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Nifty View - March Series 2014
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Author Nifty View - March Series 2014
vinay28
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Post: #121   PostPosted: Fri Mar 07, 2014 6:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
riteshucha wrote:
now can u tell me apka..

apka wrote:
riteshucha wrote:
6600 PE OI up 100% & 6500 PE OOI ip 150%... then 6200 PE cutting OI now...

what shld we understand from this...


wait for EOD figures


Calls have shedded more OI. 6700ce has added more than 100% OI.

My understanding is we are moving to test 6600-6700 region. And Bank Nifty near 12500.


just look at the volume in all PEs in last one hour vis-à-vis price change. You can see charts
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vinay28
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Post: #122   PostPosted: Fri Mar 07, 2014 7:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

10th March is 5th anniversary of "the Haines bottom".
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vinay28
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Post: #123   PostPosted: Fri Mar 07, 2014 9:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's all TLs, one bisecting the famous gap in Aug'11.
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amitagg
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Post: #124   PostPosted: Fri Mar 07, 2014 9:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
It's all TLs, one bisecting the famous gap in Aug'11.


it only show markets on cusp of significant breakout if not already done Laughing
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vinay28
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Post: #125   PostPosted: Fri Mar 07, 2014 9:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

amitagg wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
It's all TLs, one bisecting the famous gap in Aug'11.


it only show markets on cusp of significant breakout if not already done Laughing


OR
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vinay28
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Post: #126   PostPosted: Fri Mar 07, 2014 9:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Chart of 6200pe, for whatever it is worth.
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vinay28
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Post: #127   PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 12:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Here's an easy way of finding out next likely levels whenever a high or a low is broken. The high/low levels apply to daily to monthly time frames. The problem is that getting average level is not easy and only some softwares give it IMHO. But if one can get average levels, it helps a great deal to carry your trade. Putting proper SL is left to you.

Once the previous high is broken, next higher levels are given by

2*A-L = H1
2*H-A = H2
2*H-L = H3

similarly when the previous low is broken, next lower levels are given by

2*A-H = L1
2*L-A = L2
2*L-H = L3

if you can get average levels and test it and find it useful, I will transfer it to strategies section.
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vinay28
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Post: #128   PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 12:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

as of now, it looks like 6572NS/6595NF is max possible and close may not be > 6555NS, give or take a few points.
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apka
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Post: #129   PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 3:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

In addition to the traded volumes, the % of Deliverable Quantity to Traded Quantity on Friday - 7th March is also higher than normal:

The avg % for all stocks differ from 10% to 60%. Most high % avg is in safes-side stocks like IT and least in sectors like Infra, Realty.

The below shows decent carryover/accumulation. Let's see if a higher % brings more stability or what since we have made a new high and closing.

(I don't know why the big gap is added. I used html table tag)

<table width="386" border="1" align="center" valign="top">
<tr>
<td width="191">HDFC BANK : 79.96 %
KOTAK : 50.97 %
ICICI BANK : 50.18 %
INDUSIND : 49.07 %
SBIN : 47.05 %
AXIS BANK : 44.60 %
UNION BANK : 36.93 %
YES BANK : 29.98 %
CANARA : 24.83 %
BoB: 24.81 %
BANK OF INDIA : 19.40 %
PNB : 18.32 %</td>
<td width="185">LT : 49.08 %
CROMPTON : 36.75 %
BHEL: 35.33 %
HDFC : 79.96 %
SHRIRAM : 77.87 %
M&amp;MFINSERV : 47.61 %
REC : 46.66 %
LIC : 46.42 %
PFC : 42.94 %
IDFC : 34.93 %
RELCAP : 19.74 %</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>CAIRN : 80.57 %
POWERGRID : 80.32 %
RELIANCE : 70.75 %
NTPC : 71.17 %
ONGC : 60.95 %
GAIL : 57.53 %
BPCL : 49.46 %
TATAPOWER : 30.86 %
RELIANCE POWER : 30.62 %</td>
<td>GMDC : 89.74 %
COALINDIA : 74.69 %
HINDALCO : 41.82 %
TATA STEEL : 36.54 %
SAIL : 33.80 %
JSW STEEL : 23.56 %
JINDAL STEEL : 16.42 %
AIRTEL : 56.53 %
RCOM : 26.29 %</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>HERO : 73.98 %
EXIDE : 70.22 %
BAJAJ AUTO : 57.24 %
M&amp;M : 44.84 %
TATA MOTORS : 42.35 %
MARUTI : 37.73 %</td>
<td>GMR : 50.54 %
NHPC : 50.17 %
ADANI PORTS : 45.67 %
ANANTRAJ : 37.76 %
IRB : 34.06 %
INDIABULLS : 25.14 %
DLF : 16.56 %
RELINFRA : 10.84 %</td>
</tr>
</table>
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apka
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Post: #130   PostPosted: Mon Mar 10, 2014 9:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bank Nifty -100 opening to +170 in a zip and Axis Bank from - 14 -> +30 in a flash Shocked Smile
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apka
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Post: #131   PostPosted: Mon Mar 10, 2014 9:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Atleast the VIX having completed downside with a falling wedge pattern was caught right.

Now it's 17.35. I think a stop at near 18.50 should come.
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vinay28
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Post: #132   PostPosted: Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
Atleast the VIX having completed downside with a falling wedge pattern was caught right.

Now it's 17.35. I think a stop at near 18.50 should come.


it only shows that this rally is mostly short covering. More importantly, it is a RIL rally. so...... Smile
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saurabhkurichh
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Post: #133   PostPosted: Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:43 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

similar to axis ... reliance to from 862 to 890 was quick!!
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vinay28
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Post: #134   PostPosted: Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

My upper level is about 6666NF. Remember Omen movie? Smile

Worst case 6833/50NF which is "get out" level. If you remember, I had posted a chart of NF during 4th Jan dummy trading with my comment about game? The lower level of 5830 cam last week as a freak trade. I am now looking at such a freak high level of 6833/50NF because I don't think it will actually go there.
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apka
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Post: #135   PostPosted: Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
apka wrote:
Atleast the VIX having completed downside with a falling wedge pattern was caught right.

Now it's 17.35. I think a stop at near 18.50 should come.


it only shows that this rally is mostly short covering. More importantly, it is a RIL rally. so...... Smile


sbhubh shubh bolo. RIL is in the rally, but the rally is by banks mostly.
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