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Nifty View- May 2013
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Author Nifty View- May 2013
vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #946   PostPosted: Thu May 30, 2013 8:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
---

beowulf, vinay summed it up for me also. so many things to keep watch at, if u start at one place like candlestick patterns, trendlines, then move on to next set of technicals like EMAs, SMAs, fibonnici levels, etc. what all vinay mentioned. then next step to watch FNO, VIX, dollar index, euro, world markets, usd/inr, patterns in currency, world markets, bank nifty, IT Index, etc. chart everything...

Like vinay I keep track of many things for me to find trades. 1 thing alone is not enough. Gruadually, these things you will be able to check within minutes and become part of routine to assess what to trades for the day, week...

Like today's e.g., i told since 1 cr OI has crossed, thats my mark of line that it will not be breached... no written rule. then later informed 6100ce was seeing shedding OI was seeing near 1pm. Thereafter 6100pe also saw shedding, but closer to 2.30-3pm 6100pe stopped shedding while 6100ce continued to shedd, and stocks like LT, ICICI, AXIS, SBIN had already dipped a lot leaving lesser scope for fall.. so seeing the 6100ce shedding even more and these heavy weight stocks bottomed (covering was likely) and its what happened except in SBIN... i dont know how put this kind of explaination for anyone to understand, it needs to be self watched on screen to understand. i can point like this if you have watched the screen whole day.

i can given examples and explainations of my readings if you ask, as such i dont know what to say and post, cuz theres too much to list.


And, of course, you have to read about all these things, at least on the net.
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apka
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Post: #947   PostPosted: Thu May 30, 2013 9:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
And, of course, you have to read about all these things, at least on the net.


oh indeed, every data is available on the net, i haven't done any certified TA course haha... you need to be curious, inquisitive and constantly willing to learn about everything related to market, then it will come to you automatically.

whatever you learn new, backtrack / backtest it with old index / stock charts and indicators.
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vinay28
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Post: #948   PostPosted: Thu May 30, 2013 9:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

additionally, you need to decide quickly as to whom to follow on icharts. 24 24
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apka
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Post: #949   PostPosted: Thu May 30, 2013 9:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

another observation and the trade i did, i will share again.....

not off late, but in 2011, 2012, every month whenever IIP data was announced at 11am, whichever side movement came be it 10+ 20+ 30+ 40+ or in minus... after that nifty started to reverse after 30-60 mins.... result of IIP didnt matter then whether positive or negative...

i have shared this here i am sure before when i observed and traded this, somebody might remember. ....... I have traded based on this method it atleast 12 months successfully out of 15 months. Off late it's not been working so I have abandoned it. probably since i made it public in forums, it's not been working haha....

This is another one of those things which does not come as part of Technical Analysis...but only through self learning...
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apka
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Post: #950   PostPosted: Thu May 30, 2013 9:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
additionally, you need to decide quickly as to whom to follow on icharts. 24 24


lol 24
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vinay28
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Post: #951   PostPosted: Thu May 30, 2013 9:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nifty for Friday (31/05/13)

Supports are at about 6098, 6082, 6062 and 6042 while resistances are at about 6130, 6171 and 6195. Four +WWs give about 6155, 6182, 6201 (once above 6077), and 6209 (once above 6092) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Four -WWs give about 6085 (once below 6117), 6039, 6014 (once below 6191, which is yet to be reached) and 6008 (once below 6118) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned presently). A rising wedge BD can give about 5936 unless nifty remains above 6133. A complex HnS can give 5928/5867 unless nifty remains above 6092. A bullish flag gives higher level unless killed below 6105.

Nifty rose again and closed at a new weekly high above 6100 and negated the bearish effect of Wednesday's hanging man in spite of a gapped down open. However, it is still not bullish. As long as Friday closes above 6035, monthly candle remains bullish while a close above 6188 makes weekly candle bullish too. If it closes below 6050, it may slide further. A high value of VIX and PCR can cause sharp and sudden movements. Only a noticeable drop in them along with global cues and/or liquidity can take nifty up further. Trade carefully as Fridday is day of GDP numbers. If GDP comes well below 5% (particularly 4%), we may see a sharp fall. But I still feel, as of now, that it's a "buy on dips" market.


Last edited by vinay28 on Fri May 31, 2013 2:11 pm; edited 3 times in total
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beowulf
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Post: #952   PostPosted: Thu May 30, 2013 11:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
additionally, you need to decide quickly as to whom to follow on icharts. 24 24


lol 24


Rofl..! 24
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vinay28
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Post: #953   PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2013 9:23 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

beowulf wrote:
Rofl..! 24


rofl ???
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rsnerella
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Post: #954   PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2013 9:32 am    Post subject: Nifty View- May 2013 Reply with quote

Rolling On Floor, Laughing Out Loud
vinay28 wrote:
beowulf wrote:
Rofl..! 24


rofl ???
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apka
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Post: #955   PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2013 9:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay F$#& weekly jaante ho rofl nahi Laughing
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vinay28
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Post: #956   PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2013 9:41 am    Post subject: Re: Nifty View- May 2013 Reply with quote

rsnerella wrote:
Rolling On Floor, Laughing Out Loud
vinay28 wrote:
beowulf wrote:
Rofl..! 24


rofl ???


Thanks but there is already an emoticon for it? Smile
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SP50
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Post: #957   PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2013 9:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Banks are loose this morning and some sell in reliance. Rolling Eyes
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apka
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Post: #958   PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2013 9:51 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

35 mins into trade and already nifty -85
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SP50
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Post: #959   PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2013 10:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Is SBI looking a sell?
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apka
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Post: #960   PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2013 10:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

bank nifty HnS pattern
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