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SSPS : NF 15TF-Beginner's Dry Run |
vinst Black Belt
Joined: 09 Jan 2007 Posts: 3303
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Post: #16 Posted: Mon Oct 24, 2011 6:24 pm Post subject: |
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jjm wrote: | vinst wrote: | jjm wrote: | vkisho wrote: | JJM Bhai,
I find that Spec suggested 0.5 ATR for TSL in NIFTY FUT for 15 TF. Kindly advise that is still good enough or we need to have 1.5 ATR as TSL these days. ( I think it will depend on volatility of the scrip ) Please guide us.
Thanks and Regards,
Kishore |
Dear Kishore
Pls go through this
http://www.icharts.in/forum/trade-management-the-speculator-way-t3221,start,10,postorder,desc,highlight,speculator.html
Specji clearly mentioned ISL : 2*ATR
I can not offered a sl of 40 pts ..I hav altered it to 1.5* ATR..if you can offered a ISl of 40 pts then stick to it or else one can have 1.5*ATR
Regards,
JJM |
JJM,
please excuse me if my questions are plain silly.
I am still not clear about taking 2*ATR or 1.5*ATR as trailing SL. my doubts are:
1) over what period ATR should be found (e.g., 14 bar ATR, 10 bar ATR.....)
2) trailing SL to be calculated from the highest high achieved (in a long trade) or some other point?
3) I use NF 30min charts. ATR to be derived from which timeframe? 30min or daily?
regards, |
Dear Vinst,
ATR applied as per default settings ..i.e. 14
TSL comes in to picture when trade reaches in favor of 1:2 R:R
Last bearish rejection trade
Friday Shorted @ 5093 with ISL 1.5*atr that is 21 pts added in high of the bar prior to rejection bar since the swing high was too big for me..
I did not short it at 1st rejn reason being same of big ISL...
He has suggested to trail sl once trade reaches in favor of 1:2 ratio however I book 50% at 1:2 R:R and balance I trail...
Always use ATR for the same TF that you have chosen to trade
Looking at volatility Nf is best to trade in 15 tf... Specji himself uses 15 tf...
My suggestion use same tf instead of 30 min.. why you need bigger tf.....you want to reduce whipsaws??
If one follows all the rules of system...I do not think it will give you any edge using 30 tf ...
CALL IS YOURS...
See the chart attached along with
Also read this discussion betn me and Specji
http://www.icharts.in/forum/swing-trading-the-speculator-way-t2230,postorder,desc,start,150.html
In same thread on page 19 you will find my query along with chart ..do refer same for better understanding of case we have discussed
He has explained neatly on entire trade management
Regards,
JJM |
JJM,
thanks for explanation and charts.
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Arjun20 Yellow Belt
Joined: 23 Jun 2011 Posts: 945
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Post: #17 Posted: Tue Oct 25, 2011 7:18 pm Post subject: |
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Hello Frineds,
Our DSP @5160 was taken out today. So it marked the end of Downswing and start of Upswing.
Our USP is now 5013 (ie.Lowest point after DSP of 5160)....Yet it is to be confirmed by seniors. It's my understanding.
Now,i have a request. If anybody has taken Long? Can pls share his entry ?
Also there's vast diff betn NF oct and Nov figures. Whether we should always look at NF-1M chart always to decide Swing pivots?
rgds
Arjun
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infinity White Belt
Joined: 09 Aug 2010 Posts: 49
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Post: #18 Posted: Tue Oct 25, 2011 10:35 pm Post subject: confirmation |
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Arjun,
Hello, I am not senior; however would like to confirm USP as 5013.30 for 15TF & 30TF.
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Arjun20 Yellow Belt
Joined: 23 Jun 2011 Posts: 945
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Post: #19 Posted: Thu Oct 27, 2011 10:54 am Post subject: Re: confirmation |
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infinity wrote: | Arjun,
Hello, I am not senior; however would like to confirm USP as 5013.30 for 15TF & 30TF. |
Thanks Infinity, last time u helped me to identify correct swing point.
Now will u/ seniors pls tell me, our DSP was broken on Tuesday ie. Settlement day. Whether it was genuine upmove or bull trap, will it sustain ? etc etc....let's keep aside.
Now pls guide me and correct me wherever necessary :
1. We are 'now' in upswing and we will look for Bullish rejections to take Long entry ?
2. Does that mean we will take fresh Short 'only after' breach of 5013.3 ?
rgds
Arjun
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infinity White Belt
Joined: 09 Aug 2010 Posts: 49
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Post: #20 Posted: Thu Oct 27, 2011 2:26 pm Post subject: |
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Arjun,
1. We are 'now' in upswing and we will look for Bullish rejections to take Long entry ? Precisely correct.
2. Does that mean we will take fresh Short 'only after' breach of 5013.3 ?
Only thing which you need to decide is -
a. Whether to enter immediately on breaching USP
OR
b. Whether to enter when you see slight upswing and then rejection from EMA34 downward. This is favorite entry point of Jaibhai.
