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Nifty View - October'15 Series
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Author Nifty View - October'15 Series
riteshucha
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Joined: 19 May 2012
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Post: #31   PostPosted: Tue Oct 13, 2015 2:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

can anybody see a strong +ve div on 15 TF for NF...?? or is it just me...
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riteshucha
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Post: #32   PostPosted: Tue Oct 13, 2015 3:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

8107 to 8150...

riteshucha wrote:
can anybody see a strong +ve div on 15 TF for NF...?? or is it just me...
2guns
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #33   PostPosted: Tue Oct 13, 2015 7:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Wednesday (14/10/15) and beyond

Supports are at about 8121, 8094, 8059, 8049, 8025 and 8007 while resistances are at about 8145, 8161, 8181, 8205 and 8283. 50/100 dma are at about 8086/8214. Unfilled gaps on higher/lower side are at about 8300/7950 resp. Three +WWs can give about 8156 (if above 8107), 8172 (if above 8117) and 8187 (if above 8132) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Two -WWs can give about 7992/76 (if below 8214) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). An IHnS can give about 8305 if nifty sustains above 8015. A rising wedge can give about 7980 if nifty sustains below 8220. A broadening wedge can give about 8030 upon BD below 8120.

Nifty fell after a gap down open but recovered to close mildly +ve but below 8150 and also below previous close. The daily candle is hammer cum doji showing uncertainty. Nifty bounced off 50 dma but the strong -ve volume suggests lower levels. Tuesday was a NR4 day and we may see a big move on Wednesday. Now only a close above 8300 will see further rise while a close below 8119 may mean further fall. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term. As bulls and bears fight for a foot hold, we can see wild swings.
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vinay28
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Post: #34   PostPosted: Wed Oct 14, 2015 8:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Thursday (15/10/15) and beyond

Supports are at about 8085, 8069, 8049, 8027, 8018, 8003, 7984 and 7952 while resistances are at about 8118, 8136, 8147, 8160 and 8283. 50/100 dma are at about 8077/8210. Unfilled gaps on higher/lower side are at about 8300/7950 resp. Two +WWs can give about 8167 (if above 8073) and 8189 (if above 8100) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Two -WWs can give about 7961/42 (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). An IHnS can give about 8305 if nifty sustains above 8015. A rising wedge can give about 7980 if nifty continues to fall. A broadening wedge can give about 8030 upon BD below 8120. A HnS can give 8000 if nifty sustains below 8085.

Nifty remained in a narrow range after a gap down open and closed mildly +ve above 8100 and also below previous close. The daily candle is an inverted hammer cum inside bar and the strong -ve volume suggests more pain. Wednesday was a NR45 day and we may see a huge moves in next 1-2 days. Only a close above 8300 will see further rise while a close below 8001 can mean major fall. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term. As bulls and bears fight for a foot hold, we can see wild swings.
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vinay28
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Post: #35   PostPosted: Thu Oct 15, 2015 10:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Updated NF levels for 15/10.
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #36   PostPosted: Thu Oct 15, 2015 7:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Friday (16/10/15) and beyond

Supports are at about 8164, 8153, 8139, 8103, 8095 and 8045 while resistances are at about 8207, 8230, 8249, 8283, 8306 and 8333. 50/100 dma are at about 8070/8209. Unfilled gaps on higher/lower side are at about 8300/7950 resp. A +WW can give about 8214 (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Three -WWs can give about 8086 (if below 8275, which is yet to be reached), 8007 and 7902 (if below 8224) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). An IHnS can give about 8305 if nifty sustains above 8015. A rising wedge can give about 7980 if nifty remains below 8220. A HnS can give 8000 if nifty sustains below 8085.

