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Nifty View February
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Author Nifty View February
aahoo
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Joined: 14 Jan 2012
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Post: #976   PostPosted: Wed Feb 27, 2013 7:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
Can any one post historical chart with feb series end and budget day on same day.
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apka
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Post: #977   PostPosted: Wed Feb 27, 2013 7:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
PCR 0.79
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apka
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Post: #978   PostPosted: Thu Feb 28, 2013 7:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
see attached budget day and nifty movements.

Average Move During 5 days prior to budget has been 2.9%, on budget day 2.4% and 5 days post budget 4.7%.
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rsnerella
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Post: #979   PostPosted: Thu Feb 28, 2013 8:31 am    Post subject: Nifty - February Reply with quote
Good information apka. Thanks.
apka wrote:
see attached budget day and nifty movements.

Average Move During 5 days prior to budget has been 2.9%, on budget day 2.4% and 5 days post budget 4.7%.
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skd2012
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Joined: 03 Oct 2012
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Post: #980   PostPosted: Thu Feb 28, 2013 8:43 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Yes, it is helpful. thx
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vinay28
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Post: #981   PostPosted: Thu Feb 28, 2013 8:51 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
one good reference is what happened 12 years ago. Smile
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stevenmat
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Post: #982   PostPosted: Thu Feb 28, 2013 8:51 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Looks like a huge gap up...

@vinay : PCR of 0.79 and premium of 1...you can't get a cheaper bargain Laughing Laughing
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vinay28
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Post: #983   PostPosted: Thu Feb 28, 2013 8:54 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
yes steve, a short covering rally in case of a good budget can alone take nifty to 6110, not necessarily today but possible. Smile
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skd2012
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Post: #984   PostPosted: Thu Feb 28, 2013 8:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
60L OI came in last two days, which came in the range of 5750-5830 NF range, we are opening out side of this range today. It is going to be interesting!!
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apka
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Post: #985   PostPosted: Thu Feb 28, 2013 9:26 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
sw_das wrote:
60L OI came in last two days, which came in the range of 5750-5830 NF range, we are opening out side of this range today. It is going to be interesting!!


its normal sw_das... dont confuse it as high OI building up.. 4 days before continuing to expiry day it happens. its just rollover... infact OI is low right now. A good OI to start a month would be above 200 lakhs.. right now its 116 lakhs.

meanwhile, VIX has fallen on its face.
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masa
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Post: #986   PostPosted: Thu Feb 28, 2013 9:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
apka...r u still holding Mar 5800 Put??
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psalm
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Joined: 12 Nov 2011
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Post: #987   PostPosted: Thu Feb 28, 2013 9:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
Market is trading around the lows of the day at 5834 (low is around 5833) after making a high around 5850. In my opinion, the first key resistance area for the day is 5857-5861 range, above that 5908-5918 could be tested while the major resistance for the day will be in teh range 5935-5947. I expect the market to find its key support around 5736-5716, below that selling pressure could increase. For me, the major support is still around 5593, as mentioned a few days back. That means I'll be comfortable selling as long as 5860 or so holds....beyond that level, I'll be a bit cautious.....anyway, let's wait and see what the budget brings to the market... Smile
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vinay28
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Post: #988   PostPosted: Thu Feb 28, 2013 9:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
apka wrote:
sw_das wrote:
60L OI came in last two days, which came in the range of 5750-5830 NF range, we are opening out side of this range today. It is going to be interesting!!


its normal sw_das... dont confuse it as high OI building up.. 4 days before continuing to expiry day it happens. its just rollover... infact OI is low right now. A good OI to start a month would be above 200 lakhs.. right now its 116 lakhs.

meanwhile, VIX has fallen on its face.


The way FIIs have played the game. I understand that their total short position does not match the total OI. I don't understand what they are upto. But one thing is sure and that is, today is a day of "Mahakashta" for all.
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apka
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Post: #989   PostPosted: Thu Feb 28, 2013 9:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
masa wrote:
apka...r u still holding Mar 5800 Put??


yes masa. its at cost 75 now. in return my hedged LT and SBI are up.
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masa
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Post: #990   PostPosted: Thu Feb 28, 2013 9:37 am    Post subject: Reply with quote
apka wrote:
masa wrote:
apka...r u still holding Mar 5800 Put??


yes masa. its at cost 75 now. in return my hedged LT and SBI are up.


apka...what is further view on account of your Nifty position??
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