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Will history repeat? |
chandrujimrc
Brown Belt
Joined: 21 Apr 2009
Posts: 1683
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Post: #46  Posted: Thu Jul 26, 2018 10:39 pm Post subject: |
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| chetan83 wrote: | 
Now I have to wait for next year June end for 4 times profit. |
Chetan sir, why only 4 times,I booked more than 10 times.11000 CE bought @ 16/50 sold @ 172 today,but an average more than 5 times. |
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chetan83
Brown Belt
Joined: 19 Feb 2010
Posts: 2036
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| Post: #47 Posted: Thu Jul 26, 2018 10:50 pm Post subject: |
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| chandrujimrc wrote: | | chetan83 wrote: |
Now I have to wait for next year June end for 4 times profit. |
Chetan sir, why only 4 times,I booked more than 10 times.11000 CE bought @ 16/50 sold @ 172 today,but an average more than 5 times. |
good job, still now we need to wait till next year  |
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chandrujimrc
Brown Belt
Joined: 21 Apr 2009
Posts: 1683
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| Post: #48 Posted: Thu Jul 26, 2018 11:49 pm Post subject: |
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| apka wrote: | | Haha, we will do thia evry month, lets see 31st julys closing. |
Dear apka sir,
I already mentioned that you are always a rocking star,you are capable to do every month subject to depending some technicals but here in this strategy applying one s/l thats all.This is the highlight of this June-July strategy.More over trading every month by applying some technicals and getting success sometimes and failure sometimes is our routine but when there is one simple strategy which gives more than 95% success ratio in the last 12 years then why don"t we use it as extra bonus.Any how we are going to trade always as usual..
Ok,Btb till next june -July without giving any rest to this thread why don"t we discuss some other strategy and observations? so if any one is having any other strategy or observations which were not discussed here so far?I also invite every one to express your views and experiences about Jan high strategy which was posted by Mr.Chetan. |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #49 Posted: Fri Jul 27, 2018 10:32 am Post subject: |
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My idea was partly based on technicals for july and also because that june july method was openly saidd in forums elsewhere, on whatsapp groups.... I thought when its known to public so much opposite might happen.. plus banknifty had made a new low and those corresponding years nifty didnt do too well...
Initially i only posted in my thread july-aug we will see new high.
But myself forgot about that and concentrated on smaller nearby trgts first on downside.. hence missed some points in july.
In terms of observations there are 100s... Each stock reacts differently to particular candle sticks. Like they have their own personality. And the brst personality i like is of Banknifty  .. i only ude nifty levels to correspond trgts for banknifty. |
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chandrujimrc
Brown Belt
Joined: 21 Apr 2009
Posts: 1683
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| Post: #50 Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 5:48 pm Post subject: |
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At last Nifty closed @ 11356 after hitting the high of 11366.So Nifty jumped from June low 10550 to July high 11366.Totally 816 points and in terms of % is 7.73.This year will be the least % of jump in last 12 years.So history repeated with new history.Let us hope for History Repeat in the coming years also.  |
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chetan83
Brown Belt
Joined: 19 Feb 2010
Posts: 2036
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| Post: #51 Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 8:20 pm Post subject: |
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Attaching Monthly Nifty chart since inception. Marking the July month with vertical RED Line. One can see the Nifty Behavior for June to July.
This Funda was better from 2004 onwards.....with some -ive growth in July in few years. SL in such case would be hard to define, but can use any formal indicator for such movement to minimize loss. |
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chetan83
Brown Belt
Joined: 19 Feb 2010
Posts: 2036
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| Post: #52 Posted: Tue Jul 31, 2018 8:59 pm Post subject: January Nifty High Break Funda |
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Nifty has broken the January high this month and closed above it....hope, now we will remain above 11180 for entire 2018 now.
Exception years was 2002 where it did not worked. |
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chandrujimrc
Brown Belt
Joined: 21 Apr 2009
Posts: 1683
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| Post: #53 Posted: Mon Jun 17, 2019 10:54 pm Post subject: Re: Will history repeat? |
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| chandrujimrc wrote: | I am re posting an excellent observation posted in some other forum.Thanks to Mr.Prabhakar.Every year Nifty moved up from june low to july high from 2006 to 2017 in terms of % max 23.62 in 2006 and minimum 8.30 in 2014.Will it repeat this year also from june low 10550.90(5/06/2018) to july high ???.
