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Nifty View - November Series
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Author Nifty View - November Series
vinay28
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #166   PostPosted: Thu Nov 13, 2014 3:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

dilpat wrote:
Vinay sir,
Shorted NF @8435 should i hold?

vinay28 wrote:
About 8355NS is crucial. If taken out target is about 8240 but daily close below 8265 looks unlikely.


you could have booked around 8350 having made good gain. now, so close to eod, you hold. book partially near 8300NF and trail your SL as 8290 may not be broken.
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dilpat
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 18 Mar 2013
Posts: 19

Post: #167   PostPosted: Thu Nov 13, 2014 3:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ok sir,
Thanks a lot..

vinay28 wrote:
dilpat wrote:
Vinay sir,
Shorted NF @8435 should i hold?

vinay28 wrote:
About 8355NS is crucial. If taken out target is about 8240 but daily close below 8265 looks unlikely.


you could have booked around 8350 having made good gain. now, so close to eod, you hold. book partially near 8300NF and trail your SL as 8290 may not be broken.
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vinay28
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #168   PostPosted: Thu Nov 13, 2014 3:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

why 8285NF looks like worst case this month. Perhaps tmrw.
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vinay28
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #169   PostPosted: Thu Nov 13, 2014 5:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The 15 month rising wedge. Since it is not very narrow, it is still much short of 70% length to its apex and hence not likely to break down now. Also, even if it were to break down soon below 8000, it will mean AT LEAST a 1400 point drop. Since that is highly unlikely in near term, the more likely scenario is either continuation of the wedge with price rising in narrowing, sharply rising, smaller wedges and/or a break out for much higher levels.
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vinay28
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #170   PostPosted: Fri Nov 14, 2014 8:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nifty for Friday (14/11/14)

Supports are at about 8330, 8296 and 8255 while resistances are at about 8377, 8409 and 8528. An unfilled gap on lower side is at about 8169. Two +WWs can give 8400 (if above 8338) and 8428 (if above 8287) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Four -WWs can give about 8254, 8225 (once below 8439), 8211 (if below 8423) and 8185 (once below 8338) (-WWs with much lower targets are not mentioned as of now). A channel BO/BD can give 8515/8230. A HnS can give 8280.

Nifty fell after a gap up open but closed above 8350. It made lower lows than previous 2 days and also filled last 2 days' gaps indicating that further fall is likely. The -ve div on daily and weekly TF continues and will not go unless rsi crosses 75.08 on daily to begin with. A close below 8266 will invite bears. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term.
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harsh_85
White Belt
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Joined: 06 Nov 2011
Posts: 16

Post: #171   PostPosted: Fri Nov 14, 2014 11:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay sir, whats ur view of the markets? many people are talking about 8600 plus till dec may be 9000...
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #172   PostPosted: Fri Nov 14, 2014 12:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

harsh_85 wrote:
vinay sir, whats ur view of the markets? many people are talking about 8600 plus till dec may be 9000...


possible but I am looking for 8300 first
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ragavan
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Joined: 24 Sep 2014
Posts: 12

Post: #173   PostPosted: Fri Nov 14, 2014 12:29 pm    Post subject: nifty Reply with quote

Dear vinyl we can see 8300 today
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vinay28
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #174   PostPosted: Fri Nov 14, 2014 12:39 pm    Post subject: Re: nifty Reply with quote

ragavan wrote:
Dear vinyl we can see 8300 today


pray for it, I am. Smile
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apka
Black Belt
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Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #175   PostPosted: Fri Nov 14, 2014 1:55 pm    Post subject: Re: nifty Reply with quote

ragavan wrote:
Dear vinyl we can see 8300 today


That's the best typo of Icharts Laughing
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #176   PostPosted: Fri Nov 14, 2014 2:02 pm    Post subject: Re: nifty Reply with quote

apka wrote:
ragavan wrote:
Dear vinyl we can see 8300 today


That's the best typo of Icharts Laughing


Smile I ignored it, why are you raking it? Laughing
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dilpat
White Belt
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Joined: 18 Mar 2013
Posts: 19

Post: #177   PostPosted: Fri Nov 14, 2014 6:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Vinay sir,
as u said rightly, i would have booked around 8350 yesterday....


dilpat wrote:
Ok sir,
Thanks a lot..

vinay28 wrote:
dilpat wrote:
Vinay sir,
Shorted NF @8435 should i hold?

vinay28 wrote:
About 8355NS is crucial. If taken out target is about 8240 but daily close below 8265 looks unlikely.


you could have booked around 8350 having made good gain. now, so close to eod, you hold. book partially near 8300NF and trail your SL as 8290 may not be broken.
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vinay28
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #178   PostPosted: Fri Nov 14, 2014 6:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

dilpat wrote:
Vinay sir,
as u said rightly, i would have booked around 8350 yesterday....


I am holding my shorts since I noticed a bearish div near eod. gets nullified only above 8415 on Monday. Otherwise I expect a 100 point drop.
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dilpat
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Joined: 18 Mar 2013
Posts: 19

Post: #179   PostPosted: Fri Nov 14, 2014 7:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ok sir....

vinay28 wrote:
dilpat wrote:
Vinay sir,
as u said rightly, i would have booked around 8350 yesterday....


I am holding my shorts since I noticed a bearish div near eod. gets nullified only above 8415 on Monday. Otherwise I expect a 100 point drop.
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vinay28
Black Belt
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #180   PostPosted: Fri Nov 14, 2014 8:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nifty for Monday (17/11/14)

Supports are at about 8371, 8357, 8325, 8296 and 8255 while resistances are at about 8412, 8433 and 8528. Two +WWs can give 8406 (if above 8321) and 8420 (if above 8330) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Two -WWs can give about 8340 (if below 8390) and 8331 (if below 8393) (-WWs with much lower targets are not mentioned as of now). A channel BO/BD can give 8505/8270. A HnS can give 8270 while an IHnS can give 8425.

Nifty rose after an intraday fall to close above 8350 at a new all time high. Daily candle is an inside bar and there is a bearish div., which will vanish only if nifty crosses 8415 on Monday. Otherwise, we could see a 100 point drop. Also, the -ve div on daily and weekly TF over longer period continues and will not go unless rsi crosses 75.08 on daily to begin with. A close below 8310 will invite bears. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term.
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