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OPEN INTEREST IN NIFTY OPTIONS
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Author OPEN INTEREST IN NIFTY OPTIONS
yashrahul
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Joined: 29 Jun 2013
Posts: 512

Post: #541   PostPosted: Sat Aug 09, 2014 10:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

markets have become very volatile but the important point to note is that the nifty base has not shifted much neither the nifty ceiling,it still remains the same 7450-7500 is the nifty base and 7850-7900 is still the ceiling,some huge additions in oi is seen in 7600,7700 and 7800 call indicating a bearish bias but for bears to become strong 7500 put writers have to cover their shorts which is not the case and even though the markets closed near 7550 not much of the put writers covered their shorts thereby indicating a up move was on the anvil,for the markets to go down further 7500 put writers have to cover their puts..we are very close to the lowest point of the range comparatively...lets see whether the likely bounce sustains or 7450-7500 gives way in the next week....we have to wait and watch but the broad range continues till one side breaks or August series ends...best luck Smile
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yoginishreyas
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Joined: 03 Dec 2012
Posts: 80

Post: #542   PostPosted: Sun Aug 10, 2014 10:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I also admit one thing that even after huge to gap down Max OI of PUT did not shifted to 7300, it might be due to run away gap did not filled at all from the start of the market. i was expecting nifty to go atleast up to 7610 - 7630 and then fresh bound of selling will come on friday but index did not even try to filled the gap.

I think monday will open with gap and and then again fresh selling will come which will go below 7550. This gap up on monday may seen as writers covering their position for 7500 and taking fresh position in 7300P.

Lets see, Nifty always give surprices. It may also go above 7630 to give Longs singal.

Shreyas



yashrahul wrote:
markets have become very volatile but the important point to note is that the nifty base has not shifted much neither the nifty ceiling,it still remains the same 7450-7500 is the nifty base and 7850-7900 is still the ceiling,some huge additions in oi is seen in 7600,7700 and 7800 call indicating a bearish bias but for bears to become strong 7500 put writers have to cover their shorts which is not the case and even though the markets closed near 7550 not much of the put writers covered their shorts thereby indicating a up move was on the anvil,for the markets to go down further 7500 put writers have to cover their puts..we are very close to the lowest point of the range comparatively...lets see whether the likely bounce sustains or 7450-7500 gives way in the next week....we have to wait and watch but the broad range continues till one side breaks or August series ends...best luck Smile
AEOM AEOM
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welgro
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Joined: 24 Sep 2012
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Post: #543   PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2014 8:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

7600 PE ~ OI is 4736250 (Rank:3)

7300 PE ~ OI is 5164600 (Rank:2)

Dif : 428350

Today we need to watch both strikes OI change in closing basis(For positional trend).

If 7600 PE OI overtake the 7300 PE,As per my guess Nifty cannot break the last Friday low (7540) in this Aug expiry.
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yoginishreyas
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Joined: 03 Dec 2012
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Post: #544   PostPosted: Mon Aug 11, 2014 10:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gap filled, Now I am waiting for Nifty to go below 7600. Still markets are unpredictable. Now future event for rest of the day depends upon European markets. artist
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welgro
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Joined: 24 Sep 2012
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Post: #545   PostPosted: Tue Aug 12, 2014 3:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

welgro wrote:
7600 PE ~ OI is 4736250 (Rank:3)

7300 PE ~ OI is 5164600 (Rank:2)

Dif : 428350

Today we need to watch both strikes OI change in closing basis(For positional trend).

If 7600 PE OI overtake the 7300 PE,As per my guess Nifty cannot break the last Friday low (7540) in this Aug expiry.





Finally Max OI in PE shifted to 7600
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yashrahul
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Joined: 29 Jun 2013
Posts: 512

Post: #546   PostPosted: Tue Aug 12, 2014 3:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

welgro wrote:
welgro wrote:
7600 PE ~ OI is 4736250 (Rank:3)

7300 PE ~ OI is 5164600 (Rank:2)

Dif : 428350

Today we need to watch both strikes OI change in closing basis(For positional trend).

If 7600 PE OI overtake the 7300 PE,As per my guess Nifty cannot break the last Friday low (7540) in this Aug expiry.





Finally Max OI in PE shifted to 7600


Hello Welgro,

Ur Welgro corner is the best place to put all Ur charts and u are doing an amazing job,please don't post Ur charts here,my thread is a simple options oi explanation thread..please keep it simple,thankyou.


Smile
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yashrahul
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Joined: 29 Jun 2013
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Post: #547   PostPosted: Tue Aug 12, 2014 4:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Note:today's intraday options data seems like a bull's dream and a bear's nightmare ,now a days it hardly takes any time for the options data to change rapidly,so can't say what will happen tomorrow,nifty has maintained its base now it is trying to pierce its ceiling of 7850-7900,it is hardly possible it seemed on friday but in 2 days the markets have recovered most of its losses and are again trying to move ahead,be careful,best luck angel
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yashrahul
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Joined: 29 Jun 2013
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Post: #548   PostPosted: Thu Aug 14, 2014 11:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

7800 put has already added close to 10 lakhs in oi,too early to judge but it seems the bulls have become too overconfident and expecting a major rally today or in the coming days...lets see...or will it be the opposite..we will know soon 24
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yashrahul
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Post: #549   PostPosted: Thu Aug 14, 2014 2:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

7800 put has now reached to about 18 lakhs in oi....bulls are marching ahead...today's weekly close will be in favor of bulls...it seems so...last half hour to go...
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yashrahul
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Post: #550   PostPosted: Mon Sep 01, 2014 10:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

HAPPY GANESH CHATURTHI TO ALL
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yashrahul
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Post: #551   PostPosted: Mon Sep 01, 2014 10:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

start of a new series and early indications are 8000 put is being written...wait for the EOD to confirm from the EOD options data
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yashrahul
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Joined: 29 Jun 2013
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Post: #552   PostPosted: Sun Sep 07, 2014 1:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

since the very first day of the series 8000 put has been written and what amazes me is in the last 5 to 6 years i have never seen puts so cheap,bulls have become fearless it seems and the party shall continue till downward pressure if any takes the market near 7950 and makes the 8000 put writers cover their shorts on puts for this series..till then nifty is stuck in a range for this series in 7950-8250 range as per the options data available till today...best luck angel
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yashrahul
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Post: #553   PostPosted: Wed Sep 10, 2014 10:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Early indications are 8100 put writers are cutting their shorts on puts and 8200 call is being written,markets are opening on the downside,wait for the EOD options data and today's close,best luck
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yashrahul
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Joined: 29 Jun 2013
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Post: #554   PostPosted: Thu Sep 11, 2014 10:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

even though most of the factors are bullish today,options data is pointing towards 8100,8200 calls being written,might be i am totally wrong so wait for the EOD options data.
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yashrahul
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Joined: 29 Jun 2013
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Post: #555   PostPosted: Mon Sep 15, 2014 10:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

put writers who have written puts have started cutting their shorts in 8000,8100 and 8200 puts,at the same time call writing is visible in 8100 and 8200 calls,markets are trying to go down further and upside ceiling level for this series is slowly shifting from 8200 to 8100, wait for the EOD options data.
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