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pkholla Black Belt
Joined: 04 Nov 2010 Posts: 2890
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Post: #811 Posted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 3:23 pm Post subject: |
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It is evident that the Gurumurthy who went hammer and tongs at Reliance has not lost an iota of his writing skills.
What a pity that our pseculiars, instead of wasting time writing 10 lakh tweets about Modi, havent sat down and thought about improving the economy!
Instead, as LS poll nears, we will have more and more pandering to the basest instincts of the lowest of the junta. Re 1 rice , free power, farm loan waiver for < 1 acre holding, beating up SBI AGM for demanding "poor" pay back loans, etc
What a shame that thoughtless and mindless imports of Chinese junk (capital goods/ toys/ cloth/ silk all of poorest quality) has only wakened their feral instincts and they are going for India's jugular with support from Paki, B'desh and orchestra!
"We would rather be pseculiar, shameless and poor instead of practical and prosperous"
Jai Hind, Prakash Holla |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #812 Posted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 3:27 pm Post subject: |
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the dilemna MMS has is whether to tackle mandi or modi. |
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saurabhkurichh White Belt
Joined: 30 Oct 2006 Posts: 127
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Post: #813 Posted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 3:39 pm Post subject: |
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there ia another write up in his website named "corruption to loot " |
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rk_a2003 Black Belt
Joined: 21 Jan 2010 Posts: 2734
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Post: #814 Posted: Tue Aug 20, 2013 8:11 am Post subject: |
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Rupee depreciation registered a record high one day fall in absolute terms; Though MMM anticipated these levels well ahead of anyone else,the pace of depreciation is quite surprising and Forex market must be discounting forthcoming QE tapering effect.
Whole lot of emerging market currencies too experiencing the same fate with a varied degree. Rupee is consistently occupying first rank among them in this fall.
However one can start accumulation of good quality stocks from here( Start with a small quantity ) onwards keep accumulating till 65, even in case it reaches 67 due to inertia. At a later stage rupee must come down.
The real value of rupee as per Big Mac index which is based on purchasing-power parity (PPP) is much…much…higher than the current level…..Around 20 rupees per US $. Indian rupee is the most undervalued currency in the world as of now.
Have a look at the over and under valuation chart based in Big Mac Index PPP as of July 2013. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #815 Posted: Tue Aug 20, 2013 11:51 am Post subject: |
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The Wal-Mart Indicator
Signals an Economic Collapse
In case you missed it this week, retail giant Wal-Mart cut its full-year profit forecast after its second-quarter numbers came in below analysts' expectations. But really, what did you expect? An average economic growth rate of 1.4% in the first and second quarters of this year is not going to produce robust retail sales … no matter what spin sour-puss Obama Press Secretary Jay Carney may put on this anemic economy.
But things may be worse than that.
As Howard Davidowitz, chairman of retail consultant Davidowitz & Associates, stated this week: “Wal-Mart didn't suddenly become stupid. ... The economy is in a state of collapse. That's what's going on."
He may be on to something.
As was reported on CNBC this week, we’ve now seen the same technical pattern that predicted all of the large stock market drops over the last 30 years. It’s called the Hindenburg Omen, and it signals an imminent crash, much like the one that befell the iconic German zeppelin in 1937.
What’s particularly interesting to note is that there has never been a significant market sell-off since 1980 without a Hindenburg Omen. Never.
A little known fact about the Hindenburg disaster is that the survivors of the crash outnumbered the victims. One hopes that the same calculus applies to investors and businesses in the Obama economy.
Jim Signorile
Managing Editor, The Sovereign Investor |
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pkholla Black Belt
Joined: 04 Nov 2010 Posts: 2890
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Post: #816 Posted: Tue Aug 20, 2013 1:13 pm Post subject: |
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In England they are openly honest with public
In USA rules force companies to be honest with public (except those owned by KIKEs)
In India ......
Example: Stephenson Shipping, UK closed shop after 300 years. Not even Napoleon, 2 world wars frightened them. But they say current down turn so bad doesnt look like recovery in freight rates possible in near future, so better to fold your cards
Example: KIKE called Greene: "vultured/ coyoted" AIG, Government took over 85% (?) of shares, nursed back to health (daughter allowed to remain on compassionate grounds). What does KIKE do? Copies Bevda, thats what, "rights of shareholders have been violated"!!!
