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Nifty View - January Series 2014 |
amitagg Black Belt
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Post: #466 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 1:09 pm Post subject: |
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[quote="amitagg"]i have a feeling it shall do down today for few points from here on...but not sure whether 6140-6130 shall be breached convincingly....[/quote
as said  |
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amitagg Black Belt
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Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #467 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 1:13 pm Post subject: |
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[quote="amitagg"] amitagg wrote: | i have a feeling it shall do down today for few points from here on...but not sure whether 6140-6130 shall be breached convincingly....[/quote
as said  |
that is not to say 6085 cannot be reached today but that it had to fall from 6157 below which it did......dont see upsides for today |
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SP50 Brown Belt
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Joined: 26 Nov 2010 Posts: 1615
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Post: #468 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 1:58 pm Post subject: |
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What is the market really waiting for? the Ben news on taper or the expiry. Option writers confidently writing away both put and call with DII only buyers at the moment.
Maruti was disliked yesterday and today boom, really makes no sense and now ICICI.
I feel that taking any positions now should be in Feb series where valuation looks alright in options.
Vinay whats your take? |
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vinay28 Black Belt
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #469 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 2:06 pm Post subject: |
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SP50 wrote: | What is the market really waiting for? the Ben news on taper or the expiry. Option writers confidently writing away both put and call with DII only buyers at the moment.
Maruti was disliked yesterday and today boom, really makes no sense and now ICICI.
I feel that taking any positions now should be in Feb series where valuation looks alright in options.
Vinay whats your take? |
maruti case is obvious. I am still bullish on nifty and banknifty in short term i.e. feb and march. One more breach of 6350 will take it to new heights. But if you are not sure, as I said yesterday, buy 6400ce/6000pe for feb/mar if nifty goes to 6200, when it does.
just for info, s&p made a new high 74 times last year after breaching previous one successfully the first time. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #470 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 2:21 pm Post subject: |
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the long term bears will love this. The first one shows the two fed driven rallies |
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vinay28 Black Belt
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #471 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 3:00 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | if it breaks below 6147 convincingly, we may see 6085. |
now 6065 is possible |
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SP50 Brown Belt
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Joined: 26 Nov 2010 Posts: 1615
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Post: #472 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 3:25 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | vinay28 wrote: | if it breaks below 6147 convincingly, we may see 6085. |
now 6065 is possible |
difficult |
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rk_a2003 Black Belt
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Joined: 21 Jan 2010 Posts: 2734
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Post: #473 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 6:13 pm Post subject: |
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"....just for info, s&p made a new high 74 times last year after breaching previous one successfully the first time."
You expect the same feet by Nifty.... of course it's quite possible once Election uncertainty is behind us. Where do you get such data?...It's quite interesting.....74 times ..Is this number indicating the uncertainty and volatility also?. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #474 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 6:28 pm Post subject: |
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rk_a2003 wrote: | "....just for info, s&p made a new high 74 times last year after breaching previous one successfully the first time."
You expect the same feet by Nifty.... of course it's quite possible once Election uncertainty is behind us. Where do you get such data?...It's quite interesting.....74 times ..[color=red]Is this number indicating the uncertainty and volatility also?.[/color] |
your query not clear, RK. and about data, I always keep my ears to ground.  |
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rk_a2003 Black Belt
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Joined: 21 Jan 2010 Posts: 2734
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Post: #475 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 6:41 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | rk_a2003 wrote: | "....just for info, s&p made a new high 74 times last year after breaching previous one successfully the first time."
You expect the same feet by Nifty.... of course it's quite possible once Election uncertainty is behind us. Where do you get such data?...It's quite interesting.....74 times ..[color=red]Is this number indicating the uncertainty and volatility also?.[/color] |
your query not clear, RK. and about data, I always keep my ears to ground.  |
It's OK, don't bother about the query. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #476 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 6:56 pm Post subject: |
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rk_a2003 wrote: | vinay28 wrote: | rk_a2003 wrote: | "....just for info, s&p made a new high 74 times last year after breaching previous one successfully the first time."
You expect the same feet by Nifty.... of course it's quite possible once Election uncertainty is behind us. Where do you get such data?...It's quite interesting.....74 times ..[color=red]Is this number indicating the uncertainty and volatility also?.[/color] |
your query not clear, RK. and about data, I always keep my ears to ground.  |
It's OK, don't bother about the query. |
pl feel free rk. I have really not understood its meaning? Unless what you are implying is that 74 times new high implies uncertainty volatility? If so, I don't think so, considering that there are about 260 working days. IF it goes up every day, it is a new high every day, that's all. By the way, I heard it but not verified it. |
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rk_a2003 Black Belt
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Joined: 21 Jan 2010 Posts: 2734
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Post: #477 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 7:18 pm Post subject: |
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Thanks Vinay,You answered my query. |
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apka Black Belt
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Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #478 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 7:33 pm Post subject: |
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did you see european markets and rupee fut now?
wtf?
i mean why the fall? |
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vinay28 Black Belt
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #479 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 7:35 pm Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | did you see european markets and rupee fut now?
wtf?
i mean why the fall? |
fomc jitters. wait till eod of their market. |
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apka Black Belt
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Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #480 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 7:40 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | apka wrote: | did you see european markets and rupee fut now?
wtf?
i mean why the fall? |
fomc jitters. wait till eod of their market. |
from +110 to -180 DAX ... hope nifty gives such an excitement tomorrow. |
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