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Nifty View - March Series 2014 |
vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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Post: #256  Posted: Sat Mar 22, 2014 12:42 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | safe trade is to buy 6500ce and sell 6600ce. One won't loose much at least |
once can also sell 6400pe in addition to above |
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mikky
Green Belt
Joined: 16 Feb 2014
Posts: 1442
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| Post: #257 Posted: Sat Mar 22, 2014 1:10 pm Post subject: |
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Hi Vinay,
Just curious so asking....(please don't mind)
u gave call ---- BUY 6500 CE and SELL 6600 CE and 6400 PE (total premium = 47.90 - 9.95 - 8.20 = 29.75) total investment = (1487.50)
BUT you Predicted NIFTY on expiry as @6493 on other thread... hence this trade is going to end up in LOSS if prediction comes true .... ALL premium will become 0 with investment. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #258 Posted: Sat Mar 22, 2014 1:29 pm Post subject: |
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| mikky wrote: | Hi Vinay,
Just curious so asking....(please don't mind)
u gave call ---- BUY 6500 CE and SELL 6600 CE and 6400 PE (total premium = 47.90 - 9.95 - 8.20 = 29.75) total investment = (1487.50)
BUT you Predicted NIFTY on expiry as @6493 on other thread... hence this trade is going to end up in LOSS if prediction comes true .... ALL premium will become 0 with investment. |
yes you right but one will loose about 12 if expiry is around 6500 (or lower) and that's why I called it safer than taking one way trade not knowing what will happen. But don't link my prediction of expiry with that call. It is for people who think expiry will be much higher as I am finding so. Clearly one will start making money only around 6530 or more. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #259 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 10:10 am Post subject: |
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This is what I had posted on 15/3
"IMHO, it (6600ce) will be a good gambling bet around 8-10, which I am willing to take....." |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #260 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 1:35 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | This is what I had posted on 15/3
"IMHO, it (6600ce) will be a good gambling bet around 8-10, which I am willing to take....." |
i was expecting a dull expiry, didnt take the march gamble  |
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amitagg
Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013
Posts: 4559
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| Post: #261 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 1:40 pm Post subject: |
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| apka wrote: | | vinay28 wrote: | This is what I had posted on 15/3
"IMHO, it (6600ce) will be a good gambling bet around 8-10, which I am willing to take....." |
i was expecting a dull expiry, didnt take the march gamble |
was not a gamble......pure directional play... |
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apka
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Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #262 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 1:44 pm Post subject: |
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| amitagg wrote: | | apka wrote: | | vinay28 wrote: | This is what I had posted on 15/3
"IMHO, it (6600ce) will be a good gambling bet around 8-10, which I am willing to take....." |
i was expecting a dull expiry, didnt take the march gamble |
was not a gamble......pure directional play... |
i didn't say i took a counter direction trade in nifty. i expected a move after expiry. |
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amitagg
Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013
Posts: 4559
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| Post: #263 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 1:46 pm Post subject: |
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| apka wrote: | | amitagg wrote: | | apka wrote: | | vinay28 wrote: | This is what I had posted on 15/3
"IMHO, it (6600ce) will be a good gambling bet around 8-10, which I am willing to take....." |
i was expecting a dull expiry, didnt take the march gamble |
was not a gamble......pure directional play... |
i didn't say i took a counter direction trade in nifty. i expected a move after expiry. |
right....being in a strong bull market is what makes money....mind you...i also forgot despite being repeadely bullish....your target of 6750 etc is still awaited and shall come.....we can buy now also....it not "fully over"...until 6620-6650 spot... |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #264 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 1:55 pm Post subject: |
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| amitagg wrote: | | apka wrote: | | i didn't say i took a counter direction trade in nifty. i expected a move after expiry. |
right....being in a strong bull market is what makes money....mind you...i also forgot despite being repeadely bullish....your target of 6750 etc is still awaited and shall come.....we can buy now also....it not "fully over"...until 6620-6650 spot... |
Thanks, but I'm a weak trader and below is my limit.
I already have call n fut of ICICI March series since 12 days. I dont want more march longs.
I also have longs in April Nifty and SBIN 1700ce April from 22.50 since 20 days.
| apka wrote: | | vinay28 wrote: | where is that saumya? sbin 1650.  |
As per chart we shouldn't see these price levels again.
What an excellent monthly and weekly charts it has made. a flag / falling wedge with positive divergences.
I'm carrying April 1700ce since yesterday already more than double. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #265 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 2:08 pm Post subject: |
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| I am short with SL 6595 and 6630NS, only for march |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #266 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 2:11 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | I am short with SL 6595 and 6630NS, only for march |
After sensex crossing hang senf, now Nifty crosses FTSE after a long time. |
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amitagg
Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013
Posts: 4559
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| Post: #267 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 2:18 pm Post subject: |
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| apka wrote: | | amitagg wrote: | | apka wrote: | | i didn't say i took a counter direction trade in nifty. i expected a move after expiry. |
right....being in a strong bull market is what makes money....mind you...i also forgot despite being repeadely bullish....your target of 6750 etc is still awaited and shall come.....we can buy now also....it not "fully over"...until 6620-6650 spot... |
Thanks, but I'm a weak trader and below is my limit.
.....good i could get u to reveal some secrets  [and i lightened in yes bank now...booked from 370-380 today and would like "new trades"...pls advice...i surely follow ur and Vinay's market insights]
I already have call n fut of ICICI March series since 12 days. I dont want more march longs.
I also have longs in April Nifty and SBIN 1700ce April from 22.50 since 20 days.
| apka wrote: | | vinay28 wrote: | | where is that saumya? sbin 1650. |
As per chart we shouldn't see these price levels again.
What an excellent monthly and weekly charts it has made. a flag / falling wedge with positive divergences.
I'm carrying April 1700ce since yesterday already more than double. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #268 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 2:19 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | vinay28 wrote: | | safe trade is to buy 6500ce and sell 6600ce. One won't loose much at least |
once can also sell 6400pe in addition to above |
what was net gain today at the high? |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #269 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 2:24 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | vinay28 wrote: | | vinay28 wrote: | | safe trade is to buy 6500ce and sell 6600ce. One won't loose much at least |
once can also sell 6400pe in addition to above |
what was net gain today at the high? |
on chart 6600pe near 70 and 6400pe 5 |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #270 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 2:26 pm Post subject: |
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| apka wrote: | | vinay28 wrote: | | vinay28 wrote: | | vinay28 wrote: | | safe trade is to buy 6500ce and sell 6600ce. One won't loose much at least |
once can also sell 6400pe in addition to above |
what was net gain today at the high? |
on chart 6600pe near 70 and 6400pe 5 |
my dear I had advised selling 6600ce and 6400pe and buying 6500ce |
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