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SELL NIFTY
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Author SELL NIFTY
shaadoo
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Joined: 22 Jul 2010
Posts: 153

Post: #166   PostPosted: Fri Oct 28, 2011 9:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

BUY LT NOV 1300 PUT @ 13. AND THE GAME OF LT.........


shaadoo wrote:
Hi ridinghood,

LT has already given a sharp fall of 80 pnts after call given, the SL was 1432 & still remains the same in LT futurs..
LT futur may move up to 1380 odd levels, u can go short thr or can buy PUT of 1300 @ cmp on that levels.

Though today MARKET has rallied @ 5211 but we can see dats all because SHORT COVERING & PANIC created in short sellers due to EU meet & 2 days holidays.Friday closing will play a most crucial role in markets direction.
We can see a move of 3-4% in nifty on either side & it may all happen as gap-up or gap-down.

MY VIEW STILL REMAINS THE SAME ON MARKET - BREARISH.


LET C WHT HAPPS ON FRIDAY.

till then "HAPPY DIPAWALI TO ALL READERS"

REGARDS
SHAADOO




ridinghood wrote:
hi shadoo bhai
if we decide to short LT what should be the SL? and what time it would take roughly to get to its first tgt of 1100?
thnx in advance.
regs
ridinghood
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MILANCHN
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Joined: 12 Mar 2009
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Post: #167   PostPosted: Fri Oct 28, 2011 11:15 am    Post subject: LT 1300PE Reply with quote

Shadoo- any updates on LT 1300pe
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acharyams
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Joined: 04 Jul 2010
Posts: 552

Post: #168   PostPosted: Fri Oct 28, 2011 11:26 am    Post subject: Re: LT 1300PE Reply with quote

MILANCHN wrote:
Shadoo- any updates on LT 1300pe

Shadoo- any updates on LT 1300pe
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acharyams
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Joined: 04 Jul 2010
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Post: #169   PostPosted: Fri Oct 28, 2011 1:15 pm    Post subject: Re: LT 1300PE Reply with quote

acharyams wrote:
MILANCHN wrote:
Shadoo- any updates on LT 1300pe

Shadoo- any updates on LT 1300pe

shall one exit?
What is the stop loss?
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shaadoo
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Joined: 22 Jul 2010
Posts: 153

Post: #170   PostPosted: Fri Oct 28, 2011 9:22 pm    Post subject: Re: LT 1300PE Reply with quote

Dear All,

Dont exit from LT 1300 put, though it has fallen as today LT was regularly making new intraday high. but dont panic........

LT will gave a sharp fall again & this put may show a price near 45

shaadoo

acharyams wrote:
acharyams wrote:
MILANCHN wrote:
Shadoo- any updates on LT 1300pe

Shadoo- any updates on LT 1300pe

shall one exit?
What is the stop loss?
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ridinghood
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Joined: 16 Apr 2009
Posts: 724

Post: #171   PostPosted: Sun Oct 30, 2011 2:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

HI SHADOO
thnx for ur update. but guess sl is 1432 in futures as per ur earlier post.pl confirm. sorry for bothering u again.
regs
ridinghood
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zhkzhk
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Joined: 10 Sep 2011
Posts: 40

Post: #172   PostPosted: Mon Oct 31, 2011 3:59 am    Post subject: LT 1300 put Reply with quote

ridinghood wrote:
HI SHADOO
thnx for ur update. but guess sl is 1432 in futures as per ur earlier post.pl confirm. sorry for bothering u again.
regs
ridinghood



In my analysis LT is a short around 1440/1455 price range which is resistance area.. I would not have taken the 1300 put on LT. Because I do not take directional trades, I always let the stock first retrace up or down into the resistance or support areas. I feel to be successful you have to have an edge in the market By edge I mean a trade location which has a better odds of wining.
The initial analysis was correct because LT is in a major downtrend, Lower highs and lower lows, and buying a put is valid, I just feel to have an edge is to buy the put at a resistance area.
No discredit to anyone. If anyone wants to know more let me know. Because I do not want to intrude on someone discussion forum.
This is one mans opinion. There are a lot more out there

zhkzhk
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zhkzhk
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Joined: 10 Sep 2011
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Post: #173   PostPosted: Mon Oct 31, 2011 4:03 am    Post subject: Re: LT 1300 put Reply with quote

zhkzhk wrote:
ridinghood wrote:
HI SHADOO
thnx for ur update. but guess sl is 1432 in futures as per ur earlier post.pl confirm. sorry for bothering u again.
regs
ridinghood



