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Trading based on "TREND DEVIATION" indicator
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Author Trading based on "TREND DEVIATION" indicator
Trade Master
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Joined: 27 Apr 2009
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Post: #1   PostPosted: Mon May 04, 2009 9:36 pm    Post subject: Trading based on "TREND DEVIATION" indicator Reply with quote

Hi Folks

Starting new thread for trading based on "Trend Deviation". ..

This works well with EOD, Weekly and Intraday chart frames for trading and gives very nice Entry level for both Longs and Shorts.

Entry trade signal:

Whenever the trendline crosses ONE level coming from downside, or turns up from ONE level itself while coming down from upside, initiate the LONG TRADE.

Similarly, Whenever the trendline crosses the ONE level coming from upside, or turns down from ONE level itself while coming up from downside, initiate the SHORT TRADE.

Giving a look at EOD Nifty chart, the Trend deviation was coming down and reached ONE level on 28th April 09. The next day was decisive and +ve close on 29th April 09 gave the trendline a bounce-back from ONE level, initiating LONG trade from the word GO !! And look what happened today (the next trading day)--180 points Jump !!!!!

Similarly, Last long in Nifty Spot was initiated on 13th March 09 @ 2720 Closing price.

Chart Pasted for refference.

Would like to receive comments/ queries on above mentioned Trade technique in future.

Thanx in Advance.



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kumars
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Post: #2   PostPosted: Mon May 04, 2009 9:45 pm    Post subject: "TREND DEVIATION" Reply with quote

which ever method u follow it sud give profits and nothing else.At last seeing profit is like seeing GOD.BEST OF LUCK
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Trade Master
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Post: #3   PostPosted: Tue May 05, 2009 10:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi Keshav

Thanx for writing. ..Actually, your saying implies to all the trading systems, and not alone this one. Very Happy Anyways, the thread is for educating and sharing best practices of individuals. Hope, it will deliver the best.

Thanks
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Trade Master
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Post: #4   PostPosted: Tue May 05, 2009 4:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote


TATA STEEL 4th May EOD Chart posted..Check trend deviation signal, clearly giving LONG trend...and see the position today on 5th may. Very Happy

Thanx



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san77s
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Post: #5   PostPosted: Tue May 05, 2009 7:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sir,
Why we are not initiate long on 22nd April ? pls explain.. is any other support indicator we have to look?
pls. share with us..

Regards,
S.Saravanan.



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Post: #6   PostPosted: Wed May 06, 2009 10:41 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dear San

We could have initiated the long there... It zoomed from 240 odd to 270 in next two days. Cool Not a bad move all !!!

For support indicator, U can use as per your convinience as Trend Deviation gives Entry point only. Exit point as per this maybe below your buy zone in longs and vice-versa.

use this for entry only, and keep only 2-3 days swing for profits. Very Happy

thanks
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Trade Master
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Post: #7   PostPosted: Wed May 06, 2009 4:17 pm    Post subject: Long Term tren view Reply with quote

Hi Folks

Posting "Monthly" SENSEX, NIFTY & BANK NIFTY Charts based on Trend Deviation...Whereas Nifty & Sensex are on a verge of kiss of Trend Deviation indicator @ 3750-3800 & 12000 approx levels, Bank Nifty has already broken the kiss zone and looking +ve to cross 6000-6500 levels soon.... Bank Nifty is major trendsetter for all market levels, as per me. Wink

Previous trend shows that Trend Deviation indicator has led the Upward or Downward journey on 2nd Attempt... The 1st one (upward crossing over) is almost here and any dip if there is in the market, should be used to BUY only. The LONG TERM strategy.

Thanks



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Trade Master
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Post: #8   PostPosted: Wed May 06, 2009 9:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Posting another chart. HDFC EOD Chart of 6th May 09 (Today EOD)..The Trend deviation has crossed below 1, its 0.98 now..

Can Short HDFC for Swing... below today EOD closing levels (Cash rate 1740 with stop loss of 1760-1765)

Remember, the SL is reversible. If it crosses 1760-65-70, U can go long immediately..

Thanks



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ashutoshbpl
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Post: #9   PostPosted: Wed May 06, 2009 11:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Simply cute indicator, how come I never tried it????
Kudos to you for bringing in light this simple but quite powerful indicator.
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Post: #10   PostPosted: Thu May 07, 2009 10:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanx Ashu !

Anyways, HDFC straight away opened @ 1775, means no short and GO LONG STRAIGHT AWAY as per my strategy mentioned below. It has sustained 1 level and hoping for at least two green candles based on EOD Charts. For Longs, pls keep the SL as mentioned below and vice versa.

Thanx
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Trade Master
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Post: #11   PostPosted: Thu May 07, 2009 5:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi guys

Just reviewing HDFC call given yesterday to Short below 1740, which didnt came today and opened @ 1775 straigh away.. As mentioned, in the call to go long above 1770, the fresh Longs were initiated at opening with SL 1740 and rocked throughout the day !! Posting today's EOD Chart with Trend Deviation again jumping back from 1 level, giving at least one/ two more green candles as target.

Thanx



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sandew
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Post: #12   PostPosted: Thu May 07, 2009 6:07 pm    Post subject: MACD Histogram and TD Reply with quote

MACD Histogram / forest and the Trend Deviation is one and same - put the two charts together and check the similarities.
Regards
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Trade Master
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Post: #13   PostPosted: Fri May 08, 2009 8:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi guys,

So HDFC after hitting 1830 around gets hammering, as for all stocks today. Below 1760 again gave shorting opportunity and closed at 1736 today.

Again, shorting opportunity exists if open around 1730-1745, with SL of 1760-65.. (SL's are reversible)

Thanx
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latinoholic
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Post: #14   PostPosted: Fri May 08, 2009 10:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

what is the logic code for making this trend deviation indicator..

is it based on moving average.. to calculate the levels...
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latinoholic
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Post: #15   PostPosted: Fri May 08, 2009 10:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Trend Deviation (Price Oscillator)

Trend Deviation also known as Price Oscillator in some charting packages.

A trend deviation indicator is obtained by dividing or subtracting a security's price by a measure of trend, which is usually a form of MA. It is also possible to base a trend deviation using linear regression techniques. However, we will concentrate on the MA method here. This approach is also called a price oscillator in some charting packages.

There are two methods of calculation: subtraction and division. Division is preferred, since it is more reflective of proportionate moves. Since the average represents the trend being monitored, this oscillator indicates how fast the price is advancing or declining in relation to that trend. An oscillator based on a trend-deviation calculation is, in fact, a horizontal representation of the envelope analysis, but in this graphic format, it also shows subtle changes of underlying technical strength and weakness.
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