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Nifty View - March Series 2014 |
vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #121 Posted: Fri Mar 07, 2014 6:48 pm Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | riteshucha wrote: | now can u tell me apka..
apka wrote: | riteshucha wrote: | 6600 PE OI up 100% & 6500 PE OOI ip 150%... then 6200 PE cutting OI now...
what shld we understand from this... |
wait for EOD figures |
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Calls have shedded more OI. 6700ce has added more than 100% OI.
My understanding is we are moving to test 6600-6700 region. And Bank Nifty near 12500. |
just look at the volume in all PEs in last one hour vis-à-vis price change. You can see charts |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #122 Posted: Fri Mar 07, 2014 7:40 pm Post subject: |
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10th March is 5th anniversary of "the Haines bottom". |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #123 Posted: Fri Mar 07, 2014 9:03 pm Post subject: |
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It's all TLs, one bisecting the famous gap in Aug'11. |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #124 Posted: Fri Mar 07, 2014 9:20 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | It's all TLs, one bisecting the famous gap in Aug'11. |
it only show markets on cusp of significant breakout if not already done |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #125 Posted: Fri Mar 07, 2014 9:33 pm Post subject: |
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amitagg wrote: | vinay28 wrote: | It's all TLs, one bisecting the famous gap in Aug'11. |
it only show markets on cusp of significant breakout if not already done |
OR |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #126 Posted: Fri Mar 07, 2014 9:57 pm Post subject: |
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Chart of 6200pe, for whatever it is worth. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #127 Posted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 12:30 pm Post subject: |
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Here's an easy way of finding out next likely levels whenever a high or a low is broken. The high/low levels apply to daily to monthly time frames. The problem is that getting average level is not easy and only some softwares give it IMHO. But if one can get average levels, it helps a great deal to carry your trade. Putting proper SL is left to you.
Once the previous high is broken, next higher levels are given by
2*A-L = H1
2*H-A = H2
2*H-L = H3
similarly when the previous low is broken, next lower levels are given by
2*A-H = L1
2*L-A = L2
2*L-H = L3
if you can get average levels and test it and find it useful, I will transfer it to strategies section. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #128 Posted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 12:34 pm Post subject: |
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as of now, it looks like 6572NS/6595NF is max possible and close may not be > 6555NS, give or take a few points. |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #129 Posted: Sat Mar 08, 2014 3:02 pm Post subject: |
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In addition to the traded volumes, the % of Deliverable Quantity to Traded Quantity on Friday - 7th March is also higher than normal:
The avg % for all stocks differ from 10% to 60%. Most high % avg is in safes-side stocks like IT and least in sectors like Infra, Realty.
The below shows decent carryover/accumulation. Let's see if a higher % brings more stability or what since we have made a new high and closing.
(I don't know why the big gap is added. I used html table tag)
<table width="386" border="1" align="center" valign="top">
<tr>
<td width="191">HDFC BANK : 79.96 %
KOTAK : 50.97 %
ICICI BANK : 50.18 %
INDUSIND : 49.07 %
SBIN : 47.05 %
AXIS BANK : 44.60 %
UNION BANK : 36.93 %
YES BANK : 29.98 %
CANARA : 24.83 %
BoB: 24.81 %
BANK OF INDIA : 19.40 %
PNB : 18.32 %</td>
<td width="185">LT : 49.08 %
CROMPTON : 36.75 %
BHEL: 35.33 %
HDFC : 79.96 %
SHRIRAM : 77.87 %
M&MFINSERV : 47.61 %
REC : 46.66 %
LIC : 46.42 %
PFC : 42.94 %
IDFC : 34.93 %
RELCAP : 19.74 %</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>CAIRN : 80.57 %
POWERGRID : 80.32 %
RELIANCE : 70.75 %
NTPC : 71.17 %
ONGC : 60.95 %
GAIL : 57.53 %
BPCL : 49.46 %
TATAPOWER : 30.86 %
RELIANCE POWER : 30.62 %</td>
<td>GMDC : 89.74 %
COALINDIA : 74.69 %
HINDALCO : 41.82 %
TATA STEEL : 36.54 %
SAIL : 33.80 %
JSW STEEL : 23.56 %
JINDAL STEEL : 16.42 %
AIRTEL : 56.53 %
RCOM : 26.29 %</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>HERO : 73.98 %
EXIDE : 70.22 %
BAJAJ AUTO : 57.24 %
M&M : 44.84 %
TATA MOTORS : 42.35 %
MARUTI : 37.73 %</td>
<td>GMR : 50.54 %
NHPC : 50.17 %
ADANI PORTS : 45.67 %
ANANTRAJ : 37.76 %
IRB : 34.06 %
INDIABULLS : 25.14 %
DLF : 16.56 %
RELINFRA : 10.84 %</td>
</tr>
</table> |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #130 Posted: Mon Mar 10, 2014 9:19 am Post subject: |
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Bank Nifty -100 opening to +170 in a zip and Axis Bank from - 14 -> +30 in a flash |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #131 Posted: Mon Mar 10, 2014 9:29 am Post subject: |
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Atleast the VIX having completed downside with a falling wedge pattern was caught right.
Now it's 17.35. I think a stop at near 18.50 should come. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #132 Posted: Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:24 am Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | Atleast the VIX having completed downside with a falling wedge pattern was caught right.
Now it's 17.35. I think a stop at near 18.50 should come. |
it only shows that this rally is mostly short covering. More importantly, it is a RIL rally. so...... |
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saurabhkurichh White Belt
Joined: 30 Oct 2006 Posts: 127
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Post: #133 Posted: Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:43 am Post subject: |
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similar to axis ... reliance to from 862 to 890 was quick!! |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #134 Posted: Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:12 am Post subject: |
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My upper level is about 6666NF. Remember Omen movie?
Worst case 6833/50NF which is "get out" level. If you remember, I had posted a chart of NF during 4th Jan dummy trading with my comment about game? The lower level of 5830 cam last week as a freak trade. I am now looking at such a freak high level of 6833/50NF because I don't think it will actually go there. |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #135 Posted: Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:33 am Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | apka wrote: | Atleast the VIX having completed downside with a falling wedge pattern was caught right.
Now it's 17.35. I think a stop at near 18.50 should come. |
it only shows that this rally is mostly short covering. More importantly, it is a RIL rally. so...... |
sbhubh shubh bolo. RIL is in the rally, but the rally is by banks mostly. |
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