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Nifty View
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Author Nifty View
apka
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #4111   PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2012 12:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

psalm wrote:
The area between 5140-5110 is a good support, I feel, Apka.....When I say good support, I'm expecting it to hold for the day or two...or even till expiry.....below 5110, major support for me is around 5070....anyway, the outlook for the market is pretty weak....but since we're in the expiry weak, I expect range-bound moves from here onwards.... I expect bigger and decisive move on the downside by friday or in the next week...anyway, let's see...Rolling Eyes


ok.

This week US will also see many results big big companies like aol, microsoft, dow chemicals, etc. etc. so cannot depend on dow for this weeks trade.
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psalm
Black Belt
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Joined: 12 Nov 2011
Posts: 5368

Post: #4112   PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2012 12:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
psalm wrote:
The area between 5140-5110 is a good support, I feel, Apka.....When I say good support, I'm expecting it to hold for the day or two...or even till expiry.....below 5110, major support for me is around 5070....anyway, the outlook for the market is pretty weak....but since we're in the expiry weak, I expect range-bound moves from here onwards.... I expect bigger and decisive move on the downside by friday or in the next week...anyway, let's see...Rolling Eyes


ok.

This week US will also see many results big big companies like aol, microsoft, dow chemicals, etc. etc. so cannot depend on dow for this weeks trade.


There is every chance of the U.S market going up, because of the presidential election....So, U.S markets may not give much clues from here onwards, I feel.....The election is scheduled to be held in November....October, November are good time to start investing in stock markets....So, there is good chance that our markets may go up at that time.....I mean in October - November time....and then that good run might go upto February or March.....till the time of budget..when a lot of policy changes would happen....anyway, let's see...
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apka
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Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #4113   PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2012 1:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

LT result: expected EBDIT lower than expectation, but profit, sales, order more than expectation.
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psalm
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Joined: 12 Nov 2011
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Post: #4114   PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2012 1:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
LT result: expected EBDIT lower than expectation, but profit, sales, order more than expectation.


not a bad result...else, it would have reacted on the downside considering the overall market sentiments......So, the stock may move on the upside for a while before going down again, I guess....but not sure.... Smile
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psalm
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Joined: 12 Nov 2011
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Post: #4115   PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2012 1:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

psalm wrote:
apka wrote:
LT result: expected EBDIT lower than expectation, but profit, sales, order more than expectation.


not a bad result...else, it would have reacted on the downside considering the overall market sentiments......So, the stock may move on the upside for a while before going down again, I guess....but not sure.... Smile


A CLOSING below 1360 may be bad for the stock....
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apka
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Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #4116   PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2012 1:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

psalm wrote:
psalm wrote:
apka wrote:
LT result: expected EBDIT lower than expectation, but profit, sales, order more than expectation.


not a bad result...else, it would have reacted on the downside considering the overall market sentiments......So, the stock may move on the upside for a while before going down again, I guess....but not sure.... Smile


A CLOSING below 1360 may be bad for the stock....


looking like will goto 1320s
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psalm
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Joined: 12 Nov 2011
Posts: 5368

Post: #4117   PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2012 2:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
psalm wrote:
psalm wrote:
apka wrote:
LT result: expected EBDIT lower than expectation, but profit, sales, order more than expectation.


not a bad result...else, it would have reacted on the downside considering the overall market sentiments......So, the stock may move on the upside for a while before going down again, I guess....but not sure.... Smile


A CLOSING below 1360 may be bad for the stock....


looking like will goto 1320s


hmn...by the way, if it starts going down, then i have much lower levels for that....so, let's wait and watch... Smile
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psalm
Black Belt
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Joined: 12 Nov 2011
Posts: 5368

Post: #4118   PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2012 2:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

psalm wrote:
apka wrote:
psalm wrote:
psalm wrote:
apka wrote:
LT result: expected EBDIT lower than expectation, but profit, sales, order more than expectation.


not a bad result...else, it would have reacted on the downside considering the overall market sentiments......So, the stock may move on the upside for a while before going down again, I guess....but not sure.... Smile


A CLOSING below 1360 may be bad for the stock....


looking like will goto 1320s


hmn...by the way, if it starts going down, then i have much lower levels for that....so, let's wait and watch... Smile


L&T is behaving very similar to its previous result days.....I mean going UP after the results... Very Happy ...let's see if it will be able to test 1410-1420 area in a day or two... Smile
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sachin79
White Belt
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Joined: 07 May 2011
Posts: 55

Post: #4119   PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2012 2:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

nifty heading for a expiry between 4950-5000..
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psalm
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Joined: 12 Nov 2011
Posts: 5368

Post: #4120   PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2012 2:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

sachin79 wrote:
nifty heading for a expiry between 4950-5000..


That means another 150 point on the downside, rit?...its quite possible...but my assumption is that we might expire around 5100 or 5200...anyway, let's see... Very Happy
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psalm
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Joined: 12 Nov 2011
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Post: #4121   PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2012 2:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

psalm wrote:
sachin79 wrote:
nifty heading for a expiry between 4950-5000..


That means another 150 point on the downside, rit?...its quite possible...but my assumption is that we might expire around 5100 or 5200...anyway, let's see... Very Happy


if somebody can take a 10 point risk, Nifty can be bought now....with a stoploss below 5110, or so...I guess....risk is pretty less....current rate is around 5121.....anyway, just a quick trade... Smile
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sachin79
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Joined: 07 May 2011
Posts: 55

Post: #4122   PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2012 2:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

sam..since jan-2012..i am working on d assumption that 2012 will be a mirror image of 2011.. n its working fine til nw..the current downmove is the mirror image of june 2011 expiry during which nifty moved roughly from 5200 to 5600..yes 1 month lag is there and that is coz the budget this year was delayed..
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SP50
Brown Belt
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Joined: 26 Nov 2010
Posts: 1615

Post: #4123   PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2012 2:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

sachin79 wrote:
sam..since jan-2012..i am working on d assumption that 2012 will be a mirror image of 2011.. n its working fine til nw..the current downmove is the mirror image of june 2011 expiry during which nifty moved roughly from 5200 to 5600..yes 1 month lag is there and that is coz the budget this year was delayed..


Please give some reasoning behind your assumptions, this will be very hard on us if you just keep telling us that nifty is heading for 4950 without any insight.

Regards,
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psalm
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Joined: 12 Nov 2011
Posts: 5368

Post: #4124   PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2012 3:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

sachin79 wrote:
sam..since jan-2012..i am working on d assumption that 2012 will be a mirror image of 2011.. n its working fine til nw..the current downmove is the mirror image of june 2011 expiry during which nifty moved roughly from 5200 to 5600..yes 1 month lag is there and that is coz the budget this year was delayed..


interesting....but how are you correlating the performance with respect to other months???....do they match???
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sachin79
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Joined: 07 May 2011
Posts: 55

Post: #4125   PostPosted: Mon Jul 23, 2012 3:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

i wil post the nifty daily chart today evening ..n with reasoning..
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