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Nifty View - June Series 2014 |
riteshucha
Green Belt
Joined: 19 May 2012
Posts: 1292
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Post: #196  Posted: Mon Jun 23, 2014 2:55 pm Post subject: |
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7467 achieved... open for 7450/7454...
below 7450, tgt could be 7422... |
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ud1981
White Belt
Joined: 21 May 2014
Posts: 14
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| Post: #197 Posted: Mon Jun 23, 2014 4:05 pm Post subject: Put premiums at discount for June series...Any views??? |
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I see that In the Money Puts premiums are being traded at discount when Nifty was at 7448 today.
Ideal value of 7550 June Put should have been Rs102 + Time value. However, it is trading at 91.
Similarly, 7600 June Put was trading at 133.7 when it should have been Rs152 + Time value.
Does this suggest that Put writers have confidently written these In the money Puts & the market will expire well above 7500?? |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #198 Posted: Mon Jun 23, 2014 4:13 pm Post subject: Re: Put premiums at discount for June series...Any views??? |
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| ud1981 wrote: | I see that In the Money Puts premiums are being traded at discount when Nifty was at 7448 today.
Ideal value of 7550 June Put should have been Rs102 + Time value. However, it is trading at 91.
Similarly, 7600 June Put was trading at 133.7 when it should have been Rs152 + Time value.
Does this suggest that Put writers have confidently written these In the money Puts & the market will expire well above 7500?? |
yes, possible. may be above 7600/7700 also. |
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venkkatshiv
White Belt
Joined: 16 May 2008
Posts: 90
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| Post: #199 Posted: Mon Jun 23, 2014 6:16 pm Post subject: Re: Put premiums at discount for June series...Any views??? |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | ud1981 wrote: | I see that In the Money Puts premiums are being traded at discount when Nifty was at 7448 today.
Ideal value of 7550 June Put should have been Rs102 + Time value. However, it is trading at 91.
Similarly, 7600 June Put was trading at 133.7 when it should have been Rs152 + Time value.
Does this suggest that Put writers have confidently written these In the money Puts & the market will expire well above 7500?? |
yes, possible. may be above 7600/7700 also. |
sir, will you please kindly explain from where u get 7550 put should be 102 + and how to calculate Time value .for educational point of value pl. new to option trading.and similarly 7600 put also. pl. explain.
Last edited by venkkatshiv on Tue Jun 24, 2014 11:45 am; edited 1 time in total |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #200 Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2014 11:38 am Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | 7550 and 7475 (which I didn't mention earlier) are given by TLs in the chart below. 7668 is TL from two shoulders, which few days ago was 7675. 7438 is I think a long term TL since Sept but I don't remember now.
However, I have given a caveat about 7438, which is "it should come quickly and reverse". This is because of my feeling based on SA that budget dates can be a trigger for 2nd phase of pre-budget rally. Which means that if budget dates are not announced soon and it falls slowly to 7438, I feel it may not sustain above that and slide further.
Also, if one sells hoping for a target of 7438 and it dips below 7475 then SL should be 7480 but this could give whipsaws.
For professional traders, strictly speaking, it's a no trade zone. I am an amateur but also adventurous.  |
7438 seems to have been protected considering that low was 7441.60. Now looking for 7665. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #201 Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2014 2:08 pm Post subject: |
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| highest ever turnover today, already 5.4 lacs. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #202 Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2014 2:33 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | highest ever turnover today, already 5.4 lacs. |
also, amazingly, f&o turnover on bse is higher than on nse. are we missing something? |
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amitagg
Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013
Posts: 4559
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| Post: #203 Posted: Tue Jun 24, 2014 2:39 pm Post subject: |
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| all intra day nifty view are missing from Dynamite, Ritesh, Nakum [positional], etc....... |
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dynamite_munda11
Yellow Belt
Joined: 14 Nov 2010
Posts: 681
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| Post: #204 Posted: Wed Jun 25, 2014 9:26 am Post subject: intraday nifty fut 25/06/2014 |
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intrday nifty fut 25/06/2014
intraday sell is below 7578 and buy above 7592 nifty fut
buy at or above 7592 trgts 7595/7603/7621 and more upside only above 7621trgts 7639/7645/7650/7657/7661
sell below 7578 trgts 7568/7549 and more dnside below 7549 trgts 7531/7520/7513/7510 |
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riteshucha
Green Belt
Joined: 19 May 2012
Posts: 1292
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| Post: #205 Posted: Wed Jun 25, 2014 11:28 am Post subject: |
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BANK NIFTY
Buy At 15367.08. Target = 15474.65.
Sell At 15239.47. Target = 15132.80. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #206 Posted: Wed Jun 25, 2014 2:24 pm Post subject: |
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| nifty is behaving as if today is expiry. tmrw could see a decisive move. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #207 Posted: Wed Jun 25, 2014 3:16 pm Post subject: |
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| NR7 day today |
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riteshucha
Green Belt
Joined: 19 May 2012
Posts: 1292
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| Post: #208 Posted: Wed Jun 25, 2014 4:48 pm Post subject: |
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keep these levels in mind....
NIFTY july contract
Buy At 7649.21. Target = 7702.76
Sell At 7563.44. Target = 7510.49
NIFTY june
Buy At 7608.02. Target = 7661.27
Sell At 7556.68. Target = 7503.79
june BNF
Buy At 15400.21. Target = 15508.01
Sell At 15173.79. Target = 15067.57
July BNF
Buy At 15527.38. Target = 15636.07
Sell At 15337.17. Target = 15229.81 |
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amitagg
Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013
Posts: 4559
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| Post: #209 Posted: Wed Jun 25, 2014 4:59 pm Post subject: |
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| riteshucha wrote: | keep these levels in mind....
NIFTY july contract
Buy At 7649.21. Target = 7702.76
Sell At 7563.44. Target = 7510.49
NIFTY june
Buy At 7608.02. Target = 7661.27
Sell At 7556.68. Target = 7503.79
june BNF
Buy At 15400.21. Target = 15508.01
Sell At 15173.79. Target = 15067.57
July BNF
Buy At 15527.38. Target = 15636.07
Sell At 15337.17. Target = 15229.81 |
these are weekly pivot based levels i would imagine....like 86 point differece in buy and sell represents 50% of range from 7513-7685/7715.....or somewhat...can u share the details pls.....again 52.2 point difference is 61.8 percent of range 90.........if u do not know calc lets attempt to derive |
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riteshucha
Green Belt
Joined: 19 May 2012
Posts: 1292
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| Post: #210 Posted: Wed Jun 25, 2014 5:07 pm Post subject: |
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| i dont know amit.. i mostly follow JT's levels... my friend has been kind enough to share the levels... lets see a few days how accurate these levels are!!! |
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