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Nifty View - May '16 Series
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Author Nifty View - May '16 Series
vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #1   PostPosted: Fri Apr 29, 2016 8:54 am    Post subject: Nifty View - May '16 Series Reply with quote

This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Friday (29/04/16) and beyond

Supports are at about 7830/12, 7782/62 and 7731 while resistances are at about 7894, 7951 and 7998. Unfilled gaps on higher and lower sides are at about 8041/7708 resp. 200 dma is at about 7853. Two +WWs can give about 7919 (if above 7879) and 7946 (if above 7898) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Two -WWs can give about 7810 and 7495 (if below 7855) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). Two IHnS can give about 8070/8315 if nifty sustains above 7665/7840 resp.

Nifty opened down with a gap and tanked to close below 7850. Daily candle is big, bearish Marubuzo with strong -ve volume. Hence, we may see further fall. Bearish div on longer TF will give results only if sustained selling continues. Nifty must close above 7938 to continue the rally while a close below 7850 on Friday can cause more fall. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term.
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AMBY
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Post: #2   PostPosted: Fri Apr 29, 2016 9:23 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks.
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #3   PostPosted: Fri Apr 29, 2016 6:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Monday (02/05/16) and beyond

Supports are at about 7832, 7799/83/68/31 and 7685 while resistances are at about 7899, 7910/20/46/64 and 8000. Unfilled gaps on higher and lower sides are at about 8041/7708 resp. 200 dma is at about 7850. Two +WWs can give about 7911 (if above 7800) and 7919 (if above 7822) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). A -WW can give about 7493 (if below 7825) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). Two IHnS can give about 8070/8315 if nifty sustains above 7665/7840 resp.

Nifty opened flattish and fell but recovered a bit to close below 7850 and just below 200 dma. Daily candle is a doji with strong +ve volume and +ve div. Weekly candle is also a doji with -ve volume and -ve div and monthly candle is also a doji with strong +ve volume and is NR4. Hence, we may see some consolidation next week. Bearish div on longer TF will give results only if sustained selling continues. Nifty must close above 7915 to begin with while a close below 7758 can cause more fall. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term.
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apka
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Post: #4   PostPosted: Sat Apr 30, 2016 7:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hey Vinay long time Smile

Bad times to come?

Quote:
ICICI Bank on Friday reported its worst numbers in over a decade with consolidated net profit plunging 87 per cent in the March quarter at Rs 406.71 crore (Rs 4.06 billion) due to a spike in provisioning for bad loans.

Higher provisioning is in view of the Reserve Bank's asset quality review (AQR) as well as expectations of further bad loan issues at the country's largest private sector lender.

The Chanda Kochhar-led bank had posted a post-tax net of Rs 3,084 crore on a consolidated basis in the January-March quarter of last fiscal, and Rs 3,122 crore (Rs 31.22 billion) in the preceding quarter, when it started recognising the effects of bad loans following the AQR.
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venkkatshiv
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Post: #5   PostPosted: Sat Apr 30, 2016 12:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Monday (02/05/16) and beyond

Supports are at about 7832, 7799/83/68/31 and 7685 while resistances are at about 7899, 7910/20/46/64 and 8000. Unfilled gaps on higher and lower sides are at about 8041/7708 resp. 200 dma is at about 7850. Two +WWs can give about 7911 (if above 7800) and 7919 (if above 7822) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). A -WW can give about 7493 (if below 7825) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). Two IHnS can give about 8070/8315 if nifty sustains above 7665/7840 resp.

Nifty opened flattish and fell but recovered a bit to close below 7850 and just below 200 dma. Daily candle is a doji with strong +ve volume and +ve div.hello Weekly candle is also a doji with -ve volume and -ve div and monthly candle is also a doji with strong +ve volume and is NR4. Hence, we may see some consolidation next week. Bearish div on longer TF will give results only if sustained selling continues. Nifty must close above 7915 to begin with while a close below 7758 can cause more fall. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term.
Hello Mr. vinay28, goodmorning, I want to know about NR what does it mean how it helps in trading and where we can find the values.I regularly read your texts.Thank u.
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vinay28
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Post: #6   PostPosted: Sun May 01, 2016 4:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

[quote="apka"]Hey Vinay long time Smile

Bad times to come?

