy. Though the market hasn't gone anywhere from 5880 or so. Has been goning up 60 points up or down. But if one look at the individual stocks, hell lot of action was happening there. Many have gone down by more than 25 or 30 % in this 50 or 100 point move which shows the undercurrent of the market. But there could still be some rally, if there is a good budget. But its better to avoid buying as the global markets are looking extremely vulnerable. Europe has already been in a down trend for the last few weeks. It did try to counter that move yesterday only to be sold into. The move in the U.S market could be another signal that some kinda correction is around the corner there as well. Only some miracles can save the markets from some short to medium term correction. 5600-5590 area in the short term and then 5250 or so in the medium term are the ones to look for. On the upside, levels around 6040-6060 could still be possible by next week. But its better to wait for higher levels to sell, rather than buy expecting higher levels. This is what I feel at this point of time.

NOTE: Will initiate Shorts or buy PUTs if we go below 19180-19150 area. Below this range, I wont be surprised to see any sell off. For Nifty the area 5803-5790 is the last line of defence as per my analysis. Below that, I don't see too much support coming in the next 200 points. IT stocks will be my preferred shorting candidates if there is any pullbacks in the next few days. I don't expect too much upside from here. Anyway, let's wait and See.
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apka
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Post: #855   PostPosted: Tue Feb 26, 2013 10:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
I would buy now with 5810SL


gut feeling says bank nifty+metals+LT+Bhel will see short covering today
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