Example: Totally shameless bevda/ F1/ crashed pilot/ daily booze party in B'lore farmhouse/ cheezecake/ calendars/ Loyal employees have not been paid for 9 months. Files suit because his lenders have insulted him! Bechara |
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rk_a2003 Black Belt
Joined: 21 Jan 2010 Posts: 2734
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Post: #817 Posted: Thu Aug 22, 2013 6:31 pm Post subject: |
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Flash News:The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose last week.
Do you think American and Global markets will go down responding to this bad news? You are grossly mistaken, contrarily they may go up.
Fed minutes said they will start QE tapering soon provided the fundamental recovery in US Economy is intact. This news may make fed to differ their QE tapering….Bingo the steroid dose may continue for some more time. This can lead to a short covering and may lead to a small rally in global markets including India.
Rupee also may come down for a breif period and Indian markets too may participate in the rally. Today’s short covering rally could well be the beginning. (It seems that the market makers are aware of this US data).
Tighten your belts….though there is no guarantee of deferment/postponement of QE tapering. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #818 Posted: Thu Aug 22, 2013 6:52 pm Post subject: |
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rk_a2003 wrote: | Flash News:The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose last week.
Do you think American and Global markets will go down responding to this bad news? You are grossly mistaken, contrarily they may go up.
Fed minutes said they will start QE tapering soon provided the fundamental recovery in US Economy is intact. This news may make fed to differ their QE tapering….Bingo the steroid dose may continue for some more time. This can lead to a short covering and may lead to a small rally in global markets including India.
Rupee also may come down for a breif period and Indian markets too may participate in the rally. Today’s short covering rally could well be the beginning. (It seems that the market makers are aware of this US data).
Tighten your belts….though there is no guarantee of deferment/postponement of QE tapering. |
INR closed at 64.63. RK, public memory is poor. Remember Dec 2011? INR dropped to about 54 (or 56?) from 45 and FIIs bought heavily. In <3 months they made double profit when nifty went up about 25% and INR fell, I think, 10%. Above 63, indian stocks are very attractive for FIIs. And herd mentality always prevails in currency markets. They always move sharply in one direction relentlessly till some stud bulls screach to a halt. |
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pkholla Black Belt
Joined: 04 Nov 2010 Posts: 2890
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Post: #819 Posted: Thu Aug 22, 2013 7:21 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | And herd mentality always prevails in currency markets. They always move sharply in one direction relentlessly till some stud bulls screach to a halt. |
Vinay: I remember reading about bull run in Pamplona, Spain and other cities of Spain and those founded by Spain in the New World. There bull run mainly hurts the innocent by-standers.
In share market, both bear and bull badly hurt the by-standers. Jai Hind, Prakash Holla |
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rk_a2003 Black Belt
Joined: 21 Jan 2010 Posts: 2734
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Post: #820 Posted: Fri Aug 23, 2013 4:07 pm Post subject: |
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rk_a2003 wrote: | Flash News:The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose last week.
Do you think American and Global markets will go down responding to this bad news? You are grossly mistaken, contrarily they may go up.
Fed minutes said they will start QE tapering soon provided the fundamental recovery in US Economy is intact. This news may make fed to differ their QE tapering….Bingo the steroid dose may continue for some more time. This can lead to a short covering and may lead to a small rally in global markets including India.
Rupee also may come down for a breif period and Indian markets too may participate in the rally. Today’s short covering rally could well be the beginning. (It seems that the market makers are aware of this US data).
Tighten your belts….though there is no guarantee of deferment/postponement of QE tapering. |
Well as expected $ went down against Rs and markets went up…. again just with short covering. I can’t see any follow up buying. So it’s a matter of concern.
Once rupee stabilizes, whatever might be the level, market don’t bother much about it; Like our Govt.They too not bothered much about the level. The only concern for both of them is volatility.Then market may take it's own course.
