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Nifty View - September Series |
ragarwal
Yellow Belt
Joined: 16 Nov 2008
Posts: 582
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Post: #241  Posted: Wed Sep 17, 2014 2:39 pm Post subject: |
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excellent vinay,nifty dancing to ur tunes  |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #242 Posted: Wed Sep 17, 2014 2:46 pm Post subject: |
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| ragarwal wrote: | | excellent vinay,nifty dancing to ur tunes |
luck favours the lucky rashmi.
a close near 7985 or more will be give a bullish harami. |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #243 Posted: Wed Sep 17, 2014 3:25 pm Post subject: |
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| apka wrote: | | vinay28 wrote: | | apka, IVs are so low that only diehards will write options IMHO unless they write near MT ones. pl watch OI in 8000ce intraday. last I saw it was 50.50 lacs |
53+ |
back to even around 48 |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #244 Posted: Wed Sep 17, 2014 3:29 pm Post subject: |
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| apka wrote: | | apka wrote: | | vinay28 wrote: | | apka, IVs are so low that only diehards will write options IMHO unless they write near MT ones. pl watch OI in 8000ce intraday. last I saw it was 50.50 lacs |
53+ |
back to even around 48 |
ok, looks promising. IMHO, effect of FOMC is over. 7990-95 is a "sell" area". What if it opens well above that? |
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Neotrader
White Belt
Joined: 13 Feb 2011
Posts: 9
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| Post: #245 Posted: Wed Sep 17, 2014 7:24 pm Post subject: |
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| well, seeing todays trading, I have changed my mind. We can now wait for 7780. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #246 Posted: Thu Sep 18, 2014 8:37 am Post subject: |
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Nifty for Thursday (18/09/14)
Supports are at about 7939, 7929, 7895 and 7864 while resistances are at about 7985/93, 8051/67 and 8102/16. Unfilled gaps on higher/lower side are at about 8106/8153 and 7904 resp. A +WW can give about 8062 (once above 7978) (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Three -WWs can give about 7910, 7880 and 7800 (-WWs with much lower targets are not mentioned as of now). An IHnS can give about 8275 if nifty remains above 7940. Two rising wedges can give much lower levels if nifty continues to go down.
Nifty closed flat after a gap up open and above 7950 but is not out of the woods unless there is a sharp reversal. A hidden div is developing on daily chart and we may indeed see a big rise if nifty doesn't fall further. Daily candle is like a hammer cum bullish Harami. Nifty will have to go above 8160 to give hope to bulls. Global events can have a bearing on how nifty moves. Liquidity continues to be strong. Intraday volatility can cause wild swings. |
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riteshucha
Green Belt
Joined: 19 May 2012
Posts: 1292
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| Post: #247 Posted: Thu Sep 18, 2014 9:32 am Post subject: |
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IB low broken in NF... waiting for NS to break... be careful... it might flatter to deceive....
reverse for Shorts strictly 8010.50 NF... but if NS breaks 7936, no prob for shorts... |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #248 Posted: Thu Sep 18, 2014 9:40 am Post subject: |
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| riteshucha wrote: | IB low broken in NF... waiting for NS to break... be careful... it might flatter to deceive....
reverse for Shorts strictly 8010.50 NF... but if NS breaks 7936, no prob for shorts... |
u spoke too early my dear ritesh. |
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riteshucha
Green Belt
Joined: 19 May 2012
Posts: 1292
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| Post: #249 Posted: Thu Sep 18, 2014 9:41 am Post subject: |
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yes yes..  freak what just happened....
reversed @ 8013...
| vinay28 wrote: | | riteshucha wrote: | IB low broken in NF... waiting for NS to break... be careful... it might flatter to deceive....
reverse for Shorts strictly 8010.50 NF... but if NS breaks 7936, no prob for shorts... |
u spoke too early my dear ritesh. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #250 Posted: Thu Sep 18, 2014 10:56 am Post subject: |
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| target of BO of ST posted yesterday met as also that of +ww. Two of the higher +ww targets are 8110 and 8135. |
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riteshucha
Green Belt
Joined: 19 May 2012
Posts: 1292
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| Post: #251 Posted: Thu Sep 18, 2014 11:23 am Post subject: |
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| vinay, what if scotland cuts off from EU?? what impact u see on currency then our mkts... i think voting is tonite right? |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #252 Posted: Thu Sep 18, 2014 11:34 am Post subject: |
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| riteshucha wrote: | | vinay, what if scotland cuts off from EU?? what impact u see on currency then our mkts... i think voting is tonite right? |
ritesh, if Scotland votes for separation, it will affect british pound a lot and perhaps euro and FIIs will be nervous today. But I am still sticking to my 8235/65 for expiry. first sign will be close above 8055/66 today and then 8133. |
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riteshucha
Green Belt
Joined: 19 May 2012
Posts: 1292
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| Post: #253 Posted: Thu Sep 18, 2014 11:44 am Post subject: |
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thanks...
btw, sustaining above 8074, tgt are 8096 / 8119 / 8141
SL now 8032
| vinay28 wrote: | | riteshucha wrote: | | vinay, what if scotland cuts off from EU?? what impact u see on currency then our mkts... i think voting is tonite right? |
ritesh, if Scotland votes for separation, it will affect british pound a lot and perhaps euro and FIIs will be nervous today. But I am still sticking to my 8235/65 for expiry. first sign will be close above 8055/66 today and then 8133. |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #254 Posted: Thu Sep 18, 2014 1:12 pm Post subject: |
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| kya jaadoo tona kiya vinay |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #255 Posted: Thu Sep 18, 2014 1:19 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | for those who are interested, here are different levels/SLs by diff methods, most of which are not mine. .....................
For those who are long
week (Friday) must close at least above 8030NS and preferably above 8111NS.
by another method, daily close above 8133NS is needed. |
gentle reminder of yesterday's post. |
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