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Nifty View - November Series |
vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #316 Posted: Wed Nov 26, 2014 7:35 pm Post subject: |
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Nifty for Thursday (27/11/14)
Supports are at about 8442/36, 8409 and 8382 while resistances are at about 8505, 8529/34 and 8580. Five +WWs can give about 8489 (if above 8455), 8516 (if above 8410), 8534 (if above 8461), 8546 (once above 8488) and 8534 (if above 8461) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Two -WWs can give about 8451 (if below 8504) and 8352 (once below 8438) (-WWs with much lower targets are not mentioned as of now). A channel BO/BD can give 8580/8350.
Nifty rose and closed well above 8450. The -ve div on daily and weekly TF over longer term still persists. Also, a bearish div has appeared and will not go unless nifty crosses 8536. A close below 8425 will invite bears. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term. Trade carefully being an expiry day. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #317 Posted: Thu Nov 27, 2014 10:05 am Post subject: |
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nov fut in a sell with 8495NF as SL while dec fut in a buy with 8475NF as SL.
IMHO, up till afternoon and then down after 1.30pm. |
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riteshucha Green Belt
Joined: 19 May 2012 Posts: 1292
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Post: #318 Posted: Thu Nov 27, 2014 10:45 am Post subject: |
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vinay / apka,
i feel yest fall in the last half an hour has some shorters of 8500 PE trapped... if 8500 PE starts to trade above 40 and sustains above it, we may see a good fall...
only problem i see is the 8450 PE is builidng up, hence support can be seen at 8440/8445.. unless this starts to cut, dont see any major fall coming...
i have pe SL at cost on 8500 PE,
pls correct me if i am worng.. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #319 Posted: Thu Nov 27, 2014 10:48 am Post subject: |
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riteshucha wrote: | vinay / apka,
i feel yest fall in the last half an hour has some shorters of 8500 PE trapped... if 8500 PE starts to trade above 40 and sustains above it, we may see a good fall...
only problem i see is the 8450 PE is builidng up, hence support can be seen at 8440/8445.. unless this starts to cut, dont see any major fall coming...
i have pe SL at cost on 8500 PE,
pls correct me if i am worng.. |
correcto ritesh. I feel at least 8530 first and then 8475 in afternoon. |
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riteshucha Green Belt
Joined: 19 May 2012 Posts: 1292
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Post: #320 Posted: Thu Nov 27, 2014 10:59 am Post subject: |
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thanks...
btw if IB low breaks, i will tgt 8418 then 8376 NF...
vinay28 wrote: | riteshucha wrote: | vinay / apka,
i feel yest fall in the last half an hour has some shorters of 8500 PE trapped... if 8500 PE starts to trade above 40 and sustains above it, we may see a good fall...
only problem i see is the 8450 PE is builidng up, hence support can be seen at 8440/8445.. unless this starts to cut, dont see any major fall coming...
i have pe SL at cost on 8500 PE,
pls correct me if i am worng.. |
correcto ritesh. I feel at least 8530 first and then 8475 in afternoon. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #321 Posted: Thu Nov 27, 2014 11:10 am Post subject: |
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ritesh, positionally bearish only if 60tf closes below 8350NS |
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riteshucha Green Belt
Joined: 19 May 2012 Posts: 1292
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Post: #322 Posted: Thu Nov 27, 2014 11:23 am Post subject: |
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well noted..
any black magic trading ideas?? vinay
vinay28 wrote: | ritesh, positionally bearish only if 60tf closes below 8350NS |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #323 Posted: Thu Nov 27, 2014 11:51 am Post subject: |
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riteshucha wrote: | well noted..
any black magic trading ideas?? vinay
vinay28 wrote: | ritesh, positionally bearish only if 60tf closes below 8350NS |
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buy 8500pe above 8520NS.
a close today below 8475 will be bad while above 8490 good. But close between 8475-90 will preferably need gap up open tmrw. if close above 8490 and tmrw open above that then 8490 is good SL. |
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riteshucha Green Belt
Joined: 19 May 2012 Posts: 1292
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Post: #324 Posted: Thu Nov 27, 2014 2:19 pm Post subject: |
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nifty not going anywhere
both 8450 PE & 8500 CE are being written consistenly, no shedding visible whatso ever....
didnt u predict 8476 expiry closing vinay??/ |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #325 Posted: Thu Nov 27, 2014 2:31 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | riteshucha wrote: | well noted..
any black magic trading ideas?? vinay
vinay28 wrote: | ritesh, positionally bearish only if 60tf closes below 8350NS |
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buy 8500pe above 8520NS.
a close today below 8475 will be bad while above 8490 good. But close between 8475-90 will preferably need gap up open tmrw. if close above 8490 and tmrw open above that then 8490 is good SL. |
accurate conditional level for today's close is 8477.35 spot. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #326 Posted: Thu Nov 27, 2014 2:34 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | nov fut in a sell with 8495NF as SL while dec fut in a buy with 8475NF as SL.
IMHO, up till afternoon and then down after 1.30pm. |
SL hit and buy triggered |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #327 Posted: Thu Nov 27, 2014 2:43 pm Post subject: |
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i think dip to 8450 then close at 8465 |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #328 Posted: Thu Nov 27, 2014 3:35 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | a close today below 8475 will be bad while above 8490 good. But close between 8475-90 will preferably need gap up open tmrw. if close above 8490 and tmrw open above that then 8490 is good SL.
accurate conditional level for today's close is 8477.35 spot. |
close at 8494.20. |
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