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Nifty View - November'15 Series
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Author Nifty View - November'15 Series
riteshucha
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 19 May 2012
Posts: 1292

Post: #46   PostPosted: Fri Nov 13, 2015 9:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

TSL - 7860 NF... above this it may fire up... till NF is below 7860 , nifty will keep getting sold with every rise....

riteshucha wrote:
NS 2nd target comes to 7732 - 7674....

riteshucha wrote:
gap of 7950 filled.
NS first target.. 7856 +/-10...

riteshucha wrote:
Since 8005.10 ns is the low of breakout candle, any breach of this level will invite the big bears.... So better put this as final stop for any longs one may have...


quote="amitagg"]
riteshucha wrote:
NS might target or try to fill the gap at 7950 to 8005.10....


Perfect
Thanks
Laughing
[/quote]
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vinay28
Black Belt
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #47   PostPosted: Fri Nov 13, 2015 9:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Updated NF levels as of 13/11.
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vinay28
Black Belt
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #48   PostPosted: Fri Nov 13, 2015 8:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Monday (16/11/15) and beyond

Supports are at about 7753, 7734, 7709 and 7702 while resistances are at about 7784, 7803, 7812 and 7889. Unfilled gaps on higher side is at about 7825. Two +WWs can give about 7885 (if above 7751) and 7905 (if above 7820) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). A -WW can give about 7600 (if below 8036) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now).

Nifty closed flat after a big gap down open and above 7750. Daily candle is a doji and also a likely morning star, to be confirmed by a green candle closing higher, preferably after a gap up open. The weekly candle is an inverted hammer. There is a +ve div on daily and we may see some reversal. Also, the bullish div is very strong and can give a sharp and vicious recovery soon but only if buying emerges. Nifty must close above 7825 to begin with while a close below 7717 can mean more pain. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term.
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #49   PostPosted: Mon Nov 16, 2015 7:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Tuesday (17/11/15) and beyond

Supports are at about 7784, 7731, 7711 and 7703 while resistances are at about 7813, 7848, 7862, 7893, 7914 and 80519. Unfilled gap on higher side is at about 7955. Three +WWs can give about 7844 (if above 7712), 7881 (if above 7729) and 7956 (if above 7762) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). A -WW can give about 7719 (if below 7780) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now).

Nifty rose sharply after a big gap down open and closed strongly +ve above 7800. Daily candle is bullish engulfing and there is a +ve div. Hence, we may see further rise. Also, the bullish div is very strong and can give a sharp and vicious recovery soon but only if buying emerges. Nifty must close above 7825 to begin followed by above 7955 with while a close below 7717 can mean more pain. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term.
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vinay28
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Post: #50   PostPosted: Tue Nov 17, 2015 8:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Wednesday (18/11/15) and beyond

Supports are at about 7827, 7817, 7797, 7767, 7722 and 7702 while resistances are at about 7859, 7875, 7885, 7893, 7901, 7921, 7966, 7988 and 8042. Unfilled gap on higher side is at about 7916. Three +WWs can give about 7893 (if above 7720), 7980 (if above 7759) and 8017 (if above 7831) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Two -WWs can give about 7774 (if below 7868) and 7767 (if below 7853) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now).

Nifty fell after a gap up open but recovered to close flattish but -ve and below 7850. Daily candle is a hammer with good +ve volume and we may see further rise. Also, the bullish div is very strong and can give a sharp and vicious recovery soon but only if buying emerges. Nifty must close above 7955 for further rally while a close below 7762 followed by below 7717 can mean more pain. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term.
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vinay28
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Post: #51   PostPosted: Tue Nov 17, 2015 8:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Updated NF levels as of 17/11.
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NU2013
White Belt
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Joined: 18 Jul 2013
Posts: 104

Post: #52   PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 1:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I feel we will have a short-term bottom in place around 7700 - 7750.

Will look to go long once we have clarity on the Fed.... expected to hike but devil is usually in the detail!!

But have also picked up some material which suggests that we are somewhere around 1937 in terms of past comparisons, and the depression/trough could be deeper. I believe that none of the govts. of the developed economies will allow this and one way or another, there'll be a lot of liquidity for another year or so, after the Fed hike.

Vinay bhai, any thoughts?? Perspectives till Feb-March??
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #53   PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 6:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

NU2013 wrote:
I feel we will have a short-term bottom in place around 7700 - 7750.

