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Swing Trading : The Speculator way
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Author Swing Trading : The Speculator way
prash454
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Joined: 10 Jul 2009
Posts: 5

Post: #631   PostPosted: Sun May 15, 2011 7:36 pm    Post subject: Re: Swing pivots - May 13, 2011 Reply with quote

rainbow wrote:
Hi Prashanth:

welcome (back) to icharts Very Happy

this is the thread i was talking about.

[/quote]

I know. I know Smile

By the way, do you have any backtest data, not your trading since you are only profit with no stop loss Smile but one where I can see the depth of drawdown and also the profitability of the system.

Want to code in AB, but as I mentioned to you, its complex and hence wanted to see if it really fulfills my requirement before committing time on that project.
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prash454
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Joined: 10 Jul 2009
Posts: 5

Post: #632   PostPosted: Sun May 15, 2011 11:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

sudaya3 wrote:
I think you would have done some testing of the same. Would be thankful if you could provide a back-test of the system for last couple of years (preferably from 2007).

spec anna,are u canvassing swing trading? This seems like a trade enquiry. 24

prash454,

experts can only share their strategy.we need to do the backtesting to understand,get convinced. Very Happy Be happy there is someone to hand down a successful strategy to fellow traders,meticulously complie everything from trading technique to moneymanagement as a document ,provide daily pivots and also clear doubts continously.


Did I anywhere say he was canvassing? Since I am told that he is trading real money using the same system, was wondering if a back-test info was available.

Agree, can and should do it myself. Thanks for your suggestion.
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rainbow
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Joined: 25 Feb 2010
Posts: 202

Post: #633   PostPosted: Mon May 16, 2011 6:50 am    Post subject: response Reply with quote

slight feel of the beginning of a flaming war, so this post is to clear the air Smile

I have known prashanth for a while now, was introduced to him as the founder of a forum where members share strategies, ideas, etc.

gratis.

no commericals involved, so no clash of interest here, i suppose.

and Prashanth has done quite a bit of backtesting, and has also given me scan/screener updates on spec's positional strategy on a daily basis using a third party app.


prashanth and spec have been introduced to each other. by association. and he would have attended the bangalore get-together, if not for a snafu by me Sad
and prashanth, IMO, no backtesting to this strategy is required. lots of folks on the forum are trading this with good success rates, including me (with lesser discipline). Just a cursory look at this thread from jan 2010 would help.

Spec may like to add to this.


so back to nifty trading again. hope all of you have a great trading day and a wonderful week ahead.

Cheers
DJ



prash454 wrote:
sudaya3 wrote:
I think you would have done some testing of the same. Would be thankful if you could provide a back-test of the system for last couple of years (preferably from 2007).

spec anna,are u canvassing swing trading? This seems like a trade enquiry. 24

prash454,

experts can only share their strategy.we need to do the backtesting to understand,get convinced. Very Happy Be happy there is someone to hand down a successful strategy to fellow traders,meticulously complie everything from trading technique to moneymanagement as a document ,provide daily pivots and also clear doubts continously.


Did I anywhere say he was canvassing? Since I am told that he is trading real money using the same system, was wondering if a back-test info was available.

Agree, can and should do it myself. Thanks for your suggestion.
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sandew
White Belt
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Joined: 02 Feb 2009
Posts: 174

Post: #634   PostPosted: Mon May 16, 2011 7:13 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

@Prashanth

Spec Methodology is the cornerstone foundation building block of my trading activity. It sets in place the basic principle in a way we read nowhere else - 1. Market moves in a Swing 2. How to identify this swing and its turning points

The manner of trading these swings are described by Spec in various posts and SB archives. The beauty is that each one of us, you and me, can trade these swings differently - I may choose to play a rejection off 34 maybe on 15M or 60M time frame and you may choose not to do so. I may trade the recovery high for addition of position or booking profits, depending upon my temperament and risk taking abilities.

You cannot back test Spec methodology because it is each one to its own.

The only sacrosanct feature is the Swing Pivot Levels, and if you may like to choose - the Stop Loss rules.