Quote:


kaha gool ho gaya the bey? Smile

actually if you ignore special provision this time, net profit is higher. it's a buy IMHO
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vinay28
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Post: #7   PostPosted: Sun May 01, 2016 4:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

venkkatshiv wrote:
Hello Mr. vinay28, goodmorning, I want to know about NR what does it mean how it helps in trading and where we can find the values.I regularly read your texts.Thank u.


NR stands for Narrow Range, counting including current candle and shows for how many day/weeks/months, present candle is narrowest. range is H-L of candle.
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sameerchaki
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Joined: 14 May 2011
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Post: #8   PostPosted: Sun May 01, 2016 8:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

In last 6 month nifty made high 8336 on 26/10/15 and 7992 on 28/04/16.
on 29/04 nifty closes 7849.Over all trend is bullish. MACD is +85.75
EMA is as on date up trend. On 2nd May if nifty breaks first 7835 and then
7715, then nifty's uptrend will arrest.consider SGX Nifty on monday
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sameerchaki
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Post: #9   PostPosted: Mon May 02, 2016 6:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

MACD reduced from +85.75 to + 71.24 and it has generated sell signal.
nifty 7700 is crucial level for nifty break down.
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vinay28
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Post: #10   PostPosted: Mon May 02, 2016 6:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

sameerchaki wrote:
MACD reduced from +85.75 to + 71.24 and it has generated sell signal.
nifty 7700 is crucial level for nifty break down.


Sameer, if you have a strategy, pl start a new thread for benefit of all, so as not to confuse with this thread. tks
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vinay28
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Post: #11   PostPosted: Mon May 02, 2016 6:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Tuesday (03/05/16) and beyond

Supports are at about 7799/83/59/11, 7682 and 7627 while resistances are at about 7834/52/70/80 and 7976. Unfilled gaps on higher and lower sides are at about 7850/7708 resp. 200 dma is at about 7847. Three +WWs can give about 7877 (if above 7780), 7891 (if above 7777) and 7952 (if above 7822) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). A -WW can give about 7493 (if below 7831) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). Two IHnS can give about 8070/8315 if nifty sustains above 7665/7840 resp.

Nifty opened gap down, made a lower low before closing just above 7800. Daily range was moderate but volume was -ve. Hence, we may see some more fall/consolidation this week. Bearish div on longer TF will give results only if sustained selling continues. Nifty must close above 7915 to begin with while a close below 7758 can cause more fall. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term.
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venkkatshiv
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Joined: 16 May 2008
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Post: #12   PostPosted: Mon May 02, 2016 7:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

[quote="vinay28"]
venkkatshiv wrote:
Hello Mr. vinay28, goodmorning, I want to know about NR what does it mean how it helps in trading and where we can find the values.I regularly read your texts.Thank u.


NR stands for Narrow Range, counting including current candle and shows for how many day/weeks/months, present candle is narrowest. range is H-L of candle.[/quote Good ,Thank you.
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vinay28
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Post: #13   PostPosted: Tue May 03, 2016 6:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Updated NF levels as of 03/05.
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vinay28
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Post: #14   PostPosted: Tue May 03, 2016 6:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Wednesday (04/05/16) and beyond

Supports are at about 7739/05, 7688/71/33/14 and 7577 while resistances are at about 7765/94, 7839/80 and 7911. Unfilled gap on lower side is at about 7708. 200 dma is at about 7844. Three +WWs can give about 7901 (if above 7770), 7911 (if above 7759) and 7952 (if above 7804) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). A -WW can give about 7486 (if below 7834) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now).

Nifty opened gap down and rose sharply to make a higher but then crashed on global clues to make a lower low before closing below 7750. It thus looks bearish now. Daily candle is an outside bar. However, volume was not commensurate with the total range. Also, there is +ve div on lower TF and a mild bullish div on daily. Hence, further fall, if any, may be limited before next reversal, which may happen after the gap at 7708 is filled. Bearish div will give results only if sustained selling continues. Nifty must close above 7891 to start a reversal while a close below 7735 will continue the downtrend. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term. High volatility is expected due to the long expiry.
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apka
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Post: #15   PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2016 9:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:


kaha gool ho gaya the bey? Smile

actually if you ignore special provision this time, net profit is higher. it's a buy IMHO


Hmm I see... Work keeping me more out of office so not able to watch or trade regular.

Funny stuff going on, someone thinks icharts is like platform of fast n furious (movie) win or lose car races Laughing
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