Will look to go long once we have clarity on the Fed.... expected to hike but devil is usually in the detail!!

But have also picked up some material which suggests that we are somewhere around 1937 in terms of past comparisons, and the depression/trough could be deeper. I believe that none of the govts. of the developed economies will allow this and one way or another, there'll be a lot of liquidity for another year or so, after the Fed hike.

Vinay bhai, any thoughts?? Perspectives till Feb-March??


what material NU2013? can you send me a copy?
we need to wait for a 30tf close below 7729 and/or a daily close below 7717.
no point in indicating view till march but IF and ONLY IF consistent liquidity returns, the bullish div can give about 1100 points jump from whatever low, provided it was over today or at the most few points lower. In which case at least 8700 in December is possible.
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vinay28
Black Belt
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #54   PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 8:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Thursday (19/11/15) and beyond

Supports are at about 7721, 7702, 7680 and 7646 while resistances are at about 7770, 7781, 7813, 7842, 7881, 7920 and 7949. Unfilled gap on higher side is at about 7916. Three +WWs can give about 7754 (if above 7725), 7774 (if above 7732) and 7822 (if above 7791) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). A -WWs can give about 7701 (if below 7863) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now).

Nifty fell sharply in spite of a gap down open to close below 7750. There is a +ve div on daily and we may see some recovery. Also, the bullish div is very strong and can give a sharp and vicious recovery soon but only if buying emerges. Nifty must close above 7825 to begin with while a close below 7717 can mean more pain. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term.
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vinay28
Black Belt
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Post: #55   PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 8:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Updated NF levels as of 18/11.
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NU2013
White Belt
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Joined: 18 Jul 2013
Posts: 104

Post: #56   PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 9:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
NU2013 wrote:
I feel we will have a short-term bottom in place around 7700 - 7750.

Will look to go long once we have clarity on the Fed.... expected to hike but devil is usually in the detail!!

But have also picked up some material which suggests that we are somewhere around 1937 in terms of past comparisons, and the depression/trough could be deeper. I believe that none of the govts. of the developed economies will allow this and one way or another, there'll be a lot of liquidity for another year or so, after the Fed hike.

Vinay bhai, any thoughts?? Perspectives till Feb-March??


what material NU2013? can you send me a copy?
we need to wait for a 30tf close below 7729 and/or a daily close below 7717.
no point in indicating view till march but IF and ONLY IF consistent liquidity returns, the bullish div can give about 1100 points jump from whatever low, provided it was over today or at the most few points lower. In which case at least 8700 in December is possible.


Vinay bhai,

The report is a detailed one from Nautilus Research, a technical analysis firm. You can find a short summary here:-
http://thefelderreport.com/2015/11/16/history-rhymes-a-look-at-a-pair-of-popular-analogs/

8200 in mid-December looks very possible. After that, its all on Fed action!!

I am fed up of this Fed!! 24
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #57   PostPosted: Thu Nov 19, 2015 12:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Updated NF levels as of 19/11.
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pkholla
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 04 Nov 2010
Posts: 2890

Post: #58   PostPosted: Thu Nov 19, 2015 12:41 pm    Post subject: ? Reply with quote

Vinay
Today up, tomorrow down, poor volumes
But no news, good or bad, NF drifting
Just like Duke of York and his 10,000 men
People say FIIs are not in market
TV experts also in the dark, probably ready to try chicken bones, ouija board, Tarot cards. crystal ball,?,?
Aagey kya hoga?
Smile
Prakash Holla
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #59   PostPosted: Thu Nov 19, 2015 3:47 pm    Post subject: Re: ? Reply with quote

pkholla wrote:
Vinay
Today up, tomorrow down, poor volumes
But no news, good or bad, NF drifting
Just like Duke of York and his 10,000 men
People say FIIs are not in market
TV experts also in the dark, probably ready to try chicken bones, ouija board, Tarot cards. crystal ball,?,?
Aagey kya hoga?
Smile
Prakash Holla


Prakash, if you are interested, decide how much you are prepared to loose and accordingly buy 8100ce tmrw.
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AMBY
Yellow Belt
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Joined: 05 Sep 2014
Posts: 503

Post: #60   PostPosted: Thu Nov 19, 2015 5:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

GOOD VIEW,
2guns 2guns 2guns
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