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Stocks Positional Calls |
harshkapoor3 White Belt
Joined: 19 Feb 2009 Posts: 33
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Post: #136 Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 2:55 pm Post subject: |
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I am not able to identify centuary enka, price pattern , pls let me, what i can see only a price channel.
other point is that in basf, the sl should be , as per ur pdf, 2-3 point below the median of last candle, median of last candle is 440 so the sl should be 437, and not 428, pls comment? |
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kripalsinh8888 White Belt
Joined: 02 Sep 2009 Posts: 13
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Post: #137 Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 3:02 pm Post subject: DO NOT FORGET |
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HEY , FRIENDZ
Here I have a very nice pick for u all........USHER AGRO [532765] .
Particulars :
The Stock was in a Consolidation Phase Since more than 11 months........
It has made a rounding bottom..........as per my observation.........this pattern has the most potential to rise............
The call is a bit late.........but not tht late..........i have bot @ 44 .....
When it gave a breakout at 44.......still u can buy this stock near 48-45 ......keeping a Stop loss of 42.........with a target of 64 in mind.........
as per me the tgt will be even more higher as I said it has rounding bottom........so after 64.........just follow the 13 / 26 crossover EMA n let it rise as much as it wantz to
I can also see tht Syndicate Bank , Jindalsteel n Moserbaer r near to Break outs >>>>
With regardz ,
Kripalsinh |
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kripalsinh8888 White Belt
Joined: 02 Sep 2009 Posts: 13
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Post: #138 Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 3:09 pm Post subject: |
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Hey ! Friendz........
U can get stocks with Breakouts............in a Software by Precision technicals..........the Software costs nearly 11,500 Yearly ..........
It gives 2-7 stocks with Breakouts.......but out of those stocks u need to choose the best one with a breakout........as the stock finder is Automatic......n not manual........
If any1 is also using candlestick patterns to trade.........i ll tell u a website......which will find candlestick patterns for u.........
With Regardz ,
Kripalsinh |
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hansraj456 White Belt
Joined: 17 Nov 2009 Posts: 370
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Post: #139 Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 3:27 pm Post subject: Re: Jindal Saw & Mphasis |
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aloktewari wrote: | Dear Hansraj,
How do you see Jindal Saw & Mphasis faring in very short term say few days & in a week's time. I know Jindal Saw is in your portfolio list but after results are out , price has been dropping contineously from 213 & now to 206. Mphasis also had good run in the near past but has been down since then & every rise is met with heavy supply.
Look forward to your views & input
Cheers !!!
Alok Tewari |
I've not seen mphasis but have given call for Jindal Saw. It was given on 11 Jan so we have to wait till 18th if it closes below 198, if yes, we will exit, otherwise we have to wait till 8th Feb (19 trading days from 11 Jan), and till then it should give target. I don't act as per the news, results etc. as these evens are taken as excuse for rise or fall of the stock but the actual motive of the major players remains something else. In most the the calls given i even don't know what the companies' core business is or what they do. |
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hansraj456 White Belt
Joined: 17 Nov 2009 Posts: 370
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Post: #140 Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 3:34 pm Post subject: Re: DO NOT FORGET |
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kripalsinh8888 wrote: | HEY , FRIENDZ
Here I have a very nice pick for u all........USHER AGRO [532765] .
Particulars :
The Stock was in a Consolidation Phase Since more than 11 months........
It has made a rounding bottom..........as per my observation.........this pattern has the most potential to rise............
The call is a bit late.........but not tht late..........i have bot @ 44 .....
When it gave a breakout at 44.......still u can buy this stock near 48-45 ......keeping a Stop loss of 42.........with a target of 64 in mind.........
as per me the tgt will be even more higher as I said it has rounding bottom........so after 64.........just follow the 13 / 26 crossover EMA n let it rise as much as it wantz to
I can also see tht Syndicate Bank , Jindalsteel n Moserbaer r near to Break outs >>>>
With regardz ,
Kripalsinh |
As per my view, Usher Agro has not formed any pattern as of now. It gave a breakout in first week of December and now coming out after double top (6 Jan) and it may fall upto 40. As per my view, for positional stocks rounding bottom should be in the making for atleast 18-24 months only then it can be considered for investment.
However, can u please indicate the actual target and time frame for the target?
Last edited by hansraj456 on Sun Jan 17, 2010 3:49 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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hansraj456 White Belt
Joined: 17 Nov 2009 Posts: 370
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Post: #141 Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 3:36 pm Post subject: Re: Reg.Stocks |
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sdeepa wrote: | Dear Mr.Hansraj,
ACC and Ambujacem entering in fresh bullish mode, i feel. Will you suggest the technical feasibility of the above stocks. Please
Regards,
S.Deepa |
Let's wait till they actually enter.
Thanks |
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hansraj456 White Belt
Joined: 17 Nov 2009 Posts: 370
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Post: #142 Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 3:41 pm Post subject: |
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harshkapoor3 wrote: | hi hans
Are u following only price pattens and not cadlesticks, since u have mentined them in your stock selection list, but i have not seen u using till now ? |
Hi Harsh
I have also earlier told that selected stock must qualify 2 parameters (i) ema crossover and (ii) price pattern. All other patterns given in stock selection list are secondary but even one of them must not give sell signal, only then buy signal is confirmed. All other patterns may either give buy or indecision signal. I have a 3rd most important parameter and most of the stocks fail to qualify that parameter and that is risk reward ratio. It must be 1:3 otherwise i don't buy that stock.
