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Nifty View - September Series 2013 |
apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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Post: #541  Posted: Mon Sep 30, 2013 6:30 pm Post subject: |
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The CAD has come at 4.9% vs 4% YoY... However articles are saying it is in line with expectations.
At the same time news is that Bonds fell to end worst quarter since Q4 2009 after the RBI did not announce a bond purchase as many traders had expected after RBI last week had said it would provide adequate liquidity.
Sgx Nifty Future 5741.00 -24.50 -0.43% |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #542 Posted: Mon Sep 30, 2013 6:59 pm Post subject: |
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| rameshraja wrote: | Mr Vinay
Nifty has already pierced the lower band of Volatility.. Quite risky to short now |
sorry Mr Raja, I don't know how I missed this post. I am actually long as I expect violent and sharp moves either way. That's why I didn't cover it even when my assumed SL was hit. Anyway, I always have a very small position. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #543 Posted: Mon Sep 30, 2013 7:00 pm Post subject: |
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| apka wrote: | The CAD has come at 4.9% vs 4% YoY... However articles are saying it is in line with expectations.
At the same time news is that Bonds fell to end worst quarter since Q4 2009 after the RBI did not announce a bond purchase as many traders had expected after RBI last week had said it would provide adequate liquidity.
Sgx Nifty Future 5741.00 -24.50 -0.43% |
FIIs have bought over 2B$ in sept in equity and debt. |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #544 Posted: Mon Sep 30, 2013 7:25 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | apka wrote: | The CAD has come at 4.9% vs 4% YoY... However articles are saying it is in line with expectations.
At the same time news is that Bonds fell to end worst quarter since Q4 2009 after the RBI did not announce a bond purchase as many traders had expected after RBI last week had said it would provide adequate liquidity.
Sgx Nifty Future 5741.00 -24.50 -0.43% |
FIIs have bought over 2B$ in sept in equity and debt. |
Ok, let's see if Europe / DOW recover later in the day. Down by over -1% now. |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #545 Posted: Mon Sep 30, 2013 10:22 pm Post subject: |
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| Quote: | Unilever warned on Monday that a slowdown in its emerging markets had accelerated in the third quarter and it now expects underlying sales growth of 3 to 3.5 percent in the period.
Developed markets remained flat to down, it said, and overall Unilever said it was on track to meet its 2013 priorities. It attributed the emerging markets slowdown to a significant currency weakening.
"We continue to grow ahead of our markets and expect underlying sales growth to improve in quarter four," Chief Executive Paul Polman said. |
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pkholla
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Joined: 04 Nov 2010
Posts: 2890
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| Post: #546 Posted: Tue Oct 01, 2013 9:24 am Post subject: |
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| apka wrote: | | Quote: | | Unilever warned on Monday that a slowdown in its emerging markets had accelerated in the third quarter |
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In times of hardship, people either stop buying or buy less of unnecessary items esp. products of HUL with very high price, poor quality
1 Every HUL product comes in bottom 1/3rd of quality tests
2 Ready to eat chapati develops fungus day before expiry date
3 Jam contains cheap glucose added to give weight
4 Coconut hair oil contains lot of crude oil extract
5 Soap contains thermal power station coal ash (GoI officially allows HUL to sell as "bathing bar"!!!)
and so on and so forth
NO WONDER HUL MARKETING EXECUTIVES RISE TO HIGHEST LEVEL IN LEVER GROUP. If they can sell HUL crap, then they can sell ice to eskimo
Prakash Holla |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #547 Posted: Tue Oct 01, 2013 9:39 am Post subject: |
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| US stalemate, shuts down |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #548 Posted: Tue Oct 01, 2013 10:05 am Post subject: |
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Nifty rejoicing US shut down  |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #549 Posted: Tue Oct 01, 2013 10:07 am Post subject: |
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| apka wrote: | | Nifty rejoicing US shut down |
still a short time to go for final bell. anyway, shutdown means QE tapering gets delayed |
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manojkr78
Green Belt
Joined: 07 Mar 2011
Posts: 1014
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| Post: #550 Posted: Tue Oct 01, 2013 10:41 am Post subject: |
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vinay,
any levels to watch for today..... |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #551 Posted: Tue Oct 01, 2013 10:47 am Post subject: |
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| manojkr78 wrote: | vinay,
any levels to watch for today..... |
manoj, I feel one can buy once NF goes above 5820 or 5850 and retraces a bit. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #552 Posted: Tue Oct 01, 2013 11:46 am Post subject: |
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| reemajainiaf wrote: | | Thanks for your suggestion and opinion. |
did you book your puts yesterday? |
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reemajainiaf
White Belt
Joined: 17 Sep 2013
Posts: 78
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| Post: #553 Posted: Tue Oct 01, 2013 12:06 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | reemajainiaf wrote: | | Thanks for your suggestion and opinion. |
did you book your puts yesterday? |
No, not yesterday but today in the morning. Of course, in profit! 
Thanks.
Should I buy a call after NS crosses 5810 or buy put again at higher levels? |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #554 Posted: Tue Oct 01, 2013 12:21 pm Post subject: |
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| reemajainiaf wrote: | | vinay28 wrote: | | reemajainiaf wrote: | | Thanks for your suggestion and opinion. |
did you book your puts yesterday? |
No, not yesterday but today in the morning. Of course, in profit!
Thanks.
Should I buy a call after NS crosses 5810 or buy put again at higher levels? |
I feel you may buy 6000ce with SL of 5785NF or 5765 or 5750 depending upon your apetite. However, carefully watch market from about 1 pm. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #555 Posted: Tue Oct 01, 2013 12:22 pm Post subject: |
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| Assuming constant vix throughout next month, range for 30 days from 27/9 is 5594/6171 and for 30 days from 1/10 is 5439/6032. The difference in range is obviously due to difference in values of vix/NS on expiry and on 30/9. Also, since expiry is 31/10, range will be slightly more. |
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