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Nifty View- May 2013 |
apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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Post: #106  Posted: Tue May 07, 2013 9:03 am Post subject: |
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| self explainatory |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #107 Posted: Tue May 07, 2013 9:59 am Post subject: |
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| VIX doing it again, rising with rising market then eventually will give up the rise helping market rise more... VIX has become predictable these days. |
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chandrujimrc
Brown Belt
Joined: 21 Apr 2009
Posts: 1683
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| Post: #108 Posted: Tue May 07, 2013 10:41 am Post subject: |
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| Dear vinay /apka,asper vix & pcr calculation what is your view about nifty? |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #109 Posted: Tue May 07, 2013 11:03 am Post subject: |
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| chandrujimrc wrote: | | Dear vinay /apka,asper vix & pcr calculation what is your view about nifty? |
chandru, both pcr and vix have started behaving opposite to the tradition (  ). For the last some days, high pcr and vix are driving nifty up but intraday volatility has also increased as vix swings intraday.
I feel up today. I am looking for 6020/60/75 NF |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #110 Posted: Tue May 07, 2013 11:30 am Post subject: |
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| chandruji, chawal abhi pakke nahi |
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chandrujimrc
Brown Belt
Joined: 21 Apr 2009
Posts: 1683
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| Post: #111 Posted: Tue May 07, 2013 11:39 am Post subject: |
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| Thank you vinay, any how I think nifty will finish +WW EOD tgt. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #112 Posted: Tue May 07, 2013 12:24 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | I feel up today. I am looking for 6020/60/75 NF |
6020 met. 6040 is middle level also. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #113 Posted: Tue May 07, 2013 12:33 pm Post subject: |
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| market and vix moved contra again. nifty moved up as vix fell. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #114 Posted: Tue May 07, 2013 12:42 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | vinay28 wrote: | | I feel up today. I am looking for 6020/60/75 NF |
6020 met. 6040 is middle level also. |
6040 also met. |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #115 Posted: Tue May 07, 2013 12:52 pm Post subject: |
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i have not seen this type of disconnected continuous upmove of 550 points where futs are in discount mostly and spot is kicking the market up, vix is rising, pcr is rising. quite weirdly poised market
meanwhile, dax near all time high.. few ponts away. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #116 Posted: Tue May 07, 2013 12:55 pm Post subject: |
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| apka wrote: | i have not seen this type of disconnected continuous upmove of 550 points where futs are in discount mostly and spot is kicking the market up, vix is rising, pcr is rising. quite weirdly poised market
meanwhile, dax near all time high.. few ponts away. |
may indicate mostly cash buying and nifty heading towards high targets |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #117 Posted: Tue May 07, 2013 1:06 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | apka wrote: | i have not seen this type of disconnected continuous upmove of 550 points where futs are in discount mostly and spot is kicking the market up, vix is rising, pcr is rising. quite weirdly poised market
meanwhile, dax near all time high.. few ponts away. |
may indicate mostly cash buying and nifty heading towards high targets |
yes indeed, all cash buying moving market up and it hasnt exhausted yet. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #118 Posted: Tue May 07, 2013 3:23 pm Post subject: |
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| Sold most of my nifty calls and all infy and ril calls. Carrying some calls and puts for tmrw. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #119 Posted: Tue May 07, 2013 3:38 pm Post subject: |
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In the last 5 years there has been only one occassion when nifty made consecutive 12 higher lows and that was in 2011 (I think march-april) and then market tanked. Today was 12th day again and hence I sold my longs though I feel 2011 may not repeat and we will see only a dip. I also heard that pcr had reached 1.20 by afternoon, a bit alarming I thought.
Last edited by vinay28 on Tue May 07, 2013 6:59 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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RAJDESAI1967
Yellow Belt
Joined: 19 Mar 2013
Posts: 518
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| Post: #120 Posted: Tue May 07, 2013 3:48 pm Post subject: nifty |
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| vinay- there might be some knee jerk reaactions to tmorows ktk results |
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