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Nifty View - Jan 2013 |
vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #31  Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 10:49 am Post subject: |
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weekly candle is also an inside bar, which means if nifty goes above 5931 and closes above 5909, it's good but a close below 5879...... I feel 5931 is possible today but above that  |
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skd2012
Yellow Belt
Joined: 03 Oct 2012
Posts: 948
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| Post: #32 Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 10:49 am Post subject: |
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| Good thing today it banknifty is moving today...its a good sign for NF upmove so far......... |
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pkholla
Black Belt
Joined: 04 Nov 2010
Posts: 2890
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| Post: #33 Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 1:10 pm Post subject: |
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Sam: Save us from boredom and sleep! Please analyse the US fiscal cliff crisis and tell us in brief (dont want to trouble u too much) what happens if
a) agreement between Reps and Dems
b) no agreement
and effect on Indian share market
Thanks in advance, Prakash Holla |
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chandrujimrc
Brown Belt
Joined: 21 Apr 2009
Posts: 1683
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| Post: #34 Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 2:02 pm Post subject: |
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| I dont know how it is possible to contyol the mkt without moving either up or down?Is it by big players or Nse itself? |
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stevenmat
White Belt
Joined: 27 Dec 2011
Posts: 478
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| Post: #35 Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 2:14 pm Post subject: |
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| NIFTY & FTSE at the same point 5902 |
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psalm
Black Belt
Joined: 12 Nov 2011
Posts: 5368
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| Post: #36 Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 2:15 pm Post subject: |
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| chandrujimrc wrote: | | I dont know how it is possible to contyol the mkt without moving either up or down?Is it by big players or Nse itself? |
It means no one (read FII) is there to push the market UP....they're on vacation now....many markets across the globe will be closed in the next few days....for example, china, Japan European markets all will be closed for another couple of days due to New year and all....so little foreign fund activities will be there....  |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #37 Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 2:18 pm Post subject: |
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| pkholla wrote: | Sam: Save us from boredom and sleep! Please analyse the US fiscal cliff crisis and tell us in brief (dont want to trouble u too much) what happens if
a) agreement between Reps and Dems
b) no agreement
and effect on Indian share market
Thanks in advance, Prakash Holla |
sam, study this info and revert
Whenever CBOE VIX spikes, US markets make a bottom as it happened in appx. mid 2010 and 2011. It has gone up above 22 and it means US markets may make a bottom in few weeks. |
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #38 Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 2:18 pm Post subject: |
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| stevenmat wrote: | | NIFTY & FTSE at the same point 5902 |
that's the BO point for one and BD point for the other. |
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psalm
Black Belt
Joined: 12 Nov 2011
Posts: 5368
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| Post: #39 Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 2:23 pm Post subject: |
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| pkholla wrote: | Sam: Save us from boredom and sleep! Please analyse the US fiscal cliff crisis and tell us in brief (dont want to trouble u too much) what happens if
a) agreement between Reps and Dems
b) no agreement
and effect on Indian share market
Thanks in advance, Prakash Holla |
Prakash,
It is very difficult for me to conclude how this fiscal cliff issue is gonna play out today and in the next few days....lot of possibilities are there...for example, even if the Reps and Dems don't agree on the deal today, it can still implement on a retrospective manner...so, nothing much to be worried, even if nothing happens today...there is a feeling that the deal could be signed before Obama taking oath for the second time around Jan 20....Anyway, only time will tell how it is gonna end.....by the way, I have pasted the links of a few articles that I have seen recently......I think you too will find them interesting
http://profit.ndtv.com/news/international-business/article-all-you-need-to-know-about-the-us-fiscal-cliff-crisis-315380
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/liamhalligan/9770870/The-US-cliff-one-small-part-of-a-huge-debt-crisis.html
http://www.cnbc.com/id/100345480
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-12-26/guest-post-structural-endgame-fiscal-cliff
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/31/us/politics/obama-accuses-republicans-of-blocking-tax-deal.html?emc=na&_r=0
http://www.economist.com/content/global_debt_clock?fsrc=scn/tw/te/eoy/adventrerun
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-12-30/guest-post-fiscal-cliff-contingencies
http://in.reuters.com/article/2012/12/30/usa-fiscal-cliff-idINDEE8BT00N20121230
http://www.businessinsider.com/sean-west-why-theres-a-2-1-chance-that-we-get-a-fiscal-cliff-deal-tomorrow-2012-12
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/12/29/ecb-bundesbank-weidmann-idUSL5E8NT18J20121229
http://www.cnbc.com/id/100343423
Regards,
SAm |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #40 Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 2:24 pm Post subject: |
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| psalm wrote: | | chandrujimrc wrote: | | I dont know how it is possible to contyol the mkt without moving either up or down?Is it by big players or Nse itself? |
It means no one (read FII) is there to push the market UP....they're on vacation now....many markets across the globe will be closed in the next few days....for example, china, Japan European markets all will be closed for another couple of days due to New year and all....so little foreign fund activities will be there.... |
The skeleton staff in all offices (except India) are given orders based on SL only in year end and mostly for F&O. |
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psalm
Black Belt
Joined: 12 Nov 2011
Posts: 5368
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| Post: #41 Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 2:26 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | pkholla wrote: | Sam: Save us from boredom and sleep! Please analyse the US fiscal cliff crisis and tell us in brief (dont want to trouble u too much) what happens if
a) agreement between Reps and Dems
b) no agreement
and effect on Indian share market
Thanks in advance, Prakash Holla |
sam, study this info and revert
Whenever CBOE VIX spikes, US markets make a bottom as it happened in appx. mid 2010 and 2011. It has gone up above 22 and it means US markets may make a bottom in few weeks. |
You could be right, Vinay....I have noticed the spike in VIX on friday....but I dont think that's the end of the story....at the same time, historical patterns and data pointing to one more spike and then some consolidation before a major move......anyway, will look at it again and get back with my take on that... |
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pkholla
Black Belt
Joined: 04 Nov 2010
Posts: 2890
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| Post: #42 Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 2:29 pm Post subject: |
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Sam: Thanks a lot for the update and links.
One thing for sure, US overtaking Saudi as the BIGGEST oil/ gas producer this fiscal itself (thanks to shale fracking) means ANY kind of agreement may send the bourses upwards! Hope sense prevails amongst Dems and Reps as they sit to thrash out an agreement
Prakash Holla
PS Economist world debt map makes me proud. India is now an advanced country! Total public debt in UK is ONLY DOUBLE that of India, and in US ONLY 10 TIMES that of India! Jai Hind |
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chandrujimrc
Brown Belt
Joined: 21 Apr 2009
Posts: 1683
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| Post: #43 Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 3:12 pm Post subject: |
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| Mkt in red but 5900 CE and PE both are in plus |
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psalm
Black Belt
Joined: 12 Nov 2011
Posts: 5368
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| Post: #44 Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 3:22 pm Post subject: |
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| chandrujimrc wrote: | | Mkt in red but 5900 CE and PE both are in plus |
That means some traders are expecting an explosive move from these levels....that could be why the PUTs and CALLs of same strike price are in green, I feel.... |
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psalm
Black Belt
Joined: 12 Nov 2011
Posts: 5368
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| Post: #45 Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 3:32 pm Post subject: |
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| psalm wrote: | | chandrujimrc wrote: | | Mkt in red but 5900 CE and PE both are in plus |
That means some traders are expecting an explosive move from these levels....that could be why the PUTs and CALLs of same strike price are in green, I feel.... |
We were talkin about LONG straddle strategy this morning itself....  |
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