Regards,
infinity
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Arjun20 Yellow Belt
Joined: 23 Jun 2011 Posts: 945
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Post: #21 Posted: Fri Oct 28, 2011 7:21 pm Post subject: |
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Hello Friends,
Let's revisit the charts Between 25Oct to 28Oct.
On 25OCT, we took out earlier DSP@5160.
That day was action packed day, RBI Policy, October Expiry. In last hour of trade our DSP was broken. I'm just plotting on chart probable entry point if anybody had taken immediate entry on break of DSP.
For rest, we will wait for Bullish rejection to initiate Long.
( Note- as it was last day of Oct series, if we had to initiate Long, we had to take position in NF-2M ie. Nov contract. So i've marked corresponding candles and values on Nov chart.)
Question:
I have one Q regd Initial SL as i get two diff answers at two places in Spec sir's Doc
1.In section Entry and Exit : i got SL as ' Stop loss should be below the reversal candle. If the candle is too big and requires a very big stop loss which does not suit your risk tolerance, don't take the trade.'
2. In Trade & Money Mgmt section : I got
SL= the pivot or 2*ATR as SL, whichever is smaller.
That means there are three Diff :
Low of reversal candle or
2*ATR or
Pivot ?
Rgds
Arjun
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infinity White Belt
Joined: 09 Aug 2010 Posts: 49
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Post: #22 Posted: Fri Oct 28, 2011 10:57 pm Post subject: Stop Loss rules |
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Arjun,
1.In section Entry and Exit : i got SL as ' Stop loss should be below the reversal candle. If the candle is too big and requires a very big stop loss which does not suit your risk tolerance, don't take the trade.'
Spec sir's stop loss management system says -
Quote
Stop loss management
The size of stop loss is always dictated by the volatility in the market. In a high volatile market, increase the stop loss size and reduce the position size. In low volatile markets, decrease the stop loss size and increase the position size.
Unquote
2. In Trade & Money Mgmt section : I got
SL= the pivot or 2*ATR as SL, whichever is smaller.
Spec sir mentions few lines later to this statement as -
Quote
Again Stop loss is a guideline, not a rule, unlike trade entry. So one may devise his own SL guideline according to his comfort.
Unquote
Please note that stop loss for any trading system is to be decided by the trader and not by hard & fast rule. It has to be in line with risk apatite one has. So it only can give guideline and should not be treated as rule.
Answer to your question is stop loss can be any out of three mentioned by you; of your choice.
Regards,
infinity
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prafullkathe White Belt
Joined: 12 Apr 2009 Posts: 15
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Post: #23 Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2011 12:47 pm Post subject: |
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now on 4 oct nifty break dsp(5300) up side but it comes down again below 5300 level and close the day near about same level(5283) also below 34ema-15tf now how to trde such sitution
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Arjun20 Yellow Belt
Joined: 23 Jun 2011 Posts: 945
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Post: #24 Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2011 7:18 pm Post subject: |
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prafullkathe wrote: | now on 4 oct nifty break dsp(5300) up side but it comes down again below 5300 level and close the day near about same level(5283) also below 34ema-15tf now how to trde such sitution |
Hello Prafull , Sorry i could not understand what you are saying. ( I fear there's typo----4Oct). It will be nice if u can post the chart.
As far as i'm able to understand we are in Upswing with 15TF USP @5013.3
We will look for bullish rejections to take Long entry.
Trend will be confirmed as DOWN when we break the 'USP' . I repeat...'USP'...(It's NOT necessary that 5013.3 will remain as permanent USP. If we get a new recovery high ie. if we are able to breach 5402 (28Oct 14.00), then we will get NEW USP.)
If anybody has to go short only after taking out Swing Pivot, then he will have to wait for breach of USP,which is far enough from current levels.
BUT BUT BUT.....IF we see the chart , there were possible entries for both trades long as well as short.And apparently Short entries also gave significant moves of 50/60points
SENIORS, PLS GUIDE AS WHICH DIRECTION TRADES TO BE TAKEN AT SUCH TIMES ?
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sandew White Belt
Joined: 02 Feb 2009 Posts: 174
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Post: #25 Posted: Sun Nov 06, 2011 1:56 pm Post subject: Spec |
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On 15 M TF the trade is very clear.
The trend is now UP with USP at 5220 ( when it breached past 5338 once), (though now retraced lower)
Take long trades as long as you dont cut below 5220 as of now on your 15M chart.
