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Overbought-Oversold Intraday Tradins Strategy
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Author Overbought-Oversold Intraday Tradins Strategy
vinst
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 09 Jan 2007
Posts: 3303

Post: #106   PostPosted: Mon Nov 07, 2011 5:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

rk_a2003 wrote:
"I have allowed the trades to run to next day which i feel is improper since by next day new value of DV has come into market and should form its effect. Pls advise if trades to be completed intraday only.I'll continue backtest based on fresh inputs."

You are right vinst . Let us stick to Intraday for intial backtest; carrying forward may not be right as per original strategy.

If possible you may test it for two situations.

1.With a stop loss of 50 points and a target of 30-35 points.
2.As per your proposal....... with a dyanmic SL(based on volatality) which comes around 30-35 points.


However, I expect ANS response in this regard.


RK


test in Jan'11 with 50 pt SL and 35 pt at profit booking tgt.
Net for Jan 2011 is -20 points (brokerage not accounted for).


Feb'11 results given in the picture below:



ANS_ob_os_test_201102.jpg
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ANS_ob_os_test_201102.jpg



ANS_ob_os_test_201101.jpg
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ANS_ob_os_test_201101.jpg


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vinst
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 09 Jan 2007
Posts: 3303

Post: #107   PostPosted: Mon Nov 07, 2011 6:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Oct'11 results given in the picture below: profit 150 pts


ANS_ob_os_test_201110.jpg
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ANS_ob_os_test_201110.jpg


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ANS_KOL
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 16 Jul 2011
Posts: 84

Post: #108   PostPosted: Mon Nov 07, 2011 9:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Good job Vinst, you are outstanding! but kindly give me some time so that I can give you some more criteria to backtest which will increase the profitability , infact I am almost through. get back to you soon.

Trade for 8/11/tue-
sell @ 5393.95 (5390-5395) stoploss @ 5444
buy @ 5239.75 (5235-5240) stoploss @ 5189.
good night friends. wine
Wish all a day of profit ahead.
ANS.
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vinst
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 09 Jan 2007
Posts: 3303

Post: #109   PostPosted: Mon Nov 07, 2011 11:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

rather than profitability, i am more concerned with large number of days when no trade occurs. this implies that DV needs to be scaled better for trades to occur.
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ANS_KOL
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 16 Jul 2011
Posts: 84

Post: #110   PostPosted: Tue Nov 08, 2011 7:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinst wrote:
rather than profitability, i am more concerned with large number of days when no trade occurs. this implies that DV needs to be scaled better for trades to occur.


Dear VINST,
I am also concerned about the less number of trade made by this strategy.But then , though I am not in this trade for many days, still I found it s better to sit by the sideline rather than getting whipsawed or to make your broker, and only your broker rich.For me, patience is the name of the game.
Dear Vinst,If your time permits, can you please backtest the sep, 11 data by this strategy, we all will be grateful.
anyhow, it is evident that no trade triggered today.
trade for tomorrow-

sell@ 5389.95( 5385-5390) stoploss 5439
buy @ 5241.15( 5240-5245) stoploss 5191.
thanks and regards
ANS.
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ridinghood
Yellow Belt
Yellow Belt


Joined: 16 Apr 2009
Posts: 724

Post: #111   PostPosted: Tue Nov 08, 2011 9:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

hi ans
i am in total agreement with u.less no. nd more profitable trades is the biggest virtue of the rare breed of successful traders!
while majority of traders suffer from this addiction of giving away too much by way of brokerages nd losses nd little gains due to too many unnecessary trades!
btw if we use the ob nd os levels to make entries as per the short term trend by following for example 12 ema closing i think profitabilty will be much higher. my opinion only!
regs
ridinghood
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vinst
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 09 Jan 2007
Posts: 3303

Post: #112   PostPosted: Tue Nov 08, 2011 11:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ANS_KOL wrote:
vinst wrote:
rather than profitability, i am more concerned with large number of days when no trade occurs. this implies that DV needs to be scaled better for trades to occur.


Dear VINST,
I am also concerned about the less number of trade made by this strategy.But then , though I am not in this trade for many days, still I found it s better to sit by the sideline rather than getting whipsawed or to make your broker, and only your broker rich.For me, patience is the name of the game.
Dear Vinst,If your time permits, can you please backtest the sep, 11 data by this strategy, we all will be grateful.
anyhow, it is evident that no trade triggered today.
trade for tomorrow-

sell@ 5389.95( 5385-5390) stoploss 5439
buy @ 5241.15( 5240-5245) stoploss 5191.
thanks and regards
ANS.


test results for Sept-2011, profit 65 points per lot (cost not accounted for). 15 trades



ANS_ob_os_test_201109.jpg
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rk_a2003
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 21 Jan 2010
Posts: 2734

Post: #113   PostPosted: Wed Nov 09, 2011 3:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Trade triggered at 5240 in the last 30 minutes.Time is less Chances of meeting the target for today is very less.
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vinay28
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #114   PostPosted: Wed Nov 09, 2011 3:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

RK, why not carry it?
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rk_a2003
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 21 Jan 2010
Posts: 2734

Post: #115   PostPosted: Wed Nov 09, 2011 3:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yes! one can .....depends on risk taking ability.

vinay28 wrote:
RK, why not carry it?
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amitkbaid1008
Yellow Belt
Yellow Belt


Joined: 04 Mar 2009
Posts: 540

Post: #116   PostPosted: Wed Nov 09, 2011 9:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinst wrote:
ANS_KOL wrote:
vinst wrote:
rather than profitability, i am more concerned with large number of days when no trade occurs. this implies that DV needs to be scaled better for trades to occur.


Dear VINST,
I am also concerned about the less number of trade made by this strategy.But then , though I am not in this trade for many days, still I found it s better to sit by the sideline rather than getting whipsawed or to make your broker, and only your broker rich.For me, patience is the name of the game.
Dear Vinst,If your time permits, can you please backtest the sep, 11 data by this strategy, we all will be grateful.
anyhow, it is evident that no trade triggered today.
trade for tomorrow-

sell@ 5389.95( 5385-5390) stoploss 5439
buy @ 5241.15( 5240-5245) stoploss 5191.
thanks and regards
ANS.


test results for Sept-2011, profit 65 points per lot (cost not accounted for). 15 trades


65 points per lot per month in NIFTY is just tooooooooooooooo much
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ANS_KOL
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 16 Jul 2011
Posts: 84

Post: #117   PostPosted: Wed Nov 09, 2011 10:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

No trade triggered for today.
As we are working with other possibilities one may think of holding it for the day, but that is not the strategy, we should not take a trade after 3pm if we are intraday traders.
anyhow, trade for next day-

sell @ 5310.95( 5310-5315) stoploss 5361
buy @ 5163.25( 5160-5165) stoploss 5113
ANS.
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vinay28
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #118   PostPosted: Thu Nov 10, 2011 12:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ANS, what if nifty opens much below 5163?
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sonila
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 04 Jun 2009
Posts: 1786

Post: #119   PostPosted: Thu Nov 10, 2011 5:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Vinay28, in that case, then dont buy, as per the strategy.
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vinst
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 09 Jan 2007
Posts: 3303

Post: #120   PostPosted: Fri Nov 11, 2011 1:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ANS_KOL wrote:
No trade triggered for today.
As we are working with other possibilities one may think of holding it for the day, but that is not the strategy, we should not take a trade after 3pm if we are intraday traders.
anyhow, trade for next day-

sell @ 5310.95( 5310-5315) stoploss 5361
buy @ 5163.25( 5160-5165) stoploss 5113
ANS.


paper trade: bot
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