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Nifty View
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Author Nifty View
psalm
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Joined: 12 Nov 2011
Posts: 5368

Post: #61   PostPosted: Wed Dec 28, 2011 12:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

We all should smile at the end, I feel. I mean we should all make profits out of our investments or trades. Looking at the Overall market, I feel that the market is more prone to another sell off, rather than buying. At the same, i'm a bit confused too....i mean thinkin abt the year end NAVs and Fund managers.... Rolling Eyes
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #62   PostPosted: Wed Dec 28, 2011 12:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

You know psalm, good traders will make money either way. But a good market is an indicatorof a healthy economy. So in the long run, if the market goes up, it will indicate that we doing well.

For that matter, I have also calculated a worst case value of nifty of 2894. That's horrible.
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psalm
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Post: #63   PostPosted: Wed Dec 28, 2011 12:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I agree with you. In my view, 2950 should hold. cool
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vinay28
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Post: #64   PostPosted: Wed Dec 28, 2011 12:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hopefully, we don't go much below 4690 today
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psalm
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Post: #65   PostPosted: Wed Dec 28, 2011 12:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

4680-4660 (spot levels) is the area i'm watching today, for the support. If the market goes below 4660, I'll change my stop-loss to 4710.
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psalm
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Post: #66   PostPosted: Wed Dec 28, 2011 2:30 pm    Post subject: Nifty Outlook Reply with quote

I'm modifying the Stop-Loss of my Short positions to 4760(spot) now. I thought of placing it around 4731 levels at first, but decided against it. However, I will be changing it to 4715 if nifty makes a new Low today. The market will get weaker and weaker as long as it trades below 4710. At the same time, if it closes above 4740, then an up-move cannot be ruled out in the next 2 days. But I strongly believe that this market is going to see lower levels in the days to come.
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vinay28
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Post: #67   PostPosted: Wed Dec 28, 2011 2:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Careful. There is an accumulation going on in 4700 call option
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psalm
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Post: #68   PostPosted: Wed Dec 28, 2011 2:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yes, I'll be careful. I have my Stop-Loss at 4761 now. Smile. Also, I'm watching 4731. It will offer some resistance now, I believe.
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vinay28
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Post: #69   PostPosted: Wed Dec 28, 2011 2:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

within 10 min, change in 4700 call increased from -38% to -23%
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satishkadam
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Joined: 01 Apr 2010
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Post: #70   PostPosted: Wed Dec 28, 2011 2:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
within 10 min, change in 4700 call increased from -38% to -23%


Looks like it will go up a little.. and after expiry it will go down.....

As most of big heavy weights are in SELL...FOR SURE....

to be on the SELL side... is safer then on the BUY SIDE
Rolling Eyes Arrow
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psalm
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Post: #71   PostPosted: Wed Dec 28, 2011 3:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

4731 was held as expected. So, I'm changing my Stop-loss to 4731 now. The last move was just a trap, I guess. By the way, I am seeing a lot of unwinding in the Nifty PUTs than in the CALLs.
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vinay28
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Post: #72   PostPosted: Wed Dec 28, 2011 3:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

true. There is a short unwind in 4400, 4700 and 4800 puts and long unwind in 4500 and 4600 puts. But now 4600 to 4800 calls are having short buildup. Very volatile, also could be because of expiry tmrw
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psalm
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Post: #73   PostPosted: Wed Dec 28, 2011 3:32 pm    Post subject: Expiry Reply with quote

Looks like it will be an interesting Expiry tomorrow. I'm expecting the volatile moves on Friday too. Let's see how the market pans out tomorrow. Rolling Eyes
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psalm
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Post: #74   PostPosted: Thu Dec 29, 2011 9:43 am    Post subject: Market Outlook Reply with quote

I'm maintaining my negative View about nifty. I expect the market to go down to 4600 levels today. I'm having a Stop-loss of 4731 for the positions I'm carrying from yesterday. I expect the levels 4665 and 4625 to provide some supports to the market. I'll change the Stop-loss to 4711, if the market goes below 4665 (all the levels mentioned are spot prices). Most of the market people are expecting a close around 4700 for this expiry. But my personal view is that the levels for this expiry could be lower. Let's see how the market pans out today. Happy Trades!!!!!
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vinay28
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Post: #75   PostPosted: Thu Dec 29, 2011 9:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

You can even keep SL slightly below 4700 now
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