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Nifty View - July 2013
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Author Nifty View - July 2013
apka
Black Belt
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Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #166   PostPosted: Wed Jul 10, 2013 6:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
apka, did INR gain AFTER equity market closed?


ya vinay it gained between 4-5pm. low of 59.69 and close of 59.82

Quote:
Jewellers could continue a voluntary ban on sales of gold coins and bars for six months, in support of the government's efforts to curb imports, a trade body said in a statement on Wednesday.

The All India Gems and Jewellery Trade Federation, which has more than 40,000 members, added that over 65 percent of jewellers had agreed to the ban on sales of bars and coins, which account for about 35 percent of total business.


why would they drop their 35% business by will? seems enforced
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #167   PostPosted: Wed Jul 10, 2013 6:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

crude is up and may hit 110, europe/us are flat to -ve as of now and INR improves? I wonder what's the game! We could see major moves with wild swings in next few days. Doesn't make sense to be in f&o as option writers are enjoying a feast on premium due to high volatility.
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apka
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Post: #168   PostPosted: Wed Jul 10, 2013 6:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
crude is up and may hit 110, europe/us are flat to -ve as of now and INR improves? I wonder what's the game! We could see major moves with wild swings in next few days. Doesn't make sense to be in f&o as option writers are enjoying a feast on premium due to high volatility.


yeh, again low eod figures in equity cash..
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apka
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Post: #169   PostPosted: Wed Jul 10, 2013 7:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

a surprising thing vinay today,

from 5900pe to 5400pe has seen shedding today, except 5800pe which has added 4 lakh shares intraday (reduced from 12 lakh) that too with a high VIX, suggesting short covering in far end puts.

it is unique, all at once without a downside trend prevailing.

call side 5800ce saw sqring off positions, 2 lakh shares shedded OI. rest have added OI.

trapped in a rut without trend till 5750 or 5910 breaks, then too supports and resistances are not far for July series Laughing
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vinay28
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Post: #170   PostPosted: Wed Jul 10, 2013 7:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

let's see whether today's fomc brings 6000 or 5600.
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apka
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Post: #171   PostPosted: Wed Jul 10, 2013 7:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
MUMBAI: India Ratings & Research, a Fitch Group Company arm has revised its outlook for the automobile industry for the first time in six years. The agency has revised its outlook from stable to stable to negative on Wednesday.
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vinay28
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Post: #172   PostPosted: Wed Jul 10, 2013 9:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Government to release IIP, CPI and gdp data after market hours @5.30pm
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vinay28
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Post: #173   PostPosted: Wed Jul 10, 2013 9:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nifty for Thursday (11/07/13)

The unfilled gap on the lower side is at about 5682. Five +WWs can give about 5866/5885 (once above 5839), 5895, 5920 and 5945 (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). A -WW can give about 5676 (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned presently). A weekly bearish flag can give a much lower level unless it gets killed above about 6012. Another bearish flag can give about 5770 unless killed above 5845. A daily bullish flag can give a much higher level unless it gets killed below about 5700.

A close below about 5760 can cause a big fall. While, if nifty closes above 50 sma (about 5918), it will give hopes to bulls. Oil price and INR will remain key to the future of Indian markets in the short term. VIX and PCR are expected to remain high and can cause sharp swings. Only global cues and/or liquidity can take nifty further up.
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welgro
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Joined: 24 Sep 2012
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Post: #174   PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 8:32 am    Post subject: Nifty future analysis 11/jul/2013 Reply with quote

Nifty future analysis for intraday and positional views
charts updates only for learning purpose....
take positions with your own analysis....
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apka
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Post: #175   PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 9:11 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

LT preopening -31% -443, @ 969 .. ??
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DEVDIW
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Joined: 11 Jan 2009
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Post: #176   PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 9:23 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
LT preopening -31% -443, @ 969 .. ??


Is there any bad news in LT ?
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satishkadam
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Post: #177   PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 9:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
LT preopening -31% -443, @ 969 .. ??


thats because of bonus issue..

thanks
satish
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vinay28
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Post: #178   PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 9:31 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sold most of my carried forward calls. Will buy only if 5930/40 NS is crossed.
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beowulf
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Post: #179   PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 9:39 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
Sold most of my carried forward calls. Will buy only if 5930/40 NS is crossed.


Buying any puts..?
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vinay28
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Post: #180   PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 9:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

beowulf wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
Sold most of my carried forward calls. Will buy only if 5930/40 NS is crossed.


Buying any puts..?


not yet. this can zoom both ways. If it breaks and remains below about 5887NS (and particularly 5871), I may buy puts. Or above 5930/40, I will buy calls.
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