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Nifty View - October Series 2013
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Author Nifty View - October Series 2013
apka
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Joined: 13 Dec 2011
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Post: #106   PostPosted: Mon Oct 07, 2013 6:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

RBI eases liquidity, cuts MSF rate by 50 bps to 9%
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #107   PostPosted: Mon Oct 07, 2013 7:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

amitagg wrote:
Vinay, axis behaved like a sleeping animal today...would break out....since u fee its up, i guess we can buy ABOVE 1075 spot [today close 1069] for min 1110....[but sideways trade today means it can break down also though lesser possibility....it moved parabolic from 996-1120 and retracing till 50% at 1058....lets see how markets behave...

what should I buy...call which strike or futures....and stop loss


I don't know why you feel axis behaved like a sleeping animal. Its intraday chart is very interesting. In spite of a block deal due to its problems with Dabhol project (like icici bank), it did not break low of 17/9. I feel the right time to buy was when it crashed in the first 10 min to 1044 as I prefer to trade near the thresholds and I am long. Of course due to belief that it will go up. My targets are 1177/1215/1323. You can buy calls according to your goal.

I suspected from today's movement of axis (and I posted earlier about it also) that it may open gap up tmrw and wipe out all SLs (1120 is a resistance). If rbi has indeed reduced MSF rates (sorry apka, can't find the damn news anywhere and missed it since I left at 3.45 and have just returned), gap up is very much possible. In that case, my decision to sell my calls partly was wrong but better to be safe. It also means break out may take place with a good gap up open.
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rk_a2003
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Joined: 21 Jan 2010
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Post: #108   PostPosted: Mon Oct 07, 2013 7:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Vinay,
Look at this link.


http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/economy/rbi-eases-liquidity-cuts-msf-rate-by-50-bps-to-9_964950.html?topnews=1
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #109   PostPosted: Mon Oct 07, 2013 7:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

rk_a2003 wrote:
Vinay,
Look at this link.


http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/economy/rbi-eases-liquidity-cuts-msf-rate-by-50-bps-to-9_964950.html?topnews=1


merci monseiur!
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chandrujimrc
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Joined: 21 Apr 2009
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Post: #110   PostPosted: Mon Oct 07, 2013 8:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Really very good understanding between FM and the governor.So Fm will do wonder in the mkt till election.
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amitagg
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Joined: 01 Oct 2013
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Post: #111   PostPosted: Mon Oct 07, 2013 8:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

great thank Vinay...u are early bird...i would still buy above 1120 rgs after watching some price action
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rameshraja
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Joined: 24 Nov 2006
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Post: #112   PostPosted: Mon Oct 07, 2013 9:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mr Vinay

Market sensed the RBI's move at 10.30 AM itself.. It was crystal clear that something was cookingup in Banking stocks by that time, which I was able to decipher from Market Profile Chart.

Most of the Banking stocks have comeup today from the day's low and tomorrow can gapup due to MSF rate cut and I doubt if Banking stocks can sustain the upmove for next few days.
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saumya12
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Joined: 21 Dec 2011
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Post: #113   PostPosted: Mon Oct 07, 2013 10:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Axis Bank has formed a CnH in 60 min and daily TFs
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vinay28
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Post: #114   PostPosted: Tue Oct 08, 2013 9:05 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

rameshraja wrote:
Mr Vinay

Market sensed the RBI's move at 10.30 AM itself.. It was crystal clear that something was cookingup in Banking stocks by that time, which I was able to decipher from Market Profile Chart.

Most of the Banking stocks have comeup today from the day's low and tomorrow can gapup due to MSF rate cut and I doubt if Banking stocks can sustain the upmove for next few days.


yes Mr Raja, that's what I posted earlier about interesting chart of axis. Thanks a lot.
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vinay28
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Post: #115   PostPosted: Tue Oct 08, 2013 9:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
6200ce high today was 51. 40% of that is about 21. I feel buying it may be a good idea with SL about 18-19. Likely target 60-80.


first target met! 2guns 2guns
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amitsolanki73
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Joined: 24 Aug 2013
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Post: #116   PostPosted: Tue Oct 08, 2013 9:54 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

There is an IHNS pattern in Nifty spot. As per that the market has already broken out. At the same time it is possible to find a -WW too with a target around 5760. You decide which is good to trade. Smile
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vinay28
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Post: #117   PostPosted: Tue Oct 08, 2013 10:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

intraday, one can go long here with SL 5978NF
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reemajainiaf
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Joined: 17 Sep 2013
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Post: #118   PostPosted: Tue Oct 08, 2013 10:58 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
intraday, one can go long here with SL 5978NF


Any SL. Bought 6100 CE @97
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vinay28
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Post: #119   PostPosted: Tue Oct 08, 2013 11:01 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

reemajainiaf wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
intraday, one can go long here with SL 5978NF


Any SL. Bought 6100 CE @97


reema, SL is given above in NF. But above suggested trade is for intraday only otherwise we are long in short term, right? Note that SLs for intraday have already been hit on both sides today due to high volatility.
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reemajainiaf
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Joined: 17 Sep 2013
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Post: #120   PostPosted: Tue Oct 08, 2013 11:10 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
reemajainiaf wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
intraday, one can go long here with SL 5978NF


Any SL. Bought 6100 CE @97


reema, SL is given above in NF. But above suggested trade is for intraday only otherwise we are long in short term, right? Note that SLs for intraday have already been hit on both sides today due to high volatility.
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