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Nifty View - July '16 Series
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Author Nifty View - July '16 Series
vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #46   PostPosted: Thu Jul 21, 2016 8:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Friday (22/07/16) and beyond

Supports are at about 8488/72/48/29/03 and 8373 while resistances are at about 8536/58/84, 8618 and 8635. Unfilled gaps on the higher/lower side are at about 8707/8467. Three +WWs can give about 8564 (if above 8519), 8580 (if above 8541) and 8619 (if above 8476) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Four -WWs can give about 8440 (if below 8526), 8339 (if below 8539) and 8282 (if below 8587) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). An IHnS can give 8635 if nifty remains above 8000. A rising wedge can give about 8320 if nifty breaks and sustains below 8525.

Nifty opened up with a small gap but fell to close -ve and above 8500. Daily candle is bearish engulfing marubuzo with strong -ve volume and we may see more fall. Nifty must close above 8566 on daily basis and above 8542 on weekly basis to begin with while a close below 8508/8467 may cause some fall. A big move is imminent. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term.
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riteshucha
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Joined: 19 May 2012
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Post: #47   PostPosted: Fri Jul 22, 2016 10:27 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

thanks vinay,



vinay28 wrote:
riteshucha wrote:
hii vinay,

if 8595 is spot is not crossed, today and tomm could be the days when u see a good fall.??????...
stoch and macd both have turned flat on daily and on the verge of a down crossover....


Sorry ritesh, saw your post now. you saw what happened today. However, it doesn't mean 8595 won't be crossed again. It always depend on liquidity which incidentally was strong -ve today. BTW, I mentioned today and tmrw just in case nifty remained in a range. now it seems more fall may happen. I will post my daily post soon.
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #48   PostPosted: Fri Jul 22, 2016 7:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Monday (22/07/16) and beyond

Supports are at about 8531/24/06, 8498/79/65/31/06 and 8392 while resistances are at about 8558/67/81/89, 8616 and 8659. Unfilled gaps on the higher/lower side are at about 8707/8467. Three +WWs can give about 8572 (if above 8509), 8595 (if above 8538) and 8621 (if above 8474) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Three -WWs can give about 8453 (if below 8541), 8337 (if below 8541) and 8282 (if below 8481) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). An IHnS can give 8635 if nifty remains above 8000. A rising wedge can give about 8320 if nifty breaks and sustains below 8525.

Nifty opened up with a small gap and rose to close +ve and below 8550. Daily volume is good +ve and there is a +ve div and we may see further rise. However, weekly candle is like a spinning top and a hanging man with strong -ve volume and -ve div. Hence, eventually we may see more fall. Nifty must close above 8566 to begin with while a close below 8508 can start fresh fall. Weekly candle is NR29 and a very big move is imminent. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term.
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katariajs
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Joined: 25 Jan 2014
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Post: #49   PostPosted: Fri Jul 22, 2016 11:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ok
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doctorshah
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Post: #50   PostPosted: Tue Jul 26, 2016 8:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Update plz
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apka
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Joined: 13 Dec 2011
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Post: #51   PostPosted: Tue Jul 26, 2016 11:09 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Incidentally with the rise Nifty has crossed it's 52 week high
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vinay28
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Post: #52   PostPosted: Tue Jul 26, 2016 8:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Wednesday (27/07/16) and beyond

Supports are at about 8571/57/32/0, 8480/46/22 and 8368 while resistances are at about 8607/34/49/75 and 8731. Unfilled gaps on the higher/lower side are at about 8707/8467. (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Three -WWs can give about 8564, 8371 (if below 8565) and 8282 (if below 8491) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). A rising wedge can give about 8160 if nifty breaks and sustains below 8574.

Nifty opened flattish, rose a bit before falling sharply late in the day to close -ve and below 8600. Daily volume is strong -ve and we may see further fall. Nifty must close above 8636 to continue the rally while a close below 8508 can start fresh fall. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term. Trade carefully expiry being two days away.
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vinay28
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Post: #53   PostPosted: Wed Jul 27, 2016 6:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Thursday (28/07/16) and beyond

Supports are at about 8586/32/20/14, 8497/80/66/49/22 and 8408 while resistances are at about 8621/48/66/74/81/91, 8704 and 8761. Unfilled gaps on the higher/lower side are at about 8707/8467. A +WW can give about 8687 (if above 8564) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Four -WWs can give about 8557 (if below 8597), 8468 (if below 8633) and 8435/8335 (if below 8571) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). A rising wedge can give about 8160 if nifty breaks and sustains below 8574.

Nifty opened flattish, made a higher high and fell sharply. But it recovered a bit to close above 8600. Daily candle is bullish engulfing but a doji and like an inverted hammer but volume was strong +ve and we may see volatility. Nifty must close above 8636 to continue the rally while a close below 8508 can start fresh fall. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term. Trade carefully being an expiry day.
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amitagg
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Post: #54   PostPosted: Thu Jul 28, 2016 6:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

manojkr78 wrote:
Vinay,

July13-23 period high/low so far 8595/8475......23rd no trading, would you consider the next trading day on account???


So what are the final figures and one sided projection
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vinay28
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Post: #55   PostPosted: Thu Jul 28, 2016 8:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

manojkr78 wrote:
Vinay,

July13-23 period high/low so far 8595/8475......23rd no trading, would you consider the next trading day on account???


first of all, the period is 13-26/7 and the high/low are 8674.70/8476.70. Break out on either direction can give 12-90% gain by 14/01/17. Gain is more if first break out is false. Clearly 90% is ruled out as it will mean 16000.
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manojkr78
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Post: #56   PostPosted: Thu Jul 28, 2016 10:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

26/7 high is 8645 buy why 8674??
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vinay28
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Post: #57   PostPosted: Fri Jul 29, 2016 7:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

manojkr78 wrote:
26/7 high is 8645 buy why 8674??


manoj, it's high/low in the 14 day period.
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vinay28
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Post: #58   PostPosted: Fri Jul 29, 2016 1:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
manojkr78 wrote:
26/7 high is 8645 buy why 8674??


manoj, it's high/low in the 14 day period.


manoj, I am sorry. I saw wrong date on charts. Yes you are right, it's 8644.90. tks for alerting me.
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manojkr78
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Post: #59   PostPosted: Fri Jul 29, 2016 3:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Since Highs are broken so is it considered breakout???
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vinay28
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Post: #60   PostPosted: Fri Jul 29, 2016 6:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

manojkr78 wrote:
Since Highs are broken so is it considered breakout???


yes but now to see whether it is genuine or false. it may take many days to become clear
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