Be with Sl on both sides.At this point it’s difficult to predict which way the market will go. At the moment bias is downward due to lack of significant buying. |
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rk_a2003 Black Belt
Joined: 21 Jan 2010 Posts: 2734
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Post: #821 Posted: Sun Aug 25, 2013 8:48 am Post subject: |
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IT stocks correction? Will it happen now?
Possibility cannot be ruled out because of rupee sharp appreciation day before. But I don’t think that will happen at this point of time. Institutes may chose a later time for the distribution of IT stocks, once rupee strengthens and stabilizes at a level and still look for further strength. Then all the negative news may flow in and occupy banner headlines for IT companies.
At present woes of rupee not yet withered away, some analysts are expecting 70 levels too for Rupee. Exact QE tapering and final withdrawal of it may push rupee to its limits. When it is going to happen exactly? We don’t know (But Institutes might be aware of it).
For pumping up or dumping down or even for distribution they want least resistance path. That’s why they synchronize their actions with exact news flows (as a Trader/Investor your edge lies in catching the possible events a little advance through your analysis).
Electricity and Institutes chose the least resistant path that is available to flow or to act. You should be able to figure out a little advance what could be that least resistant path for them among the multiple paths that are available at a given point of time and then synchronize your TA skills to trade to take most advantage out of it. Their lies your edge.
The bottom line is IT stocks rallied a lot and at present they are displaying their strength derived from weak rupee. In my opinion except rupee strength fundamentals are changing fast against them (due to recent acts introduced in US, this is no secret ….most of the news trackers knew it.).Now the question is what is the possible time? That Institutes chose to distribute them and dump them for a later accumulation.
I feel that time not yet come which warrant a substantial correction in them. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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rk_a2003 Black Belt
Joined: 21 Jan 2010 Posts: 2734
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Post: #823 Posted: Tue Aug 27, 2013 5:26 pm Post subject: |
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rk_a2003 wrote: |
Well as expected $ went down against Rs and markets went up…. again just with short covering. I can’t see any follow up buying. So it’s a matter of concern.
Once rupee stabilizes, whatever might be the level, market don’t bother much about it; Like our Govt.They too not bothered much about the level. The only concern for both of them is volatility.Then market may take it's own course.
Be with Sl on both sides.At this point it’s difficult to predict which way the market will go. At the moment bias is downward due to lack of significant buying. |
Today rupee collapsed again and closed above 66 levels .With this pace it may reach 70 levels too. It may or may not but It’s again a substantial jump for rupee thus equity markets plunged. This time not a QE tapering threat but crude price jump attacked the rupee.
It reached our level, so again buying time for us. One may keep on adding quality scrip’s throughout September month in tranches . Even if rupee reaches 70 keep adding. It’s inevitable for the rupee to crawl back to 58-54-51 levels in the future. In fact it’s American $ not Indian rupee which is trash without its military power.
In final anlysis fundamentals prevail, FII’s money come back for the reason Indian growth rate is at the second rank in the world,Indian scrips available at dirt cheap rates with higher $ and lower equity market. Keep faith in fundamentals and also in history.
Time is offering you an excellent opportunity… grab it. You may get good returns even within a few months. |
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rk_a2003 Black Belt
Joined: 21 Jan 2010 Posts: 2734
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Post: #824 Posted: Tue Aug 27, 2013 9:35 pm Post subject: |
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Syrian war threat…. Crude rocketing up.US $ getting more and more strength .World markets correction....QE tapering and withdrawal...Further muscle building for US $.
The world absorbs the trillion $ QE infusion made by US in to it's system, since to the extent which US $ was weakened due to huge paper printing is recovered finally with QE tapering, war threat and petro $ strengthening.
Mission accomplished ......Throw your crisis on to the people of the world; again US is strong and invincible (which was at the brink of system collapse during subprime crisis) and ready to pounce the world again with another economic catastrophe….Hail America…. |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #825 Posted: Tue Aug 27, 2013 10:02 pm Post subject: |
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The real attribution is that without a real growth, but after being promoted by way of extra printed money and still ongoing... the currency of US$ should have dropped in value as per paper work. However, the valuation of other currencies are so less, it doesn't even matter if in real US prints more $.
It shows the real confidence which the buyers have at this moment of time in different country's economy and ability to recover in comparison to the US. We are far, far from having the buyers interest. |
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