Nifty rose after a gap up open and closed well above 8150. The strong +ve volume suggests higher levels. However, the bearish div is getting stronger and we may see a sharp fall soon. Bulls will want a close above 8190 and preferably above 8193 while bears will want a close below 8107. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term. As bulls and bears fight for a foot hold, we can see wild swings.
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manojkr78
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Post: #37   PostPosted: Fri Oct 16, 2015 9:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Vinay,

still holding 8200put??
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vinay28
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Post: #38   PostPosted: Fri Oct 16, 2015 10:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

manojkr78 wrote:
Vinay,

still holding 8200put??


yes manoj, I added yesterday. a few signals may worry me e.g. for today, SL is 8213NF. then 8249NF is crucial, then close above 8250NS is bad. first sign of trouble may be close above 8190/93 NS today. but I may carry to next week unless nifty collapses by at least 90 today
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manojkr78
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Post: #39   PostPosted: Fri Oct 16, 2015 11:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks, do you expect 250-300 points down move from here before reaching 8315.....
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vinay28
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Post: #40   PostPosted: Fri Oct 16, 2015 1:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

manojkr78 wrote:
Thanks, do you expect 250-300 points down move from here before reaching 8315.....


not sure but I am hoping for at least 7985NS if not lower. as mentioned yesterday a close below 8001NS/8022NF can be bad.
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ank_s
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Joined: 26 Mar 2014
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Post: #41   PostPosted: Sat Oct 17, 2015 8:11 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi Vinay,

Are u still carrying 8200PE?

Rgds..
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vinay28
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Post: #42   PostPosted: Sat Oct 17, 2015 1:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ank_s wrote:
Hi Vinay,

Are u still carrying 8200PE?

Rgds..


yes I am except that when NF crossed over 8179 again around 2 pm, I also bought 8400ce as a hedge. About 8310/76 NF, give or take a few, are crucial and ideal shorting levels I feel. I also feel Monday or Tuesday may be top. So I intend to switch to Nov puts, may be 8000 on Monday as I feel we should see at least 7% fall in Nov from whatever high.
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vinay28
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Post: #43   PostPosted: Sat Oct 17, 2015 1:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Updated levels of NF as of 16/10.
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vinay28
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Post: #44   PostPosted: Sat Oct 17, 2015 1:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Monday (19/10/15) and beyond

Supports are at about 8208, 8181, 8169, 8153, 8132, 8109, 8083 and 8049 while resistances are at about 8277, 8314, 8330, 8372 and 8405. 50/100/200 dma are at about 8065/8207/8380 resp. Unfilled gaps on higher/lower side are at about 8300/8107 resp. A +WW can give about 8310 (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Four -WWs can give about 8141 (if below 8215), 8126 (if below 8200), 8086 (if below 8278, which is yet to be reached), and 7890 (if below 8252) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). An IHnS can give about 8305 if nifty sustains above 8015. A rising wedge and a broadening, ascending wedge can give about 7930 if nifty remains below 8200.

Nifty reacted after a gap up open but reversed sharply to close well above 8200 and also above 100 dma after 19/08 and higher levels seem imminent. However, weekly candle is a hanging man and the bearish div is getting stronger on daily, weekly and monthly. Hence we may see a sharp fall soon. Bulls will want a close above 8300 for further rally while bears will want a close below 8107. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term. As bulls and bears fight for a foot hold, we can see wild swings. Trade carefully as next week is truncated.
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vinay28
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Post: #45   PostPosted: Mon Oct 19, 2015 7:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is just a personal view and neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade.

Nifty for Tuesday (20/10/15) and beyond

Supports are at about 8263, 8245, 8219, 8205, 8188, 8153 and 8133 while resistances are at about 8297, 8313, 8333, 8352 and 8366. 100/200 dma are at about 8207/8380 resp. Unfilled gaps on higher/lower side are at about 8300/8238 resp. A +WW can give about 8345 (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Four -WWs can give about 8118 (if below 8208), 8084 (if below 8280, which is yet to be reached) and 7890 (if below 8255) (-WWs with lower targets are not mentioned as of now). An IHnS can give about 8305 if nifty sustains above 8015. A rising wedge and a broadening, ascending wedge can give about 7930 if nifty remains below 8220.

Nifty rose after a gap up open to close well above 8250 and higher levels seem imminent. However, daily candle is like a hanging man and also like an evening star, which will only be confirmed by a Red candle on Tuesday, preferably after a gap down open. The bearish div is getting stronger on daily, weekly and monthly. Hence we may see a sharp fall soon. Monday was a NR48 day and we may see big moves soon. Bulls will want a close above 8300 to begin with while bears will want a close below 8189. Global and local eco-political events can have a bearing on how nifty moves in short term. As bulls and bears fight for a foot hold, we can see wild swings. Trade carefully as next week is truncated.
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