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OPEN INTEREST IN NIFTY OPTIONS |
yashrahul Yellow Belt
Joined: 29 Jun 2013 Posts: 512
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Post: #436 Posted: Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:19 pm Post subject: |
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yashrahul wrote: | yashrahul wrote: | yashrahul wrote: | yashrahul wrote: | yashrahul wrote: | yashrahul wrote: | yashrahul wrote: | Note:Market has started with a gap down...6500 put writers have still not started unwinding but initial hints of 6500 call being written.. |
6500 put writers are not ready to give up and initial hints of 6500 call being written has started fading...Nifty levels of 6500 should be maintained hence IT shares witnessing buying for Nifty management |
This market is in no mood to come down...6500 put has added more than 6 lakhs in oi ...if a very huge and rapid fall with very high volumes doesn't take place today the the markets are going to remain above 6500 or are going up atleast for today...options data suggests so at 12.18...i might be wrong |
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options data is suggesting that the markets are not going down...but the Asian markets are in a very bad shape...6600 call is being written..all we need is a huge fall in minutes with very high volumes which will make 6500 put writers nervous till that doesn't happen(don't know whether it will happen today) we have to wait.. |
6500 call is being written but 6500 put is not cutting oi |
6500 call is being written and at last 6500 put writers have started unwinding... 6500 put has cut oi of more than 2 lakhs at 2.55 pm ...markets are opening on the down side...still a long way to go but atleast the so called smart guys that is 6500 put writers have started to surrender...wait for EOD data as 6500 will not be given up so easily but the best part is 6500 call has started seeing writing.... |
6500 put is consistently cutting oi and 6500 call is adding oi...tomorrow seems to be a negative day...i might be wrong but options data suggests that 6550NS will not be crossed this series at least... |
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yashrahul Yellow Belt
Joined: 29 Jun 2013 Posts: 512
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Post: #437 Posted: Thu Mar 20, 2014 8:13 pm Post subject: |
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Note:At last 6500 put writers have started to unwind their positions....the best part is 6500 has started seeing call writing...6550 is acting now as a resistance and for more than one instance the nifty has not been able to cross that level...hence if shorts have been initiated one can remain short with a stop loss of 6550 NS on a closing basis... |
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yashrahul Yellow Belt
Joined: 29 Jun 2013 Posts: 512
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Post: #438 Posted: Sun Mar 23, 2014 5:00 pm Post subject: |
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Note:Tussle going on between bulls and bears at 6500 levels...nothing much to mention except that either the bulls or the bears will have to back up in the coming 2 o 3 days..till that happens we have to wait...best luck |
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basu_6892 White Belt
Joined: 04 Apr 2007 Posts: 9
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Post: #439 Posted: Sun Mar 23, 2014 8:19 pm Post subject: The April, 2014 seriest with S.P. 6800-CE. |
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In April series, you may find Strike Price 6800 is witten, and not only that a total OI is recorded to 956,800. Another interesting point is that on 21-Mar addition to 6800-CE stands to (+) 36,000. The Implied Volatility is giving higher vale to 6800-CE which reads as 14.60 (on 21-Mar). Moreover the Moneyflow Index shows higher inflow...FII s are in a mood to pump in more Dollars...RBI will review its monetary policy but will release its view on 1-Aprl. In view of above scenario, how you are thinking...? |
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basu_6892 White Belt
Joined: 04 Apr 2007 Posts: 9
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Post: #440 Posted: Sun Mar 23, 2014 8:19 pm Post subject: The April, 2014 seriest with S.P. 6800-CE. |
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In April series, you may find Strike Price 6800 is witten, and not only that a total OI is recorded to 956,800. Another interesting point is that on 21-Mar addition to 6800-CE stands to (+) 36,000. The Implied Volatility is giving higher vale to 6800-CE which reads as 14.60 (on 21-Mar). Moreover the Moneyflow Index shows higher inflow...FII s are in a mood to pump in more Dollars...RBI will review its monetary policy but will release its view on 1-Aprl. In view of above scenario, how you are thinking...? |
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yashrahul Yellow Belt
Joined: 29 Jun 2013 Posts: 512
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Post: #441 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 9:47 am Post subject: |
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Note:6600 put has been written very heavily and 6500 has become a base....this market is going up in a hurry...be careful before shorting and wait for clear short signals to go short...i might be wrong |
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yashrahul Yellow Belt
Joined: 29 Jun 2013 Posts: 512
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Post: #442 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 10:49 am Post subject: Re: The April, 2014 seriest with S.P. 6800-CE. |
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basu_6892 wrote: | In April series, you may find Strike Price 6800 is witten, and not only that a total OI is recorded to 956,800. Another interesting point is that on 21-Mar addition to 6800-CE stands to (+) 36,000. The Implied Volatility is giving higher vale to 6800-CE which reads as 14.60 (on 21-Mar). Moreover the Moneyflow Index shows higher inflow...FII s are in a mood to pump in more Dollars...RBI will review its monetary policy but will release its view on 1-Aprl. In view of above scenario, how you are thinking...? |
The calls/puts of april have not added much oi...wait for sometime for the clear picture to emerge ..in my view if one is looking at options data only and nothing else then there should be at least addition of more than 40 lakhs in oi at that particular strike..then follow it on a daily basis and then confirm that such a call/put is written or not.... |