Thanks |
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hansraj456 White Belt
Joined: 17 Nov 2009 Posts: 370
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Post: #143 Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 3:43 pm Post subject: |
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harshkapoor3 wrote: | do you see a asending triangle in nifty chart. upper limit being 5200? |
Shall i give my views tonite for nifty and stocks patterns as i am on some other computer and my calculation sheets are at home. All the given calls confirm flag pattern, please try to find pole and flag on chart for these stocks and decide the target. The median of the candle is not in the middle of high and low, but in the middle of body i.e. open and close price. However, i will give specific answers tonight.
Thanks.
Last edited by hansraj456 on Sun Jan 17, 2010 3:54 pm; edited 2 times in total |
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hansraj456 White Belt
Joined: 17 Nov 2009 Posts: 370
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Post: #144 Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 3:47 pm Post subject: |
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My special thanks and regards to Mr. Raja from Hyderabad who has written AFLs according to my choice to search stocks in Amibroker on the basis of price patterns. |
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harshkapoor3 White Belt
Joined: 19 Feb 2009 Posts: 33
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Post: #145 Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 5:35 pm Post subject: |
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kripalsinh8888 wrote: | Hey ! Friendz........
U can get stocks with Breakouts............in a Software by Precision technicals..........the Software costs nearly 11,500 Yearly ..........
It gives 2-7 stocks with Breakouts.......but out of those stocks u need to choose the best one with a breakout........as the stock finder is Automatic......n not manual........
If any1 is also using candlestick patterns to trade.........i ll tell u a website......which will find candlestick patterns for u.........
With Regardz ,
Kripalsinh |
Hi there,
If u can pls let me know the website.
Thanks |
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harshkapoor3 White Belt
Joined: 19 Feb 2009 Posts: 33
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Post: #146 Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 5:36 pm Post subject: |
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hansraj456 wrote: | harshkapoor3 wrote: | do you see a asending triangle in nifty chart. upper limit being 5200? |
Shall i give my views tonite for nifty and stocks patterns as i am on some other computer and my calculation sheets are at home. All the given calls confirm flag pattern, please try to find pole and flag on chart for these stocks and decide the target. The median of the candle is not in the middle of high and low, but in the middle of body i.e. open and close price. However, i will give specific answers tonight.
Thanks. |
Sure ill wait for the SAME.
THANKS |
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hansraj456 White Belt
Joined: 17 Nov 2009 Posts: 370
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Post: #147 Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 5:52 pm Post subject: |
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Hi harsh
I am giving calculation example for NMDC with pole formation dates and flag breakout with calculation of Target and SL
Stock - NMDC
Pattern - Flag
Target Calculation Example :
Pole Low - 295 (05/11/2009)
Pole High - 461 (11/11/2009)
Flag Breakout - 479.30 on 15/01/2010
Target - 461-296 = 165 points
From the Low of 15/01/2010
i.e. 428 + 165 = 593
There is error of 1 point in calculation, don't mind 1-2 pointsup or down in target. But SL must be precise.
Stoploss Calculation :
Open = 429.50
Close = 479.30
We have to firs find median as under
(479.30 - 429.50)/2 = 24.90
429.50 + 24.90 = 454.40
SL below 2 points from 454.40
so SL : 452.40
Note : SL is 2-3 points below the median irrespective of the price of stock whether it is 500 or 50.
Risk Reward calculation is very simple and i know you have already understood that.
Hope u can now calculate in similar manner for all the stocks given by me in this forum as all the stocks given till now have been selected on flag pattern only.
Thanks
Last edited by hansraj456 on Sun Jan 17, 2010 6:31 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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hansraj456 White Belt
Joined: 17 Nov 2009 Posts: 370
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Post: #148 Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 6:06 pm Post subject: |
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Further I give here clue for selection of flag and now anyone can calculate the remaining parts.
Pole dates are important factor here for calculation, so I am giving pole dates for remaining stocks
Kalyani Steel :
Pole Low : 13/11/2009
Pole High : 26/11/2009
Century Enka
Pole Low : 16/12/2009
Pole High : 29/12/2009
Basf Ltd
Pole Low : 02/12/2009
Pole High : 08/12/2009
Flag breakout dates for all the above stocks is 15/01/2010.
There may be variation in selection of pole and selection of target. I have selected minimum length of pole so targets may be lesser than the potential. As per rule the pole should be measured from low to high prices but being on a conservative side, I am calculating from open to close so that target should be on lower side. But in all the cases, calculation of SL is very precise and no variation can be there. Therefore, I say that the targets given by me are minimum target and you can see some stocks still moving faster even after the targets. I am also giving time for target which is half number of trading days from the date of pole low to breakout, but that I am still testing but till now this calculation is working fine.
Thanks.
Last edited by hansraj456 on Sun Jan 17, 2010 6:33 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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hansraj456 White Belt
Joined: 17 Nov 2009 Posts: 370
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Post: #149 Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 6:21 pm Post subject: |
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Hi Harsh
Selection of stocks is just one small part of the entire game. In my comprehensive portfolio one part is Stocks and i generally keep around 10 stocks and keep on rotating them. Other important parts of the portfolio are Option Future Hedging Plan and Nifty Swing Trading. My capital has been systematically allocated in all these three segments. I may not be an expert technical analyst, but by calculative methods and strictly following the rules I have so far been quite successful. However, these days I am also trying intraday trading but have not been very successful till date. Can you help me in intraday trading, if you do.
Thanks |
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RAJASIMHAN White Belt
Joined: 15 Mar 2009 Posts: 13
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Post: #150 Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 6:55 pm Post subject: |
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Hi Hans,
I am unable to visualize the flag pattern for kalyani steel and NMDC could you post a chart.
Thanks in advance.
RAJASIMHAN |
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