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jjm White Belt
Joined: 17 Mar 2010 Posts: 411
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Post: #26 Posted: Sun Nov 06, 2011 2:16 pm Post subject: |
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[quote="Arjun20"] prafullkathe wrote: | now on 4 oct nifty break dsp(5300) up side but it comes down again below 5300 level and close the day near about same level(5283) also below 34ema-15tf now how to trde such sitution |
Hello Prafull , Sorry i could not understand what you are saying. ( I fear there's typo----4Oct). It will be nice if u can post the chart.
As far as i'm able to understand we are in Upswing with 15TF USP @5013.3
We will look for bullish rejections to take Long entry.
Trend will be confirmed as DOWN when we break the 'USP' . I repeat...'USP'...(It's NOT necessary that 5013.3 will remain as permanent USP. If we get a new recovery high ie. if we are able to breach 5402 (28Oct 14.00), then we will get NEW USP.)
If anybody has to go short only after taking out Swing Pivot, then he will have to wait for breach of USP,which is far enough from current levels.
BUT BUT BUT.....IF we see the chart , there were possible entries for both trades long as well as short.And apparently Short entries also gave significant moves of 50/60points
SENIORS, PLS GUIDE AS WHICH DIRECTION TRADES TO BE TAKEN AT SUCH TIMES ?[/quote
Hi!
When ever we are in such situations always check the trend in lower tf than the tf you are viewing for initiating trade..
Once I had a discussion with Speji..
His word of Wisdom : If the lower TF i.e 5Tf ( As we use 15 tf for trade initiation ) is not synchronized then
1. One can take contra trades...( in this case I traded bearish rejections..)
2. Or simply wait for the smaller tf be in the direction of trend..( once it broke USP..then only 15 tf bullish rejection was trades @ 5271...
Though this is yet to be added in SSPS rules...He has suggested that sooner he will add this as a guideline...
For your academic interest just check the trades we took on 5 tf bearish rejection..
Regards,
JJM
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Arjun20 Yellow Belt
Joined: 23 Jun 2011 Posts: 945
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Post: #27 Posted: Sun Nov 06, 2011 5:19 pm Post subject: |
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jjm wrote: |
Hi!
When ever we are in such situations always check the trend in lower tf than the tf you are viewing for initiating trade..
Once I had a discussion with Speji..
His word of Wisdom :
If the lower TF i.e 5Tf ( As we use 15 tf for trade initiation ) is not synchronized then
1. One can take contra trades...( in this case I traded bearish rejections..)
2. Or simply wait for the smaller tf be in the direction of trend..( once it broke USP..then only 15 tf bullish rejection was trades @ 5271...
Though this is yet to be added in SSPS rules...He has suggested that sooner he will add this as a guideline...
For your academic interest just check the trades we took on 5 tf bearish rejection..
Regards,
JJM |
Thanks JJM Sir....for SSPS as well as WW
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Arjun20 Yellow Belt
Joined: 23 Jun 2011 Posts: 945
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Post: #28 Posted: Sun Nov 06, 2011 5:20 pm Post subject: Re: Spec |
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sandew wrote: | On 15 M TF the trade is very clear.
The trend is now UP with USP at 5220 ( when it breached past 5338 once), (though now retraced lower)
Take long trades as long as you dont cut below 5220 as of now on your 15M chart. |
Sandew bhai, Sorry.......But i'm unable to understand 15TF-USP=5220.
Can u pls mark it on chart and share.
rgds
Arjun
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sangi White Belt
Joined: 19 Jan 2008 Posts: 69
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Post: #29 Posted: Wed Nov 30, 2011 5:33 pm Post subject: 15tf nifty pivot |
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jjmji,
the usp till 4630 is understood. but as per my understanding we get a new usp after 4630 if
1. we get a valid rejn 2. a high abv the recent swing high after the rejection.
In this case we got a valid rejection today.
on a break of 4828 which is the recent swing high now the pvt is todays low.
This is wht I understood from the thread. Now my qn is how can u pt out that yst day high as new recovery high without a valid rejn.
I hv pasted spec sir stment from pivot identification:
" When a rejection in an uptrend leads to new recovery highs, the lowest low preceding the rejection becomes the new USP. A much simpler way of identfying the same is to find the lowest point between the prior highs and the new recovery highs. "
He says when "a rejection leads to new recovery highs"
Pls. clarify my doubt ji. I thought i clearly understood ssps. but after seeing ur pvt in SB got confused.
Regds,
Sangi
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sangi White Belt
Joined: 19 Jan 2008 Posts: 69
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Post: #30 Posted: Wed Nov 30, 2011 5:38 pm Post subject: |
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seniors/specji/jjmji/jai2000ji,
pl. help me in the query.
Regds,
Sangi
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