iCharts Discussions

[rk_a2003]

[ajayhkaul]

Many thanks RK .

Maybe we should rate them in order of impact , like Scale of 1 to 5?

[ajayhkaul]

IPO Cycle ....check this out ...steps

They repeat — and you can make money from this cycle:

1.Initial hype, low number of shares in the float send stock up.

2.The sponsoring broker takes his money out. It's all profit to him.

3.Run-up into earnings; true believers buying back.

4.Insiders unlock. They can and do sell shares... Float increases, stock hits low.

5.Whatever news was held back from the first post-IPO earnings is pushed out in the second quarterly earnings. Stock launches.

It will launch, sell-off, launch again, and finally after six months — when the insider shares are unlocked — the stock will likely sell off to a buy price.(C DeHaemer)

[rk_a2003]

Good one Ajay!

Can some one post some of the IPO's like Coal India.....Ok! I my self starting with Coal India....let us continue this back testing.

[ajayhkaul]

Check Talwalkar

[rk_a2003]

[psalm]

[vinay28]

rk, salaa paisa banake bhag raha hai! Enjoy dear and have a drink for me too!

[psalm]

[ajayhkaul]

Have a good one RK ..... I mean the battery recharge!

[pkholla]

[ajayhkaul]

Bloomberg summed it up well with the following “In an unfortunate and stark contrast to the Empire State report, the regional manufacturing report from the Philly Fed points to contraction this month. The business activity index is negative, at minus 5.8 vs plus 8.5 in April. New orders are in the negative ground as is employment. Delivery times shortened dramatically to indicate slowing activity in the supply chain. Inventory accumulation slowed, unfilled orders contracted deeply, and optimism in the six-month outlook is down noticeably. Price readings also point to easing demand, with input costs little changed and prices received contracting.”

A recipe for QE 3 ? FOMC left the 'door open' to such a possibility......

[ajayhkaul]

US Election year indicator.

In November, US presidential election will take place.

During election years, the US stock market has risen by an average of 11% dating back to 1928. And June, July, and August are – by far – the best-performing months during an election year.

More important, US stocks have only had three negative years over the past 21 election cycles.

There’s also a common sense element that goes into this indicator. During election years, it’s in the best interest of the current administration to do everything in its power to prevent stocks from going lower.

Billionaire investor Jim Rogers is known for being extremely bearish on stocks. However, he’s bullish on stocks in 2012. He expects the current administration “to print money like crazy in an effort to get reelected.” ie QE

After the recent market pullback, NS came within 200 points of Jan 2,2012 levels....

[vinay28]

have a look at this

http://www.jsmineset.com/

[stevenmat]

a doubt to all the seniors here...

i've seen two definitions for yields (YTM, YTC, YTP watever) on fixed income securities

1. Yield is the market expectation of interest rates
2. Yield is the rate used to discount the cash flows while evaluating a bond price

Arent they the opposites? i mean point 1 has a compounding effect while point 2 is discounting.
for eg. everyone agrees that bonds (less risky) & equity (more risk appetite) are substitutes right? so ..lets say the index goes down (value of equity part in ur portfolio decreases) at the same time yields also shoot up. the obvious problem with yields going up is that ur bond value decreases. So an investor who has a combination of bonds and equity portfolio is loosing on both fronts right?