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The Market Mastermind ! |
rk_a2003 Black Belt
Joined: 21 Jan 2010 Posts: 2734
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Post: #181 Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2012 8:04 pm Post subject: |
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"Gold and silver have most of the properties. When the right time comes (and I hope it doesn't), people will realise too late that they don't have one essential property and that is you can't eat them. Much before that all monetory linkages with gold and silver would have been gone.
For the sake of doomsday scenerio, barter will be only in fuel, food, water and essential goods such as medicine. "
Well said Vinay! |
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pkholla Black Belt
Joined: 04 Nov 2010 Posts: 2890
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Post: #182 Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2012 9:07 pm Post subject: |
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ajayhkaul: please provide us your views on other precious metals like platinum, palladium (selling at 1/3 the price of gold), osmium, iridium. these are rather difficult to buy in India i know but we all have US/ Europe based relations we can tap! {My personal view is that these metals will play catch up sooner or later (just like silver chasing gold) and a 50gm ingot would look nice in our investment portfolio!!!} Regards Prakash Holla |
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ajayhkaul Yellow Belt
Joined: 18 Jun 2009 Posts: 866
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Post: #183 Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2012 9:17 pm Post subject: |
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The greatest scam ever perpetuated on earth was when industrialization started and our forefathers who were essentially fishermen/farmers etc were lured into jobs ie factories/plants/services etc and they dropped their agricultural lands and vocations.
Now most of us dont produce things that we can eat ! So we need to buy them from people who do and thats how a massive wealth transfer can take place ie pay in gold for what you want to eat or drink. Of course you cant eat gold , but people are willing to part with produce in exchange.
What if they dont ? well thats what guns are for , arent they ? why do you think americans have bought guns recently ? to protect their gold and other assets and even their land . And also to loot and plunder ,if need be.
Read my blog -- 7 meals to anarchy ,posted some months back.
Expecting urbanised labor force to suddenly have to produce what they can eat is a tough one .
Dog eat dog situation , eh? |
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ajayhkaul Yellow Belt
Joined: 18 Jun 2009 Posts: 866
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Post: #184 Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2012 9:25 pm Post subject: |
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ragarwal wrote: | hi ajay,i just went to the site mentoned in the chart u posted,its a nice forum ,but the price of silver at 140$ seems too preposterous as of now.But who knows???? |
Yes ragarwal...who knows? As techies we can try and construct the big picture based on charts and economic fundamentals.
Never before in history so much (preposterous amount of) money has been printed ,so it is likely ...... |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #185 Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2012 9:58 pm Post subject: |
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Never before in history so much (preposterous amount of) money has been printed
Indeed......... a man made blackhole from where nothing comes back till the next big bang. Except that it will be well nigh impossible to rise from the ashes! |
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chrome Yellow Belt
Joined: 28 Dec 2009 Posts: 645
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Post: #186 Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2012 10:47 pm Post subject: |
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Hi,
unfortunately, for most of us who cant leave a lot of land, orchids to our children and grandchildren...we can gift them some shares of suzlon, indowind, cairn, kaveri seeds, biocon,piramal...but in a systematic way
vinay28 wrote: | For the sake of doomsday scenerio, barter will be only in fuel, food, water and essential goods such as medicine. |
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rk_a2003 Black Belt
Joined: 21 Jan 2010 Posts: 2734
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Post: #187 Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2012 11:02 pm Post subject: |
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AJAYHKAUL wrote: | ragarwal wrote: | hi ajay,i just went to the site mentoned in the chart u posted,its a nice forum ,but the price of silver at 140$ seems too preposterous as of now.But who knows???? |
Yes ragarwal...who knows? As techies we can try and construct the big picture based on charts and economic fundamentals.
Never before in history so much (preposterous amount of) money has been printed ,so it is likely ...... |
We may expect some of the US/Europe/Hong Kong banks collapse that were heavily short on Gold. When any single Bank declares its losses and collapse that day it self equity markets will tank severly and gold and silver may rise 50% in few days. This time may not be too far away we may witness it in few months.
Yes! History never witnessed so much of paper. Unprecedented money supply may lead to unseen levels of precious metals. May be this rally is providing you a golden opportunity to get out of equity and invest in precious metals. Simultaneously the demand for natural resources will rise.
We were almost assured of no down side risk in precious metals at the moment after the FED announcement of no Interest rate hike till 2014.
Last edited by rk_a2003 on Sun Jan 29, 2012 12:26 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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ajayhkaul Yellow Belt
Joined: 18 Jun 2009 Posts: 866
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Post: #188 Posted: Sun Jan 29, 2012 2:01 am Post subject: |
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pkholla wrote: | ajayhkaul: please provide us your views on other precious metals like platinum, palladium (selling at 1/3 the price of gold), osmium, iridium. these are rather difficult to buy in India i know but we all have US/ Europe based relations we can tap! {My personal view is that these metals will play catch up sooner or later (just like silver chasing gold) and a 50gm ingot would look nice in our investment portfolio!!!} Regards Prakash Holla |
pkholla ... these are interesting plays and even exotic for some..... will revert |
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ajayhkaul Yellow Belt
Joined: 18 Jun 2009 Posts: 866
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Post: #189 Posted: Sun Jan 29, 2012 2:15 am Post subject: |
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chrome wrote: | Hi,
unfortunately, for most of us who cant leave a lot of land, orchids to our children and grandchildren...we can gift them some shares of suzlon, indowind, cairn, kaveri seeds, biocon,piramal...but in a systematic way
vinay28 wrote: | For the sake of doomsday scenerio, barter will be only in fuel, food, water and essential goods such as medicine. |
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Hi chrome .... all this ruckus is about 'paper assets' and paper based economy on the brink of disaster... so as RK is suggesting ,get off the shares train at the right time and get on the gold/agricultural land etc bandwagon .