2006 ..........2595.65 to 3208.85
2007 ..........4100.80 to 4647.95
2008.......... 3790.20 to 4649.85
2009..... 4143.25 to 4669.75
2010..... 4165.05 to 5477.50
2011..... 5195.90 to 5740.40
2012.... 4770.35 to 5348.55
2013.... 5566.25 to 6093.35
2014.... 7239.50 to 7840.95
2015.... 7940.10 to 8654.75
2016..... 7927.05 to 8674.70
2017.... 9448.80 to 11114.85
2018.... 10550.90 to ????? |
Let us hope for the history to repeat this year also. |
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chandrujimrc
Brown Belt
Joined: 21 Apr 2009
Posts: 1683
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| Post: #54 Posted: Mon Jun 17, 2019 10:58 pm Post subject: |
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| chandrujimrc wrote: | | At last Nifty closed @ 11356 after hitting the high of 11366.So Nifty jumped from June low 10550 to July high 11366.Totally 816 points and in terms of % is 7.73.This year will be the least % of jump in last 12 years.So history repeated with new history.Let us hope for History Repeat in the coming years also. |
Let us hope for the new history by creating new max jump high % in this year with S/L of june low. |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #55 Posted: Tue Jun 18, 2019 2:16 am Post subject: |
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ca.krishna
White Belt
Joined: 17 Sep 2013
Posts: 158
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| Post: #56 Posted: Tue Jun 18, 2019 6:10 pm Post subject: |
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| chandrujimrc wrote: | | chandrujimrc wrote: | | At last Nifty closed @ 11356 after hitting the high of 11366.So Nifty jumped from June low 10550 to July high 11366.Totally 816 points and in terms of % is 7.73.This year will be the least % of jump in last 12 years.So history repeated with new history.Let us hope for History Repeat in the coming years also. |
Let us hope for the new history by creating new max jump high % in this year with S/L of june low. |
Great, but june low is made or yet to be made is the question now  |
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chandrujimrc
Brown Belt
Joined: 21 Apr 2009
Posts: 1683
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| Post: #57 Posted: Wed Jun 19, 2019 9:36 am Post subject: |
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| apka wrote: | |
Dear Sir,
Thanks for your comments. |
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chandrujimrc
Brown Belt
Joined: 21 Apr 2009
Posts: 1683
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| Post: #58 Posted: Wed Jun 19, 2019 9:51 am Post subject: |
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| ca.krishna wrote: | | chandrujimrc wrote: | | chandrujimrc wrote: | | At last Nifty closed @ 11356 after hitting the high of 11366.So Nifty jumped from June low 10550 to July high 11366.Totally 816 points and in terms of % is 7.73.This year will be the least % of jump in last 12 years.So history repeated with new history.Let us hope for History Repeat in the coming years also. |
Let us hope for the new history by creating new max jump high % in this year with S/L of june low. |
Great, but june low is made or yet to be made is the question now |
Dear Ca.Krishna,
We need not to mind the low because it is impossible to catch the exact low,but we can take a risk whenever nifty closes above last week close wth s/l of few points below last week low. |
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chetan83
Brown Belt
Joined: 19 Feb 2010
Posts: 2036
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| Post: #59 Posted: Wed Jun 19, 2019 6:53 pm Post subject: |
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Hi,
If the gap is not filled, then lets hope for the best, also taking budget session into account.
Regards,
Chetan. |
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chetan83
Brown Belt
Joined: 19 Feb 2010
Posts: 2036
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| Post: #60 Posted: Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:46 pm Post subject: Nifty 12300 CE July Series. |
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Lets see, Nifty 12300 CE July series low made was 18.65 on 25/06....CMP 39.45...., high 42.0, its double...Game started.
Next target is around 58/60. Hope to get minimum 5 times, i,e around 95/100. |
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