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Nifty View - October Series 2013
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Author Nifty View - October Series 2013
ca.krishna
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Post: #226   PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2013 5:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

But premium has broken down today in Calls.....why?
apka wrote:
Time is ripe from looking at FNO for us to cross 6200 and possibly 6300 within Oct. Smile

Call writers are freely covering their positions. All ITM calls including OTM 6100ce have shedded OI and 6100pe, 6200pe have added OI in good nos.
Rolling Eyes
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apka
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Post: #227   PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2013 7:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ca.krishna wrote:
But premium has broken down today in Calls.....why?
apka wrote:
Time is ripe from looking at FNO for us to cross 6200 and possibly 6300 within Oct. Smile

Call writers are freely covering their positions. All ITM calls including OTM 6100ce have shedded OI and 6100pe, 6200pe have added OI in good nos.
Rolling Eyes


meaning? upto 6300ce all calls have added a positive close compared to yesterday, value may have eroded a little due to VIX dropping and weekend closing.
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chqmate
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Post: #228   PostPosted: Sat Oct 12, 2013 8:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hanging man pattern is seen. trend reversal expected if gap down occurs!!!
Idea
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vinay28
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Post: #229   PostPosted: Sun Oct 13, 2013 12:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

chqmate wrote:
Hanging man pattern is seen. trend reversal expected if gap down occurs!!!
Idea


Trend reversal can happen after a gap up open also. AND, it need not happen in spite of a gap down open.
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apka
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Post: #230   PostPosted: Sun Oct 13, 2013 1:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
chqmate wrote:
Hanging man pattern is seen. trend reversal expected if gap down occurs!!!
Idea


Trend reversal can happen after a gap up open also. AND, it need not happen in spite of a gap down open.


and trend continuation can happen despite gap down Smile
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chqmate
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Post: #231   PostPosted: Sun Oct 13, 2013 2:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
chqmate wrote:
Hanging man pattern is seen. trend reversal expected if gap down occurs!!!
Idea


Trend reversal can happen after a gap up open also. AND, it need not happen in spite of a gap down open.


and trend continuation can happen despite gap down Smile

reason behind???
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vinay28
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Post: #232   PostPosted: Sun Oct 13, 2013 4:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

chqmate wrote:
apka wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
chqmate wrote:
Hanging man pattern is seen. trend reversal expected if gap down occurs!!!
Idea


Trend reversal can happen after a gap up open also. AND, it need not happen in spite of a gap down open.


and trend continuation can happen despite gap down Smile

reason behind???


apka, that's what I meant when I said "it need not happen". It also includes a flat trend.

reasons - (a) candles don't always cause prices to happen, it is always the other way. Candles can only hint at a possibility from study of past events. And (b) hanging man actually results in bullish trend continuation in 59% of the cases, which means success rate of reversal is 41%.
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vinay28
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Post: #233   PostPosted: Mon Oct 14, 2013 10:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

A -ww can give 6072NS.
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apka
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Post: #234   PostPosted: Mon Oct 14, 2013 11:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
A -ww can give 6072NS.


dont give, not asking Mad
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vinay28
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Post: #235   PostPosted: Mon Oct 14, 2013 11:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
A -ww can give 6072NS.


dont give, not asking Mad


SL is 6130.

as such 6162NF was a high twice, once in 2007 and then a couplf of years later. So 6162 and 6190NF are crucial, equivalent to about 6140/70NS.
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apka
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Post: #236   PostPosted: Mon Oct 14, 2013 11:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
apka wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
A -ww can give 6072NS.


dont give, not asking Mad


SL is 6130.

as such 6162NF was a high twice, once in 2007 and then a couplf of years later. So 6162 and 6190NF are crucial, equivalent to about 6140/70NS.


ok, in addition to your numbers, the recent highs of NF as I see on charts on days were 6176, 6196-6206 and 6239.
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rrk2006hyd
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Post: #237   PostPosted: Mon Oct 14, 2013 12:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
A -ww can give 6072NS.


guruji..ur number is coming...
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vinay28
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Post: #238   PostPosted: Mon Oct 14, 2013 12:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

rrk2006hyd wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
A -ww can give 6072NS.


guruji..ur number is coming...


actually that level is reduced to 6055 but let's see
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satishkadam
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Post: #239   PostPosted: Mon Oct 14, 2013 12:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
rrk2006hyd wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
A -ww can give 6072NS.


guruji..ur number is coming...


actually that level is reduced to 6055 but let's see


Premium... in NF and BNF... has reduced......

does this indicate.. something....

Question
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chqmate
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Post: #240   PostPosted: Mon Oct 14, 2013 12:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
chqmate wrote:
apka wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
chqmate wrote:
Hanging man pattern is seen. trend reversal expected if gap down occurs!!!
Idea


Trend reversal can happen after a gap up open also. AND, it need not happen in spite of a gap down open.


and trend continuation can happen despite gap down Smile

reason behind???


apka, that's what I meant when I said "it need not happen". It also includes a flat trend.

reasons - (a) candles don't always cause prices to happen, it is always the other way. Candles can only hint at a possibility from study of past events. And (b) hanging man actually results in bullish trend continuation in 59% of the cases, which means success rate of reversal is 41%.

ohhhk.... Shocked coolp
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