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Trading Gartleys
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Author Trading Gartleys
shekharinvest
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Joined: 21 Dec 2007
Posts: 549

Post: #1   PostPosted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 7:40 pm    Post subject: Trading Gartleys Reply with quote

Hi,

Posted below is a chart of Nifty as it unfolds. It seems that it is making a Gartley pattern. So far symmetry is good. Should it take support at 5530-5560 area and then reverses it can do 6525-6550.

Gartley is a complex price pattern based on Fibonacci numbers/ratios. It is used to determine buy and sell signals by measuring price retracements of a stock's up and down movement in stock price.

X - 5349
A - 6339
B - 5690
C - 6181
D - ??? ( 5532, 5557, 5560)

X-A = 990
A-B = 649
B-C = 491
C-D = ??? ( 649, 624 )

A-B = .618 OF XA
B-C = .786 OF A-B (almost)

C-D min has to be 1.272% of B-C (624) and max it can be 2.618 of B-C (1285) which can take it to 4895 but that will negate the gartley pattern in totality, hence I presume Nifty to stop some where 5530-5560 range for this pattern.


Today Nifty closed at 5696.50. Posted for academic purposes only.

SHEKHAR



Nifty gartley.png
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Nifty gartley.png




Last edited by shekharinvest on Sat Jan 22, 2011 1:57 pm; edited 1 time in total
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sandew
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Joined: 02 Feb 2009
Posts: 174

Post: #2   PostPosted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 9:44 pm    Post subject: Hi Reply with quote

Hi Shekhar,

Trade the gartley only when it is completed.
and
Do not pre-judge what type of gartley it is going to be, till it is completed.

I know you know this, but I was just looking for a reason to say Hi to you.
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amitkbaid1008
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Joined: 04 Mar 2009
Posts: 540

Post: #3   PostPosted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 10:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi Shekhar

Most likely it is to go to levels 5387 as marked by me on weekly NIFTY chart along with all points of GARTLEY PATTERN along with Fibonacci.

As per explanation of GARTLEY PATTERN "At C, the price again reverses with retracement CD between 127% and 161.8% of the range BC and is shown along the line BD. Price D is the point to buy/sell (bullish/bearish Gartley pattern) as the price is about to increase/decrease. "

161.8% as indicated by you comes to C-B => 6181-5690=491
C-B*1.618=794
D is 6181-794=5387



NIFTY GARTLEY PATTERN.PNG
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NIFTY GARTLEY PATTERN.PNG


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rohit44
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Post: #4   PostPosted: Sat Jan 22, 2011 2:58 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

....great job done....can we assume atleast 5555 level in jan?? or any pull back till 5800 5900 is on cards??....please share the same pattern if found in stocks too....found this as most reliable pattern...isn't it???
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aag
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Joined: 24 Dec 2008
Posts: 9

Post: #5   PostPosted: Sat Jan 22, 2011 4:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

@ shekhar.

take a look at rcom. i think u might like what you see.
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acharyams
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Joined: 04 Jul 2010
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Post: #6   PostPosted: Sat Jan 22, 2011 8:41 am    Post subject: Re: Gartley Pattern Reply with quote

Shekharji,
What if nifty reverses its course from here leaving 5620 as bottom?
Will the pattern remain valid in that case with 6500+ target intact?
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shekharinvest
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Joined: 21 Dec 2007
Posts: 549

Post: #7   PostPosted: Sat Jan 22, 2011 9:39 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sandew

Hi Very Happy


amitkbaid1008

One point to note here that C-D cannot be more than .786 of X-A which comes to 5560. The range 5530-5560 appears to be a most probable zone if it happens to be a Gartley.

Otherwise their are many other possibilities.

For rest of the ppl I had read about Gartley a long time ago, it was by chance that pattern struck to me yesterday and I tried to do some maths. I am as ignorant as you about this setup. So it would be difficult for me to make any comment on the matter.

Just Wait and watch. Mr. Green

SHEKHAR



Gartley Patterns.png
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ashis
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Joined: 28 Mar 2010
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Post: #8   PostPosted: Thu Jan 27, 2011 11:38 am    Post subject: Re: Trading Gartleys Reply with quote

Dear Shekhar

As per Gartley Patten when D fforms then this pattern is complete then how can we presume 6522?
Is it after achieving D market will go up as difrrence between XA?

