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Nifty View - September Series 2013
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Author Nifty View - September Series 2013
vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #436   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 2:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

a +ww can give 5936NS
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rrk2006hyd
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Joined: 13 Oct 2010
Posts: 874

Post: #437   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 3:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

today down..

tomorrow--flat--

day after tomorrow?..high-low-high--low...

according to daily volatality nifty spot levels ...

6003-5947-5836-5780..

bought 5800PE,50@15 and 6000CE ,50@24.10..is it good?


Last edited by rrk2006hyd on Mon Sep 23, 2013 3:34 pm; edited 1 time in total
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riteshucha
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Joined: 19 May 2012
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Post: #438   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 3:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

was this valid for today only vinay?

vinay28 wrote:
a +ww can give 5936NS
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vinay28
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Post: #439   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 6:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

riteshucha wrote:
was this valid for today only vinay?

vinay28 wrote:
a +ww can give 5936NS


no ritesh, both 5936 & 6055 (since then raised to 5938 and 6159) are subject to nifty going up and remaining above 5882 and 5912 resp. Another +ww target is 6036 > 5912.

on the lower side there is at least one -ww which can give 5720 if nifty continues to go down.
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vinay28
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Post: #440   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 6:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

rrk2006hyd wrote:
today down..

tomorrow--flat--

day after tomorrow?..high-low-high--low...

according to daily volatality nifty spot levels ...

6003-5947-5836-5780..

bought 5800PE,50@15 and 6000CE ,50@24.10..is it good?


doubtful if they are for sept. As of now, I feel range for this week is 5800-6100. If we see another 100 point drop tmrw then expiry could be around 5850-5900 or so provided tmrw daily close is >5800. If we see a 100 point rise tmrw, it could be 6050. so 6000ce may be lucky but 5800pe needs to be taken care of after seeing tmrw's level near eod.
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riteshucha
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Post: #441   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 6:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

thanks vinay!!

vinay28 wrote:
riteshucha wrote:
was this valid for today only vinay?

vinay28 wrote:
a +ww can give 5936NS


no ritesh, both 5936 & 6055 (since then raised to 5938 and 6159) are subject to nifty going up and remaining above 5882 and 5912 resp. Another +ww target is 6036 > 5912.

on the lower side there is at least one -ww which can give 5720 if nifty continues to go down.
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riteshucha
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Post: #442   PostPosted: Tue Sep 24, 2013 10:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

done!!! Laughing

vinay28 wrote:
a +ww can give 5936NS
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vinay28
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Post: #443   PostPosted: Tue Sep 24, 2013 10:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

If NS closes below 5930 today, it can mean further fall.
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pkholla
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Post: #444   PostPosted: Tue Sep 24, 2013 10:41 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

NS= 5908
NF Sept = 5930, 16.8 lakhs buyers, 6.4 lakh sellers
NF Oct = 5981 3.2 lakhs buyers, 2.4 lakh sellers

Has anyone seen such large premium and what is the reason for the same?
Vinay? RK?
Prakash Holla
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #445   PostPosted: Tue Sep 24, 2013 10:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

pkholla wrote:
NS= 5908
NF Sept = 5930, 16.8 lakhs buyers, 6.4 lakh sellers
NF Oct = 5981 3.2 lakhs buyers, 2.4 lakh sellers

Has anyone seen such large premium and what is the reason for the same?
Vinay? RK?
Prakash Holla


even 2 days ago, premium was 72. Very high but not sure what the game is in immediate term. Not good.
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saumya12
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Joined: 21 Dec 2011
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Post: #446   PostPosted: Tue Sep 24, 2013 10:57 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

pkholla wrote:
NS= 5908
NF Sept = 5930, 16.8 lakhs buyers, 6.4 lakh sellers
NF Oct = 5981 3.2 lakhs buyers, 2.4 lakh sellers

Has anyone seen such large premium and what is the reason for the same?
Vinay? RK?
Prakash Holla

Yeh to kuchh bhi nahin Laughing

Just look at Nifty options for Oct series Rolling Eyes
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vinay28
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Post: #447   PostPosted: Tue Sep 24, 2013 11:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

saumya12 wrote:
pkholla wrote:
NS= 5908
NF Sept = 5930, 16.8 lakhs buyers, 6.4 lakh sellers
NF Oct = 5981 3.2 lakhs buyers, 2.4 lakh sellers

Has anyone seen such large premium and what is the reason for the same?
Vinay? RK?
Prakash Holla

Yeh to kuchh bhi nahin Laughing

Just look at Nifty options for Oct series Rolling Eyes


saumya, I had commented last week that premium on options is huge, particularly puts. I wanted to dabble in Dec options but 6500ce is 101 and 5400pe is 103.
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vinay28
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Post: #448   PostPosted: Tue Sep 24, 2013 11:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I am looking for a bullish engulfing candle today.
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pkholla
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Post: #449   PostPosted: Tue Sep 24, 2013 11:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

saumya12 wrote:
Just look at Nifty options for Oct series

Saumya: Humay suspense me mat chodo! What does it mean? Option writers want to book high profits selling options that will expire worthless? But where does that lead Nifty??? Prakash Holla
Update at 1215: Fool around taking NF up and down in small swings and watch the premia being eaten up!
CE5900 down 13.5% and PE5900 down 14.5%
Option writers zindabad! Prakash Holla
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shekharinvest
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Joined: 21 Dec 2007
Posts: 549

Post: #450   PostPosted: Tue Sep 24, 2013 1:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

saumya12 wrote:
pkholla wrote:
NS= 5908
NF Sept = 5930, 16.8 lakhs buyers, 6.4 lakh sellers
NF Oct = 5981 3.2 lakhs buyers, 2.4 lakh sellers

Has anyone seen such large premium and what is the reason for the same?
Vinay? RK?
Prakash Holla

Yeh to kuchh bhi nahin Laughing

Just look at Nifty options for Oct series Rolling Eyes





Option premium has Volatility as one of the variables.
VIX at 27 is bound to result in high premiums the more it rises higher will be the premium.
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