In my analysis LT is a short around 1440/1455 price range which is resistance area.. I would not have taken the 1300 put on LT. Because I do not take directional trades, I always let the stock first retrace up or down into the resistance or support areas. I feel to be successful you have to have an edge in the market By edge I mean a trade location which has a better odds of wining.
The initial analysis was correct because LT is in a major downtrend, Lower highs and lower lows, and buying a put is valid, I just feel to have an edge is to buy the put at a resistance area.
No discredit to anyone. If anyone wants to know more let me know. Because I do not want to intrude on someone discussion forum.
This is one mans opinion. There are a lot more out there

zhkzhk



I forgot to post the chart on LT showing my reasons.



LT.GIF
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I forgot to post the chart on LT showing my reasons.
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LT.GIF


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acharyams
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Joined: 04 Jul 2010
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Post: #174   PostPosted: Tue Nov 01, 2011 8:27 am    Post subject: Re: LT 1300 put Reply with quote

zhkzhk wrote:
zhkzhk wrote:
ridinghood wrote:
HI SHADOO
thnx for ur update. but guess sl is 1432 in futures as per ur earlier post.pl confirm. sorry for bothering u again.
regs
ridinghood



In my analysis LT is a short around 1440/1455 price range which is resistance area.. I would not have taken the 1300 put on LT. Because I do not take directional trades, I always let the stock first retrace up or down into the resistance or support areas. I feel to be successful you have to have an edge in the market By edge I mean a trade location which has a better odds of wining.
The initial analysis was correct because LT is in a major downtrend, Lower highs and lower lows, and buying a put is valid, I just feel to have an edge is to buy the put at a resistance area.
No discredit to anyone. If anyone wants to know more let me know. Because I do not want to intrude on someone discussion forum.
This is one mans opinion. There are a lot more out there

zhkzhk



I forgot to post the chart on LT showing my reasons.

Hi Shadoo,
Is your target of 45 intact in lt 1300 pe?
Pl. reply
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shaadoo
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Joined: 22 Jul 2010
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Post: #175   PostPosted: Tue Nov 01, 2011 10:17 pm    Post subject: Re: LT 1300 put Reply with quote

Yes my target 45 is still thr for LT 1300 PE.
May b it can take second half of November to achieve.


shaadoo

acharyams wrote:
zhkzhk wrote:
zhkzhk wrote:
ridinghood wrote:
HI SHADOO
thnx for ur update. but guess sl is 1432 in futures as per ur earlier post.pl confirm. sorry for bothering u again.
regs
ridinghood



In my analysis LT is a short around 1440/1455 price range which is resistance area.. I would not have taken the 1300 put on LT. Because I do not take directional trades, I always let the stock first retrace up or down into the resistance or support areas. I feel to be successful you have to have an edge in the market By edge I mean a trade location which has a better odds of wining.
The initial analysis was correct because LT is in a major downtrend, Lower highs and lower lows, and buying a put is valid, I just feel to have an edge is to buy the put at a resistance area.
No discredit to anyone. If anyone wants to know more let me know. Because I do not want to intrude on someone discussion forum.
This is one mans opinion. There are a lot more out there

zhkzhk



I forgot to post the chart on LT showing my reasons.

Hi Shadoo,
Is your target of 45 intact in lt 1300 pe?
Pl. reply
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shaadoo
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Joined: 22 Jul 2010
Posts: 153

Post: #176   PostPosted: Tue Nov 01, 2011 10:37 pm    Post subject: NIFTY MOVE TILL YET Reply with quote

Below are few points on nifty move:-
2guns 2guns 2guns 2guns 2guns 2guns 2guns 2guns
1. Nifty made a top of 6350 in November, 2010 (Top 1). Since then it has formed three lower tops (Top 2,
Top 3 & Top 4).

