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Nifty View - October Series 2013
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Author Nifty View - October Series 2013
mayur2402
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Joined: 29 Jun 2013
Posts: 8

Post: #421   PostPosted: Thu Oct 24, 2013 5:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Okay Vinay Sir... i got your point.... will take a small exposure towards NF Calls tomorrow if i get an opportunity..... Just one thing bothers my mind is the current valuations and RBI policy which is roung the corner and may throw surprises to the market!!!!
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #422   PostPosted: Thu Oct 24, 2013 7:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

mayur2402 wrote:
Okay Vinay Sir... i got your point.... will take a small exposure towards NF Calls tomorrow if i get an opportunity..... Just one thing bothers my mind is the current valuations and RBI policy which is roung the corner and may throw surprises to the market!!!!


remember 6280-90NS is a strong resistance. My worry will start if 6110 is breached and will increase if 6030 taken out.
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #423   PostPosted: Thu Oct 24, 2013 7:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Once again FIIs net purchase 990cr today. Oct net purchae value has exceeded sept value.
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rk_a2003
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Joined: 21 Jan 2010
Posts: 2734

Post: #424   PostPosted: Thu Oct 24, 2013 8:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
Once again FIIs net purchase 990cr today. Oct net purchae value has exceeded sept value.


Yes, Vinay FII’s appears to be determined to take up the markets. Their intention was loud and clear when they took the markets from 5100 odd levels to 6100 levels within 16 trading days in the month of September.

It’s quite interesting to watch the QE tapering(some financial experts guessing more QE induction instead of tapering) and Indian elections early 2014.Will they use these occasions to shake out the bulls? I am really curious to watch this.

Last year market was beaten down after Diwali. This time reverse may happen. Any observations on how markets behaved in recent years before and after Murat with reference to ongoing trend.
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thalapathy
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Joined: 04 Mar 2013
Posts: 27

Post: #425   PostPosted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 2:38 am    Post subject: Trend reversal Reply with quote

1. Ema 13 and Ema 8 Eod chart Niftyclosing


3/10 5838.41 5849.32 -10.91 5909.07
4/10 5848.25 5862.21 -13.96 5907.03
7/10 5856.52 5871.97 -15.45 5906.15
8/10 5866.79 5884.51 -17.12 5928.04
9/10 5886.89 5911.83 -24.94 6007.45
10/10 5906.04 5936.08 -30.04 6020.95
11/10 5933.2 5971.66 -38.46 6096.20

14/10 5958.58 6003 -44.42 6112.70
15/10 5977.45 6022.13 -44.68 6089.05

17/10 5987.22 6027.4 -40.18 6045.85 (convergence)
18/10 6016.09 6063.39 -47.3 6189.35

21/10 6043.07 6094.85 -51.78 6204.95
22/10 6065.89 6118.84 -52.95 6202.80
23/10 6081.96 6132.06 -50.1 6178.35 (convergence)
24/10 6093.73 6139.24 -45.51 6164.35 (convergence)

2. MACD

21/10 - 104.77
22/10 - 109.00
23/10 - 109.12
24/10 - 106.86 (convergence)

3. 5700 Put oct series around 20% decrease in open interest,
1169050 shares sheds probably shorts covering(24/10/13)

4. Almost GRAVE DOJI (24/10/13)

5. Nifty will soon test 34 EMA
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #426   PostPosted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 8:27 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

in what way is 8/13 ema data related to 34ema?
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apka
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Joined: 13 Dec 2011
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Post: #427   PostPosted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 9:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dollar Index new lows 79.13... but rupee depreciating.
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #428   PostPosted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 9:57 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
Dollar Index new lows 79.13... but rupee depreciating.


keep a watch on vix. It has suddenly reacted, which means pcr OI may be changing. Watch whether it breaks 20.34 and then 19.87
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manojkr78
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Joined: 07 Mar 2011
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Post: #429   PostPosted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 10:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay,

any leves to watch to initiate buying.....
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apka
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Joined: 13 Dec 2011
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Post: #430   PostPosted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 10:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
apka wrote:
Dollar Index new lows 79.13... but rupee depreciating.


keep a watch on vix. It has suddenly reacted, which means pcr OI may be changing. Watch whether it breaks 20.34 and then 19.87


ok.

USD/INR - 61.645 +0.190 (+0.31%)
US Dollar Index 79.07 -0.18 -0.23%
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rrk2006hyd
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Joined: 13 Oct 2010
Posts: 874

Post: #431   PostPosted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 10:10 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

nifty levels.....6068-6107-6186-6225
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #432   PostPosted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 10:14 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
apka wrote:
Dollar Index new lows 79.13... but rupee depreciating.


keep a watch on vix. It has suddenly reacted, which means pcr OI may be changing. Watch whether it breaks 20.34 and then 19.87


ok.

USD/INR - 61.645 +0.190 (+0.31%)
US Dollar Index 79.07 -0.18 -0.23%


not yet. one more dip likely. but NF made a new low, not NS
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vinay28
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Post: #433   PostPosted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 10:16 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

a sustained BO above 6155 can see 6220.
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amitagg
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Joined: 01 Oct 2013
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Post: #434   PostPosted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 10:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Generally i guess a triangle is formed on intra day charts following the break of kep support....first key support of 6180 was broken.....hence.....markets today if hold 6136 NF can DO RALLY to hit 6180 etc....this should not be a definite meaning that downtrend has not started but just for intra day....watch break of 6161 on upside.....break of 6136 would come in "vertical" fashion if it does now
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chandrujimrc
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Joined: 21 Apr 2009
Posts: 1683

Post: #435   PostPosted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 10:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Looting in the name of consolidation is going on.Till they getting their qty this game will conrinue.

Last edited by chandrujimrc on Fri Oct 25, 2013 11:01 am; edited 1 time in total
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