Consider : people become millionaires by being in the right assets at the right time ..... also they stay millionaires in the same way ie by moving into the right asset class.
Rest of the crowd is on buy and hold and they could be in the wrong asset class when they actually need the money during their own lifetime.
How many of us plodded through the share market for years without switching to another asset class ? So much loyalty ! why? |
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ajayhkaul Yellow Belt
Joined: 18 Jun 2009 Posts: 866
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Post: #190 Posted: Sun Jan 29, 2012 10:34 am Post subject: |
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Just in case you are curious who has bought gold : it is the emerging economies.
Governments have secretly been boosting their gold buying. While we were tracking how quickly the euro is disintegrating, governments were buying five times more gold and gold bullion in 2011 than in 2010.
They now have more than 30,788.9 metric tons hidden away in vaults, and they're expected to buy another 190 metric tons in the first half of 2012.
Turkey added 63 metric tons of gold between October and November 2011. Thailand bought 52.9 metric tons in 2011. South Korea bought 40 metric tons, and Russia bought 65.2 metric tons!
Together these countries make up more than half of all the gold buying in 2011. That is a huge statistic...
Think about this for a second. If Thailand bound all that gold on the spot market today, it would spend $3.22 billion, or nearly 15% of its entire GDP growth in 2011.
Russia's been a big buyer of gold since the second half of 2006, and China bought 454 metric tons between 2003 and 2009.
Meanwhile developed economies have been selling gold. Germany dumped almost 166,000 ounces last October and more than 169,000 ounces in 2010. France sold 56.7 metric tons of gold in 2009, worth at today's( 27 jan 2012) price $3.45 billion.
I bet they wish they had that back now, eh? |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #191 Posted: Sun Jan 29, 2012 10:48 am Post subject: |
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India should confiscate all the personal gold! Only problem is, it will go into politicians' pockets |
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rk_a2003 Black Belt
Joined: 21 Jan 2010 Posts: 2734
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Post: #192 Posted: Sun Jan 29, 2012 12:02 pm Post subject: |
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The big picture is alarming…..No doubt about it. What the small picture is saying. Stream of fund flow inwards is strong. Most of the scrip’s went up vehemently from the bottoms. Nifty hardly moved 15% from the recent bottom it made in December and many scrip’s moved up more than 30 %.And most of the scrip’s displaying breakouts upside.
Majority of the experts are expecting a correction. Technically speaking market is ripe for correction. But if the liquidity continues it may absorb all the selling that is going to be triggered on technical basis. In that case corrections could be limited to intraday and market may continue its upward journey with intermittent consolidations.
SBI and ICICI bank results are also going to play a crucial role in deciding immediate market direction. Looking at the events that are unfolding I am getting a feeling that markets are poised for jacking up. Reliance posted a bad result and fortified from going down with Buy back lasting for a year and whenever market appears tired or technically oversold Reliance is coming for its rescue by moving itself up (or being moved up ).The mighty force controlling the markets is really keen for not letting the market display any kind of weakness which may trigger fierce selling and may let it go out of its control.
It appears to me that in short term markets may move up .The question is till what level? May be till most of the people give up their grand bearish big picture. It may turn out to be really frustrating for Bears.
How to play with these counter posed long term and short term pictures .Here comes the individual efficiency to read the events as and when they emerge. Our collective effort may help us to plug in our short comings and act more efficiently to protect our capital and deploy it in an efficient way.
Remember…….As Ajay said it’s a fierce battle between the worst fundamentals and the Mighty powers that are trying to overpower the fundamentals which might be quite possible for a shorter term and impossible in a longer term.
And it’s not an easier task to protect yourself and coming out without getting hurt. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #193 Posted: Sun Jan 29, 2012 1:00 pm Post subject: |
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Feb 3 to 7 (at the most 10) is crucial! Watch out |
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rk_a2003 Black Belt
Joined: 21 Jan 2010 Posts: 2734
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Post: #194 Posted: Sun Jan 29, 2012 5:36 pm Post subject: |
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"The greatest scam ever perpetuated on earth was when industrialization started and our forefathers who were essentially fishermen/farmers etc were lured into jobs ie factories/plants/services etc and they dropped their agricultural lands and vocations."
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ajayhkaul Yellow Belt
Joined: 18 Jun 2009 Posts: 866
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Post: #195 Posted: Sun Jan 29, 2012 7:43 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | India should confiscate all the personal gold! Only problem is, it will go into politicians' pockets |
Vinay !!! They should buy the stocks so we can jump off and move to another asset class |
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