PS. You need more confirmation please get in touch with Rainbow, he may like considering to direct you to me.
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rainbow
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Joined: 25 Feb 2010
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Post: #635   PostPosted: Mon May 16, 2011 7:44 am    Post subject: great! Reply with quote

Hi Sandew:

thats a great response. you have encapsulated perfectly the innards of this strategy quite well. I would have liked to do that but for my inadequacy in lucidity of thought plus language. THANKS!

yes, Jai has indeed successfully adapted to 5tf from Spec's strategy with some changes.


you have mentioned pivots, ans SL levels here. IMO, Spec has provided an *entire* system.

entries, stop loss, exits, partial profit booking, TSL, trailing TSL, money management, and during ensuing discussions on SB, position sizing (though i think i am privileged to have received more of this stuff on one on one conversations with him. what else does one need? you could prolly stick with this system, and not have to 'need' anything else.

Prolly, would be a great idea to put all of these pieces of information from different threads into one single master document and version it so that one following this strategy has a single point of reference. any volunteers for this activity? or can be a collaborative efforts. I am for it.

Cheers
DJ

sandew wrote:
@Prashanth

Spec Methodology is the cornerstone foundation building block of my trading activity. It sets in place the basic principle in a way we read nowhere else - 1. Market moves in a Swing
2. How to identify this swing and its turning points

The manner of trading these swings are described by Spec in various posts and SB archives. The beauty is that each one of us, you and me, can trade these swings differently - I may choose to play a rejection off 34 maybe on 15M or 60M time frame and you may choose not to do so. I may trade the recovery high for addition of position or booking profits, depending upon my temperament and risk taking abilities.

You cannot back test Spec methodology because it is each one to its own.

The only sacrosanct feature is the Swing Pivot Levels, and if you may like to choose - the Stop Loss rules.

PS. You need more confirmation please get in touch with Rainbow, he may like considering to direct you to me.
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Speculator
Expert
Expert


Joined: 15 Apr 2008
Posts: 149

Post: #636   PostPosted: Mon May 16, 2011 7:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Speculator,

I understand that this strategy is pretty mechanical in approach though the levels are derived from chart rather than from a system. I think you would have done some testing of the same. Would be thankful if you could provide a back-test of the system for last couple of years (preferably from 2007).

Reason for my request is to see how it performs in various market conditions.


prash454,

Firstly, my Swing trading system is a semi-mechanical system. While the trend determination using pivots, Entry and SL are completely mechanical, Exits are discretionary. Exits can be tailored according to one's profit objectives. The exits from the system can either be technical or based on profit objetives. The way i presented the Exits initially was based on Rik/Reward objectives.


So depending on what risk/reward objective you used to exit can generate different profiles for Win/Loss ratio, drawdown, net profit/loss etc. For a low R/R like 1:2 or less, it's easy to get a win/loss ratio of 70% or more. Obviously when going for a higher R/R swing trade, the win/loss ratio drops to 50% or less.

This system was coded for S&P 500 intitally by me on Tradesation platform. Yes, i still have the code and stats on backtesting, both of which i am not willing to share. I am against the idea of converting this into a fully mechanical system or a commercial product and attracting a whole bunch of lazy traders and making the system too popular. Popularity kills any system or takes away the edge from it. The idea of presenting the system on this forum was to share it with a select group of traders, who seriously want to learn system based swing trading.

- Speculator
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prash454
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Joined: 10 Jul 2009
Posts: 5

Post: #637   PostPosted: Mon May 16, 2011 8:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Spec,

Thanks for the reply. Was definitely not looking for the code Smile. The fact that you have coded it encourages me that its possible to code it.

Prashanth

Speculator wrote:
Speculator,

I understand that this strategy is pretty mechanical in approach though the levels are derived from chart rather than from a system. I think you would have done some testing of the same. Would be thankful if you could provide a back-test of the system for last couple of years (preferably from 2007).

Reason for my request is to see how it performs in various market conditions.


prash454,

Firstly, my Swing trading system is a semi-mechanical system. While the trend determination using pivots, Entry and SL are completely mechanical, Exits are discretionary. Exits can be tailored according to one's profit objectives. The exits from the system can either be technical or based on profit objetives. The way i presented the Exits initially was based on Rik/Reward objectives.


So depending on what risk/reward objective you used to exit can generate different profiles for Win/Loss ratio, drawdown, net profit/loss etc. For a low R/R like 1:2 or less, it's easy to get a win/loss ratio of 70% or more. Obviously when going for a higher R/R swing trade, the win/loss ratio drops to 50% or less.

