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Nifty View - Jan 2013
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Author Nifty View - Jan 2013
vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #901   PostPosted: Fri Jan 25, 2013 5:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

very naughty apka. check out OI in 5900 to 6200 ce/pe. PCR dropped from 1.13 eod wednesday to 1.05 yesterday.
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apka
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Post: #902   PostPosted: Fri Jan 25, 2013 7:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
very naughty apka. check out OI in 5900 to 6200 ce/pe. PCR dropped from 1.13 eod wednesday to 1.05 yesterday.


jan is confusing. yesterday 6000pe shedded 12 lakh shares and 6100ce had added 18 lakh shares ... today 6000pe has added 17 lakh shares and 6100ce has shedded 17 lakh shares!

jan fut OI dropped to miniscule 115 lakhs. Today -7.5 Lakh shares shedded OI.

6200ce has shedded 2 lakh shares- total OI 94 lakhs.. still standing comfortably.

5900pe just added under 10k shares... should have added more like 6000pe did.. so i guess break above 6100 or below 6000 is still possible in next 4 days.
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skd2012
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Post: #903   PostPosted: Fri Jan 25, 2013 8:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

yes it is confusing while it is still intact for up trend!! Also fall is not convincing as of now. It does not even touch 20 EMA. Severe range bound, but since premiums are very low good intraday volatility is present in options....other wise very boring index...it is doing two days up two days down!! stocks have good move though!!

Hope RBI policy brings one way move!!
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vinay28
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Post: #904   PostPosted: Fri Jan 25, 2013 9:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I feel that intraday low below about 6021 and a daily/weekly close below about 6035/6093 resp. next week may only confirm bearishness, particularly if all happen. It's important, therefore, to keep track of these levels every day next week.
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apka
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Post: #905   PostPosted: Sat Jan 26, 2013 9:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

morgan stanely has surrendered its indian banking license and is now back to nbfc........ I couldnt comprehend the reasons given in the newspaper, any views? What message does it send out?
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saumya12
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Post: #906   PostPosted: Sat Jan 26, 2013 11:17 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
saumya12 wrote:
vinay28 wrote:

Monday's low should be about 6042NF.

I fully agree with you
It seems, on monday market will go down.
See daily chart, three-fourth (3/4) of IH&S is completed.


saumya, you are agreeing with me and also saying market will go down on monday? When I said 6042NF on monday it means a higher low.

I just could not make out the reasoning.
Or you have not seen the chart. Or I am missing something.
Down doesnt mean sub 6000 levels, 6042 is also down when NF closes at 6074 today
To complete a IH&S a downleg is necessary and you said 6042 on Monday.
A higher low (HL) is necesary prior to a higher high (HH) for IH&S.
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vinay28
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Post: #907   PostPosted: Sat Jan 26, 2013 11:41 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

ok saumya understood your point
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skd2012
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Post: #908   PostPosted: Sat Jan 26, 2013 8:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

There is a possibility that if we do not break below 5800 by Feb series then market can move to 6600-7000 by May series. It means we can see a shallow correction (not immediately from tomorrow Smile ) and then a upside blow. Market needs continuous tracking and view changes if there is chart structure change.

Regards!
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apka
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Post: #909   PostPosted: Sun Jan 27, 2013 5:07 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

how much effect does icici have on nifty and bank nifty? Tuesday rbi policy and thursday expiry are its results.

On daily charts it is showing hNs pattern for tgrt 1140?
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vinay28
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Post: #910   PostPosted: Sun Jan 27, 2013 12:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

sw_das wrote:
There is a possibility that if we do not break below 5800 by Feb series then market can move to 6600-7000 by May series. It means we can see a shallow correction (not immediately from tomorrow Smile ) and then a upside blow. Market needs continuous tracking and view changes if there is chart structure change.


If the levels given by me below for Jan are not violated, these levels will only increase in Feb.
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apka
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Post: #911   PostPosted: Sun Jan 27, 2013 1:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay, how did you arrive at those levels ?
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vinay28
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Post: #912   PostPosted: Sun Jan 27, 2013 1:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

mai bhi sapne dekhta hu! 24 24
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saumya12
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Post: #913   PostPosted: Sun Jan 27, 2013 1:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:

If the levels given by me below for Jan are not violated, these levels will only increase in Feb.

Which levels!!
Please post those levels again.
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dhanjaal
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Post: #914   PostPosted: Sun Jan 27, 2013 4:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
mai bhi sapne dekhta hu! 24 24


@Vinay ji Mungerilal ke Haseen Sapne 24 24
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apka
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Post: #915   PostPosted: Sun Jan 27, 2013 4:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
I feel that intraday low below about 6021 and a daily/weekly close below about 6035/6093 resp. next week may only confirm bearishness, particularly if all happen. It's important, therefore, to keep track of these levels every day next week.


here saumya
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