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yashrahul Yellow Belt
Joined: 29 Jun 2013 Posts: 512
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Post: #443 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 10:58 am Post subject: |
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yashrahul wrote: | Note:6600 put has been written very heavily and 6500 has become a base....this market is going up in a hurry...be careful before shorting and wait for clear short signals to go short...i might be wrong |
Bulls are writing the 6600 put in very huge quantities..it has already added more than 23 lakhs in oi since morning and with every 10 minutes or so 1 lakh oi is getting added...such huge writing in itm put so close to expiry is rarely seen... a close above 6550NS is looking like a likely scenario as of now....we have to wait till today's close to confirm as this addition of oi is intraday and not EOD as of now...but it seems we may close above 6550 NS if this 6600 put writers continue to write 6600 put... |
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growrich White Belt
Joined: 16 Aug 2013 Posts: 12
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Post: #444 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 11:26 am Post subject: |
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yash price without moving abv 6600 writing is dangerous ,it could also mean other way round of 6600 put buying. will know by the eod close |
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yashrahul Yellow Belt
Joined: 29 Jun 2013 Posts: 512
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Post: #445 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 2:34 pm Post subject: |
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yashrahul wrote: | yashrahul wrote: | Note:6600 put has been written very heavily and 6500 has become a base....this market is going up in a hurry...be careful before shorting and wait for clear short signals to go short...i might be wrong |
Bulls are writing the 6600 put in very huge quantities..it has already added more than 23 lakhs in oi since morning and with every 10 minutes or so 1 lakh oi is getting added...such huge writing in itm put so close to expiry is rarely seen... a close above 6550NS is looking like a likely scenario as of now....we have to wait till today's close to confirm as this addition of oi is intraday and not EOD as of now...but it seems we may close above 6550 NS if this 6600 put writers continue to write 6600 put... |
AT 2.24 pm the 6600 put is showing an addition of 37 lakhs in oi and interestingly 6650 call has added oi of 10 lakhs with rise in premium which clearly indicates buying of 6650 call...with three days or so left for expiry the bulls want to make party and close the series on a high note...lets wait for the EOD figures to confirm whether such a high oi remains in 6600 put at the end of the day...as always....i have to mention that i might be wrong....take care |
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yashrahul Yellow Belt
Joined: 29 Jun 2013 Posts: 512
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Post: #446 Posted: Mon Mar 24, 2014 6:16 pm Post subject: |
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Note:6600 put has added more than 32 lakhs in oi...as mentioned in the notes in the afternoon..a close above 65550NS and huge oi addition in 6600 put was on the cards...markets don't seem like coming down in a hurry soon...especially nearby itm puts are very cheap in april series thereby indicating that next month also doesn't seem like much of a down month...this month the series looks like closing at or above 6500 as of now...we will know in the coming 2 or 3 days whether 6600 adds oi which is very high to render it as the likely closing for this series..but for that we have to wait for for 1 or 2 days...best luck |
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yashrahul Yellow Belt
Joined: 29 Jun 2013 Posts: 512
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Post: #447 Posted: Tue Mar 25, 2014 9:56 am Post subject: |
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Yesterday 6600 put was adding oi and now 6600 call is adding oi..not as high as what 6600 put was adding yesterday but worth a mention...in my view ..chances are markets will remain sideways for today till either 6600 call writers or 6600 put writers start unwinding...lets see |
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yashrahul Yellow Belt
Joined: 29 Jun 2013 Posts: 512
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Post: #448 Posted: Thu Mar 27, 2014 5:53 pm Post subject: |
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Note:start of April series...as mentioned earlier nearby itm puts are also trading cheap hence much downside not expected in the coming April series as per my view...we have already run so much that 5-8% correction cannot be called much of a downside...for much of a downside it should be atleast 10% or above..isn't it.. |
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yoginishreyas White Belt
Joined: 03 Dec 2012 Posts: 80
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Post: #449 Posted: Thu Mar 27, 2014 9:33 pm Post subject: |
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Dear Yash
5 to 6 % which means 250 to 300 points correction is really good much of downside for traders......I really hope that this time u should not be wrong
Best luck
Thanks
Shreyas |
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yashrahul Yellow Belt
Joined: 29 Jun 2013 Posts: 512
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Post: #450 Posted: Fri Mar 28, 2014 9:29 am Post subject: |
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yoginishreyas wrote: | Dear Yash
5 to 6 % which means 250 to 300 points correction is really good much of downside for traders......I really hope that this time u should not be wrong
Best luck
Thanks
Shreyas |
If you remember correctly,last time i had replied to you that whenever the market hits a lifetime new high..it generally rises 5 - 10% above it...no need to short till you get very clear indications or if you are a short term trader follow a certain tf and indicators of your choice and keep on going short and cut the shorts no sooner the tf and the indicators you trust shows you to do that..is my view...i myself am not short nor long as this market is biased till election results towards the bulls..once the may series is over then we will start getting the real picture. |
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