This system was coded for S&P 500 intitally by me on Tradesation platform. Yes, i still have the code and stats on backtesting, both of which i am not willing to share. I am against the idea of converting this into a fully mechanical system or a commercial product and attracting a whole bunch of lazy traders and making the system too popular. Popularity kills any system or takes away the edge from it. The idea of presenting the system on this forum was to share it with a select group of traders, who seriously want to learn system based swing trading.

- Speculator
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Bittoo
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Joined: 19 Apr 2011
Posts: 6

Post: #638   PostPosted: Tue May 17, 2011 4:56 am    Post subject: Swing Pivots for Copper,Leadmini and Zincmini Reply with quote

Hello All,
Swing Pivots update for Copper, Leadmini and Zinc mini (Charts attached)

Copper 15 TF :: Downswing:: Pivot 407.70

LeadMini 15 TF ::Downswing: Pivot 107.45
Zincmini 15 TF:: Upswing Pivot 93.65 Question


Spec Sir/Rain/Jai2000: Request your valuable time to validate and help me learn
Thank you for your time Very Happy



Zincmini 15 TF 93.65.JPG
 Description:
Upswing
 Filesize:  140.91 KB
 Viewed:  317 Time(s)

Zincmini 15 TF 93.65.JPG



Leadmini 15 TF 107.45 Down.JPG
 Description:
Downswing
 Filesize:  131.99 KB
 Viewed:  289 Time(s)

Leadmini 15 TF 107.45 Down.JPG



Copper _15 TF-407.70.JPG
 Description:
Downswing
 Filesize:  149.51 KB
 Viewed:  301 Time(s)

Copper _15 TF-407.70.JPG


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rainbow
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Joined: 25 Feb 2010
Posts: 202

Post: #639   PostPosted: Tue May 17, 2011 6:37 am    Post subject: Re: Swing Pivots for Copper,Leadmini and Zincmini Reply with quote

hi bittoo

i presently dont trade commo, planning to start in june, and hence have not subscribed to rt feed.

and am still getting comfortable with pivots.

jai2000- there goes your weekends Very Happy

Cheers


Bittoo wrote:
Hello All,
Swing Pivots update for Copper, Leadmini and Zinc mini (Charts attached)

Copper 15 TF :: Downswing:: Pivot 407.70

LeadMini 15 TF ::Downswing: Pivot 107.45
Zincmini 15 TF:: Upswing Pivot 93.65 Question


Spec Sir/Rain/Jai2000: Request your valuable time to validate and help me learn
Thank you for your time Very Happy
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Jai2000
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Joined: 09 Aug 2010
Posts: 346

Post: #640   PostPosted: Tue May 17, 2011 7:02 am    Post subject: Pivots Reply with quote

Bittoo,

Yes, the pivots are correct.

Regards,
Jai
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Speculator
Expert
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Joined: 15 Apr 2008
Posts: 149

Post: #641   PostPosted: Tue May 17, 2011 8:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Folks, i will be taking a small break from posting for a month or so. In the meantime, you guys keep up the good work you are doing. Keep the discussions and learning alive 2guns

And good luck everyone on your trades !

- Speculator
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Jai2000
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Joined: 09 Aug 2010
Posts: 346

Post: #642   PostPosted: Tue May 17, 2011 11:01 am    Post subject: Thanks Reply with quote

Spec sir,

Thanks for yr heartly wishes & appreciation. But why one month break Sad Sad ............

Sad
Jai
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prabit
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Joined: 02 Jul 2009
Posts: 133

Post: #643   PostPosted: Tue May 17, 2011 1:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

5444 upswn pivot taken out. somebody pl post dwnswn pivot.
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vinst
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Joined: 09 Jan 2007
Posts: 3303

Post: #644   PostPosted: Tue May 17, 2011 1:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

prabit wrote:
5444 upswn pivot taken out. somebody pl post dwnswn pivot.


NF 30 min downswing pivot : 5623
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Bittoo
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Joined: 19 Apr 2011
Posts: 6

Post: #645   PostPosted: Tue May 17, 2011 5:53 pm    Post subject: Re: Pivots Reply with quote

Jai2000 wrote:
Bittoo,

Yes, the pivots are correct.

Regards,
Jai


Thank you Jai and Rain..
much appreciated... Very Happy

Regards,
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