Please guide.
Regards
Ashis
shekharinvest wrote:
Hi,

Posted below is a chart of Nifty as it unfolds. It seems that it is making a Gartley pattern. So far symmetry is good. Should it take support at 5530-5560 area and then reverses it can do 6525-6550.

Gartley is a complex price pattern based on Fibonacci numbers/ratios. It is used to determine buy and sell signals by measuring price retracements of a stock's up and down movement in stock price.

X - 5349
A - 6339
B - 5690
C - 6181
D - ??? ( 5532, 5557, 5560)

X-A = 990
A-B = 649
B-C = 491
C-D = ??? ( 649, 624 )

A-B = .618 OF XA
B-C = .786 OF A-B (almost)

C-D min has to be 1.272% of B-C (624) and max it can be 2.618 of B-C (1285) which can take it to 4895 but that will negate the gartley pattern in totality, hence I presume Nifty to stop some where 5530-5560 range for this pattern.


Today Nifty closed at 5696.50. Posted for academic purposes only.

SHEKHAR
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shekharinvest
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Joined: 21 Dec 2007
Posts: 549

Post: #9   PostPosted: Fri Jan 28, 2011 2:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bought some Niftybees @ 5500 NS SL below X will add some more if get lower levels in coming days.

SHEKHAR


Last edited by shekharinvest on Mon Jan 31, 2011 2:49 pm; edited 2 times in total
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amitkbaid1008
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Post: #10   PostPosted: Fri Jan 28, 2011 8:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

shekharinvest wrote:
Bought some Niftybees @ 5500 NS SL below X will add some more if get lower levels in coming days.

SHEKHAR


Shekhar

Why just NIFTYBEES why not NIFTY Futures or Call Option?

It just around 150 points of SL & gains can be huge!!!
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rohit44
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Post: #11   PostPosted: Fri Jan 28, 2011 9:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dear shekhar and amit......gartley pattern which is under construction is a bullish patter na?? kindly confirm.....can we start shopping? or lower tgt like 5200/5100 or may be 4700 as some analyst said can be expected??? kindly advise
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amitkbaid1008
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Post: #12   PostPosted: Fri Jan 28, 2011 11:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

rohit44 wrote:
Dear shekhar and amit......gartley pattern which is under construction is a bullish patter na?? kindly confirm.....can we start shopping? or lower tgt like 5200/5100 or may be 4700 as some analyst said can be expected??? kindly advise


Dear Rohit

If there is gartley that will be bullish gartley.

Then 6600 is on cards
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rohit44
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Post: #13   PostPosted: Sat Jan 29, 2011 1:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thank you.....should we start shopping @ 5380 levels....if yes any sl or level to keep in mnd???
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aag
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Joined: 24 Dec 2008
Posts: 9

Post: #14   PostPosted: Sat Jan 29, 2011 4:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Without a doubt is a bullsh gartley. 5600 was the zone for D. hence my loud claim on 14th that its a selling climax.
now, however, it looks like 5400 might also come.
but, its a completed bullish gartley.
NF will see 6300. dont miss the ride.

Smile
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shekharinvest
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Joined: 21 Dec 2007
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Post: #15   PostPosted: Sat Jan 29, 2011 9:26 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

amitkbaid1008 wrote:


Shekhar

Why just NIFTYBEES why not NIFTY Futures or Call Option?

It just around 150 points of SL & gains can be huge!!!



Amit,

i) One cannot go with "calls only' because we do not know how long will it take to achieve the targets and then there is a price attached to buying the calls and rolling them over and over. Presently March 2011 5500 CE is @ 242 and April 2011 5500 CE@ 290 if we buy a long term call.

ii) Similarly with NF one has to deal with M to M on daily basis.

iii) Niftybees has a very good attribute that it affords us good nights sleep. Mr. Green

iv) Most important of all I am trading Gartley for the first time.

If you need larger exposer simply buy more in numbers.

SHEKHAR
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