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Nifty View - January '15 Series |
chandrujimrc Brown Belt
Joined: 21 Apr 2009 Posts: 1683
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Post: #46 Posted: Wed Jan 07, 2015 9:24 pm Post subject: |
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Vinay, we can call it as Modi gap. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #47 Posted: Wed Jan 07, 2015 9:29 pm Post subject: |
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chandrujimrc wrote: | Vinay, we can call it as Modi gap. |
haha, yes chandru |
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satishkadam Yellow Belt
Joined: 01 Apr 2010 Posts: 805
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Post: #48 Posted: Thu Jan 08, 2015 10:04 am Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | chandrujimrc wrote: | Vinay, we can call it as Modi gap. |
haha, yes chandru |
Reliance... coming down.. is not a good sign for nifty |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #49 Posted: Thu Jan 08, 2015 4:11 pm Post subject: |
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If nifty falls, likely levels are shown. If, however, it gives 3 consecutive closes above 50dma (presently around 8330), it can go up towards new high. |
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EssJay White Belt
Joined: 05 Sep 2012 Posts: 270
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Post: #50 Posted: Thu Jan 08, 2015 4:42 pm Post subject: |
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chandrujimrc wrote: | Dear vinay,
Except March 2014 close of 6646 every thing cleared.Without clearing Oct14 close of 8166 mkt went upto 8668 but it again cleared the oct close on dec 16.So every thing cleared. |
It cleared it in spot on May 8. Does that count? |
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riteshucha Green Belt
Joined: 19 May 2012 Posts: 1292
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Post: #51 Posted: Thu Jan 08, 2015 5:20 pm Post subject: |
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vinay, some say that the flash low of 8000 will be touched again soon before 15/16th jan...
but there are some who say that the low has already been made for the series...
what do u think... |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #52 Posted: Thu Jan 08, 2015 6:13 pm Post subject: |
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riteshucha wrote: | vinay, some say that the flash low of 8000 will be touched again soon before 15/16th jan...
but there are some who say that the low has already been made for the series...
what do u think... |
I wish I knew ritesh. 3 or 4 occasions in last 2 years when freak lows were made, they were either in NS or NF and didn't matter much unless they were hints of those levels to come. But now I can't find those details. That's why we need to see levels being broken on the up or down consistently. Often mock trading gives hints. Yes 16/17 and 22/23 Jan are crucial dates according to some methods but not sure.
The chart I attached was just to show one possibility. On the up, I had already posted possible levels of 9200/9400. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #53 Posted: Thu Jan 08, 2015 9:38 pm Post subject: |
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This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.
Nifty for Friday (09/01/14) and beyond
Supports are at about 8212, 8184 and 8138 while resistances are at about 8270, 8292, 8316, 8341 and 8361. Previous unfilled gaps on higher/lower sides are at about 8379/8102 resp. Two +WWs can give 8291 (if above 8209) and 8370 (if above 8150) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Two -WWs can give about 8008 and 7915 (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). A HnS can give about 7665 if nifty breaks below 8060.
Nifty rose in spite of a huge gap up open and closed well above 8200 and above 100 dma and seems to be headed higher. However, a mild bearish div has developed and will not go unless nifty crosses 8328. Also, only 3 consecutive close above 50 dma (presently at about 8330) can see further up move. A close above 8294 on Friday will give a hammer on weekly but a close above 8300/8324/8337 will be a bonus to bulls. On the other hand, a sharp reversal from the Friday's high and/or a close below 100 dma (presently about 8136) may start the slide again. Only a break of 8446 on the up may give some hope for a new high. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #54 Posted: Thu Jan 08, 2015 10:02 pm Post subject: |
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Updated NF levels. |
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PS Trader White Belt
Joined: 22 Sep 2013 Posts: 101
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Post: #55 Posted: Thu Jan 08, 2015 10:27 pm Post subject: |
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World markets are thick green now
SGX Nifty trades @ 8333 above the important level you mentioned.
Let us see whether we can hold that level by closing basis eod. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #56 Posted: Fri Jan 09, 2015 8:35 am Post subject: |
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PS Trader wrote: | World markets are thick green now
SGX Nifty trades @ 8333 above the important level you mentioned.
Let us see whether we can hold that level by closing basis eod. |
mine is NS while sgx is NF |
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saurabhkurichh White Belt
Joined: 30 Oct 2006 Posts: 127
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Post: #57 Posted: Fri Jan 09, 2015 3:25 pm Post subject: |
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silently minting money these days ?? |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #58 Posted: Fri Jan 09, 2015 6:39 pm Post subject: |
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saurabhkurichh wrote: | silently minting money these days ?? |
If that was meant for me, yes and no. no because I am too tied up lately and not able to post regularly. yes because yesterday and today were lucky days though nowhere near minting.
carried forward calls were sold upon open today, puts were bought, sold near lows and calls were bought again, which were sold before eod and small puts were bought again for carrying.
I am now short for a variety of reasons; (a) NS didn't touch/cross 8328 thereby continuing the mild bearish div, (b) didn't seem to be closing above 8294 (forget 50 dma or 8337) and thus weekly candle was becoming bearish engulfing, (c) rise seemed to be mainly due to few scrips such as infy, hul, pharma, etc. with bank nifty continuing to be -ve, (d) daily candle seemed to be forming long legged doji cum hammer (cum hanging man and (e) Europe, INR and dow fut appeared weak near eod.
Also, I feel next week could be volatile and nervous and likelihood of previous lows being revisited can not be ruled out before next powerful rally.
Last edited by vinay28 on Sat Jan 10, 2015 1:08 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #59 Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 1:07 pm Post subject: |
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This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.
Nifty for Monday (12/01/14) and beyond
Supports are at about 8269, 8259, 8215 and 8144 while resistances are at about 8291, 8329, 8341, 8341, 8373 and 8405. Previous unfilled gaps on higher/lower sides are at about 8379/8102 resp. 100/50 dma are at about 8144/8333 resp. A +WW can give 8422 (if above 8212) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Three -WWs can give about 8175 (if below 8317), 8107 (if below 8217) and 7995 (if below 8347) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). A HnS can give about 7675 if nifty breaks below 8075.
Nifty recovered after a sharp fall to close well above 8250 and seems to be headed higher. Daily candle is a long legged doji cum hammer (hanging man) while weekly candle is bearish engulfing with a mild -ve div. Hence, some fall is expected next week. A gap down open on Monday and a breach of 8190 later will be the first warning. Breach of 8065 and/or a close below 100 dma (8144) next week can also be very bearish. On the other hand, crossing 8328 will negate the mild bearish div seen for a few days. Also, only 3 consecutive close above 50 dma (presently at about 8333) can see further up move. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term. |
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riteshucha Green Belt
Joined: 19 May 2012 Posts: 1292
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Post: #60 Posted: Mon Jan 12, 2015 1:42 pm Post subject: |
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shorted at 8311 SL 8337... will reverse above 8351... |
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