2. Every top was followed by a decline which ended in double bottoms.

3. The rally from each double bottom retraced 78.6% of the respective previous top.

4. The above structure led the price to move in a trend channel, as shown in the chart below.

5. The channel and retracement cluster forms a target of 5540.

6. The possible scenarios are –
A. Channel holds - Downtrend remains undisturbed. Hence expect a downward retracement of upto 61.8% of the possible upswing from 4750 to 5540;
B. Channel breaches on the upside - Trend changes to up. Probable targets come to 5730 & 6000.



REGARDS

SHAADOO



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shekharinvest
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Joined: 21 Dec 2007
Posts: 549

Post: #177   PostPosted: Wed Nov 02, 2011 6:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Shadoo,

Nice work.

If you don't mind, I have added few more line to your chart.

SHEKHAR



NIFTY NOV 2.png
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shaadoo
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Joined: 22 Jul 2010
Posts: 153

Post: #178   PostPosted: Wed Nov 02, 2011 8:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dear Shekhar,

Suggestions are always WELCOME.

My view is dat nifty may test 5520-5540 range & then a new bear rally should starts from there which will act as 5 WAVE OF ELLIOT & end till 3800.

Global scenario are still weak.Though our market is outperforming all weak sentiments but then also we will not going to be untouched from global fire.

A new bear rally has to come till 3800 which will give rise to a new morning in nifty till 10700.


seems tufffffff but i think it has to be.


regards

shaadoo

AEOM AEOM AEOM AEOM AEOM









shekharinvest wrote:
Shadoo,

Nice work.

If you don't mind, I have added few more line to your chart.

SHEKHAR
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anand1234
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Joined: 17 Jul 2010
Posts: 830

Post: #179   PostPosted: Wed Nov 02, 2011 8:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

shaadoo wrote:
Dear Shekhar,

Suggestions are always WELCOME.

My view is dat nifty may test 5520-5540 range & then a new bear rally should starts from there which will act as 5 WAVE OF ELLIOT & end till 3800.

Global scenario are still weak.Though our market is outperforming all weak sentiments but then also we will not going to be untouched from global fire.

A new bear rally has to come till 3800 which will give rise to a new morning in nifty till 10700.


seems tufffffff but i think it has to be.


regards

shaadoo

AEOM AEOM AEOM AEOM AEOM









shekharinvest wrote:
Shadoo,

Nice work.

If you don't mind, I have added few more line to your chart.

SHEKHAR


hi....shadoo

nicely said............good xplanation abt mkt...................but if NF will break 5540 with volume?..........then wt will b ur views?......... that will strat of new bulls era??........

thanks
anand
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shaadoo
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Joined: 22 Jul 2010
Posts: 153

Post: #180   PostPosted: Thu Nov 03, 2011 12:14 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks Anand,

If nifty breaks 5540 then its having a strong resistance zone around 5720-5740 ( which is a cluster fo resistance).

Breaching of 5540 will not be a bull era, on the other hand my expectation is somewhat different.

For bull era :-I think nifty should resist above resistance (5540) and should take support near 5050-5100. This all constitute a downward sloping inverse H&S formation on weekly charts & breaking out of this formation should only a start of newbull era.

Above all are my personal views................... suggestions are welcome

Let c what happpsssssssss


regards
''shaadoo''


anand1234 wrote:
shaadoo wrote:
Dear Shekhar,

Suggestions are always WELCOME.

My view is dat nifty may test 5520-5540 range & then a new bear rally should starts from there which will act as 5 WAVE OF ELLIOT & end till 3800.

Global scenario are still weak.Though our market is outperforming all weak sentiments but then also we will not going to be untouched from global fire.

A new bear rally has to come till 3800 which will give rise to a new morning in nifty till 10700.


seems tufffffff but i think it has to be.


regards

shaadoo

AEOM AEOM AEOM AEOM AEOM









shekharinvest wrote:
Shadoo,

Nice work.

If you don't mind, I have added few more line to your chart.

SHEKHAR


hi....shadoo

nicely said............good xplanation abt mkt...................but if NF will break 5540 with volume?..........then wt will b ur views?......... that will strat of new bulls era??........

thanks
anand
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