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Nifty View - September Series 2013
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Author Nifty View - September Series 2013
vinay28
Black Belt
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #376   PostPosted: Thu Sep 19, 2013 10:16 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

pkholla wrote:
VINAY! Consistent posts since NF 5100 that market is likely to zoom to 6000+, 6100+, ? Tusi great ho!
Real Kali Yug going on if we need to hear that Big Ben is NOT cutting down QE, for our market to zoom. Smoke and Mirrors?
I am making 3 positional contributions today to my Friday happy hours kitty! Axis Bank, HDFC, HDFC Bank. If more I will update!
3 cheers to Bennie AND Vinay!
Prakash Holla


danke prakash. now is the time to be cautious and wise. I have bought small 5400pe for oct even as I hold 900ce for ril. If ril is going to go to 910/25/55 then many other large caps will have to fall for nifty not to go up. At the same time, if 6094 is crossed, we still have a good chance for .........

Otherwise, from view point of deficits, earning growth, investment, etc., nothing looks good except liquidity. let's see what "dose" Raghu gives us tmrw.
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #377   PostPosted: Thu Sep 19, 2013 10:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vix fell to first target of sub 24 level.
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apka
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Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #378   PostPosted: Thu Sep 19, 2013 10:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

rk_a2003 wrote:
well I went short at 6157 october Future.SL 6230 NS.Reasons later.


I have 6210 spot in mind, if crosses I will exit the 1 oct short in loss and trgt opens for 6900.
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amitsolanki73
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Joined: 24 Aug 2013
Posts: 23

Post: #379   PostPosted: Thu Sep 19, 2013 10:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
rk_a2003 wrote:
well I went short at 6157 october Future.SL 6230 NS.Reasons later.


I have 6210 spot in mind, if crosses I will exit the 1 oct short in loss and trgt opens for 6900.


sell on all rallies towards 6160 NS. 5700-5650 NS might be the target by next tuesday or wednesday. Stoploss is above 6170 CC on daily chart. That is my strategy. Smile cmp 6070 NS
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vinay28
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Post: #380   PostPosted: Thu Sep 19, 2013 11:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

some banks have gone up 60-80% in dollar terms since the low in August.

Volume already >1 lac cr by 11am.
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rrk2006hyd
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Joined: 13 Oct 2010
Posts: 874

Post: #381   PostPosted: Thu Sep 19, 2013 11:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

buy order placed for OCT nifty 6100PE ,50@150
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saumya12
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Joined: 21 Dec 2011
Posts: 1509

Post: #382   PostPosted: Thu Sep 19, 2013 12:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

amitsolanki73 wrote:
apka wrote:
rk_a2003 wrote:
well I went short at 6157 october Future.SL 6230 NS.Reasons later.

I have 6210 spot in mind, if crosses I will exit the 1 oct short in loss and trgt opens for 6900.


sell on all rallies towards 6160 NS. 5700-5650 NS might be the target by next tuesday or wednesday. Stoploss is above 6170 CC on daily chart. That is my strategy. Smile cmp 6070 NS

Any reasoning or analysis behind this or just feeling
Share reason/analysis, if any
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vinay28
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Post: #383   PostPosted: Thu Sep 19, 2013 12:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

saumya, I hereby order you to post Japanese weather report every weekend! Smile
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amitsolanki73
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Joined: 24 Aug 2013
Posts: 23

Post: #384   PostPosted: Thu Sep 19, 2013 12:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

saumya12 wrote:
amitsolanki73 wrote:
apka wrote:
rk_a2003 wrote:
well I went short at 6157 october Future.SL 6230 NS.Reasons later.

I have 6210 spot in mind, if crosses I will exit the 1 oct short in loss and trgt opens for 6900.


sell on all rallies towards 6160 NS. 5700-5650 NS might be the target by next tuesday or wednesday. Stoploss is above 6170 CC on daily chart. That is my strategy. Smile cmp 6070 NS

Any reasoning or analysis behind this or just feeling
Share reason/analysis, if any



Saumya I do employ a few methods for coming towards technical levels and trades. For example, the major method I follow gave resistance around 6110 CC in daily charts while a few other methods (which I consult for confirmation) revealed high probable resistance area closer to 6170. So I have decided that 6170 is a good stoploss for any SHORT positions though I could have opted for the recent high of 6230. Similarly, the trade is attractive in terms of risk:reward also (risking around 100 point of so for a target of 400 or higher). I have bought 6000 PUTs OCT this morning for this trade. I have opted for the PUTs because I'm worried about the huge gap-up opening like the one we have had today. Buying PUTs means I can sleep peacefully. By the way, many were disclosing their trades and strategies here. That is why thought about posting my strategy too.
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #385   PostPosted: Thu Sep 19, 2013 12:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

6094 crossed. now what?
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amitsolanki73
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Joined: 24 Aug 2013
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Post: #386   PostPosted: Thu Sep 19, 2013 12:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
saumya, I hereby order you to post Japanese weather report every weekend! Smile


Vinayji Nifty IKH Chart is here. I can't see much weakness there. In fact, it is looking bullish with IKH
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #387   PostPosted: Thu Sep 19, 2013 12:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

amitsolanki73 wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
saumya, I hereby order you to post Japanese weather report every weekend! Smile


Vinayji Nifty IKH Chart is here. I can't see much weakness there. In fact, it is looking bullish with IKH


thanks a lot amit but I would also welcome saumya's jargon e.g. tokyo cloud line is above london cloud line, etc. Laughing


Last edited by vinay28 on Thu Sep 19, 2013 1:14 pm; edited 1 time in total
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saumya12
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Joined: 21 Dec 2011
Posts: 1509

Post: #388   PostPosted: Thu Sep 19, 2013 1:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

amitsolanki73 wrote:
saumya12 wrote:
amitsolanki73 wrote:
apka wrote:
rk_a2003 wrote:
well I went short at 6157 october Future.SL 6230 NS.Reasons later.

I have 6210 spot in mind, if crosses I will exit the 1 oct short in loss and trgt opens for 6900.


sell on all rallies towards 6160 NS. 5700-5650 NS might be the target by next tuesday or wednesday. Stoploss is above 6170 CC on daily chart. That is my strategy. Smile cmp 6070 NS

Any reasoning or analysis behind this or just feeling
Share reason/analysis, if any



Saumya I do employ a few methods for coming towards technical levels and trades. For example, the major method I follow gave resistance around 6110 CC in daily charts while a few other methods (which I consult for confirmation) revealed high probable resistance area closer to 6170. So I have decided that 6170 is a good stoploss for any SHORT positions though I could have opted for the recent high of 6230. Similarly, the trade is attractive in terms of risk:reward also (risking around 100 point of so for a target of 400 or higher). I have bought 6000 PUTs OCT this morning for this trade. I have opted for the PUTs because I'm worried about the huge gap-up opening like the one we have had today. Buying PUTs means I can sleep peacefully. By the way, many were disclosing their trades and strategies here. That is why thought about posting my strategy too.

Amit, thanks for details.
Will discuss more in the evening.
But you didnt reply, how you arrived at, your target you mentioned for Tue and Wed.
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saumya12
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Joined: 21 Dec 2011
Posts: 1509

Post: #389   PostPosted: Thu Sep 19, 2013 1:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
saumya, I hereby order you to post Japanese weather report every weekend! Smile

Ok.
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #390   PostPosted: Thu Sep 19, 2013 1:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

likely levels today - 6162/82/6202 NF.
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